ABC: 'The Neighbors' Now A "Toss Up" To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 16th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


three bears

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 14, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Happy Endings (some F) :oops: 0.53
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Red Widow :oops: 0.60
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.70
Last Man Standing* (F) :) :) :) :) 0.74
The Neighbors* :| :| :| 0.87
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.93
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.94
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.25
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
How To Live With Your Parents :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.51
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

-
Don't Trust The B---- has already been devoured by the Cancellation Bear. Happy Endings may live on with a cable net, but it's certain to be canceled by ABC. What about the next three higher rated ABC sitcoms?

Malibu Country averaged a 1.3 rating for new episodes since March 1.

Last Man Standing averaged a 1.5 rating since March 1.

The Neighbors averaged a 1.5 rating since March 1.

Of those three, the bear is most confident in the renewal of Last Man Standing. It's a second year show, airing on Friday which carries some level of low ratings forgiveness, and has matched The Neighbors ratings since March 1.

Based on the early relative success of How To Live With Your Parents, and The Neighbors relatively weak ratings since March 1, the bear is now moving THE NEIGHBORS back to a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal.

The bear still likes THE NEIGHBORS chances better than those of Malibu Country though, and would give it the least chance for renewal out of the three.

Our final up or down guesses for all shows still with uncertain fates will come on May 7.

Rookie sitcom How To Live With Your Parents (For the Rest Of Your Life) is also in the mix for renewal, but its current ratings are high enough to put it well out of the range of those other three.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Sara

    what would break the Thursday 8pm curse is a something that is not male or geek orientated. So either Shark Tank a female comedy block or a female drama such as Nashville or Murder in Manhattan from the possible new dramas

  • Nick

    What ABC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: Shark Tank (27 episodes)
    9: S.H.E.I.L.D (new) (24 episodes)
    10: Castle (24 episodes)

    Tue-
    8: Last Man Standing (24 episodes)
    8:30: How the Hell am I Normal? (new) (14 episodes)*
    9: Grey’s Anatomy (24 episodes)
    10: Betrayal (new) (13 episodes)

    * Premiere behind Modern Family

    Wed-
    8: The Middle (24 episodes)
    8:30: Suburgatory (23 episodes)
    9: Modern Family (24 episodes)
    9:30: Keep Calm & Karey On (new) (13 episodes)
    10: Nashville (13 episodes)

    Thu-
    8: Dancing with the Stars/The Bachelor
    10: Scandal (24 episodes)

    Fri-
    8: Dancing with the Stars: The Results/Winter Wipeout (10 episodes)
    9: Body of Proof (24 episodes)
    10: 20/20

    Sat- (midseason)
    8: Shark Tank (R)
    9: Castle (R)
    10: Body of Proof (R)

    Sun-
    7: AFHV (26 episodes)
    8: Once Upon a Time (22 episodes)
    9: Gothica (new) (13 episodes)/Once: Wonderland (new) (13 episodes)
    10: Revenge (22 episodes)

    Midseason – How to Live With Your Parents (for the Rest of Your Life) (13 episodes), Celebrity Wife Swap (7 episodes), Wife Swap (6 episodes), Primetime: What Would You Do? (13 episodes), Gothica’s (theoretical) remaining episodes

    Feedback would be greatly appreciated.

  • Dan

    The Neighbors with its decline is more Better With You than Suburgatory, anyone who knows ABC’s history and has kept up with this site will understand what I’m talking about.

    The reason why ABC will likely renew both Nashville and BOP is based on their flops. 4/5 dramas have flopped as well as Private Practice ending. This means that its likely that ABC will keep Nashville and BOP to avoid having this season be a total disaster as well s keeping Castle, OUAT, Revenge, Grey’s Anatomy, and Scandal.

    Comedy wise they will renew Modern Family, The Middle, Suburgatory, Last Man Standing, and likely HTLWYP. The Neighbors theoretically could go either was depending on ABC’s pilots. (They could pair Neighbors with Suburgatory on another night if they want to keep it or just air a new show with Suburgatory)

  • chrisss

    Just for fun:

    Monday

    8pm- Shield
    9pm- Super Fun Night/ Pulling
    10pm- Castle

    Tuesday

    8pm- Shark Tank
    9pm- DWTS

    Wednesday

    8pm- The Middle/ Suburgatory
    9pm- Modern Family/ Trophy Wife
    10pm- DWTS Results

    Thursday

    8pm- Westside
    9pm- Greys
    10pm- Scandal

    Friday

    8pm- LMS/MC
    9pm- Nashville
    10pm- 20/20

    Sunday

    7pm- AFHV
    8pm- OUAT
    9pm- Gothica
    10pm- Revenge

  • wes

    I think The Neighbors is more likely to be renewed. The simple fact that it’s produced by Disney and aired by ABC gives it leverage.

  • Bliss

    @ Nick

    I think your schedule seems the most realistic so far.

    I think instead of Keep Calm & Karey On that Pulling will air because it was on BBC and the United States often likes to redo British shows. One great example is the office.

    I also think that trophy wife might become a mid season pick up.

  • Cj morton

    Good news for me! Go LMS and MC!!!!

  • J.J.

    @Kate

    No, simply hold it for midseason or Thursdays at 8 would be great.

  • Katherine

    Last season ABC had great new dramas and comedies, but this season ABC failed, I saw the new dramas, nothing exiting, Nashville started great, but after the first two episode it got very predictable and is all full of cliches. I don’t care if all of this new shows get canceled, because I am looking forward for the new shows ABC is working on for the next season, they sound great, and I got the feeling we are going to get some really entertaining and strong shows.

  • TheEmulator23

    Neighbors should be renewed don’t worry kids.

  • Chris

    Watch How To Live With Your Parents drop like a HUGE rock in the ratings tonight. Why people think it’s any better than Apt.23 or Happy Endings, I’ll never know. The Neighbors DOES fit on Wednesday because it’s more of a family show as opposed to HTLWP. HTLWP just has a bunch of sex jokes. How’s that a family show exactly? Makes no sense at all. If it wanted to fit on Wednesdays, they could at least have more inside jokes when it comes to that like The Neighbors did but instead it’s way too obvious and not covered up. I’m hoping The Neighbors gets renewed and airs on Fridays, not in place of MC but with LMS and MC. TGIF. According to deadline, the John Leguizamo comedy is actually gaining momentum so it might get picked up. Seeing as how it’s a multi cam, ABC may be inclined to save The Neighbors and actually go with TGIF shuffling Shark Tank to Tuesdays where they’ve been struggling.

  • Ultima

    @Bliss
    I think your schedule seems the most realistic so far.

    The one that moves both Grey’s Anatomy and DWTS to different nights? :roll:

  • omabin

    The problem with ABC schedule is that they really need to move a lot of stuff around. I mean they are kings of fridays, they do very well on thursdays, needing to fix only the 8pm hour and they are fine on wednesdays as long as MF lives, although the half hours and the 10 pm show could certainly be improved. Sundays, Mondays and Tuesdays are a different monster though. I am not sure anymore what the clear solution is. In my mind, it is clear that DWTS must go to Sundays, and that it has to be accompanied by some sort of procedural show, either Body of Proof if it remains on the fall schedule or something like Murder in Manhattan. I would go with BoP. Say what you may about how DH held up just fine on Sundays, I think the enviroment is too different nowadays with everything that goes on in cable those nights and that it is no place for serialized dramas on broadcast networks at the moment. The problem is that this leaves a huuuge hole on the Monday/Tuesday schedule. I would simply revamp tuesdays all together combining shows like Once Upon a Time, Big Thunder, OUAT Wonderland and Shield. Mondays are a different animal though, because apart from Castle being put at 10pm, I have no idea what to do with the 8-10 timeslots. I would cancel the results show of DWTS, I don’t think it has any business being alive anymore. I had been arguing for a Revenge move here, but honestly, I think Sundays have crippled it too much for it to be able to held its own there against the powerhouse that is the voice and the CBS comedies (which although weaker now, are still a force). They can put Shield here but at this point, I think that is an even bigger risk than putting it Thursdays at 8pm. And even if they do, they still need to pair it with something. And I don’t like two new shows being launched against the voice strongest hours, but I don’t like the idea of OUAT or Revenge there either, so I really am not sure of what should be done…

  • Thommy the Evil

    ALL my ABC shows are in the green? I’m AWESOME.

    Barring a ratings’ meltdown, How To Live With Your Parents is safe. Plus: it retains about 70% of it’s lead-in. I’m sure it’s coming back next season, perhaps in the same timespot (again, barring it keeps pulling numbers).

  • Nick

    @ Bliss

    I think your schedule seems the most realistic so far.

    Thanks, but I have to agree with Ultima. I didn’t think it was realistic.

    I think instead of Keep Calm & Karey On that Pulling will air because it was on BBC and the United States often likes to redo British shows.

    The problem with that is that Pulling is not a family comedy. All of ABC’s recent non-family comedy pickups failed in one way or another (Mr. Sunshine, Happy Endings, Man Up, Work It!, and Don’t Trust the B— in Apartment 23). Keep Calm & Karey On looks like it would pair well with Modern Family.

    I also think that trophy wife might become a mid season pick up.

    That and Murder in Manhattan seem like good ideas for midseason. I don’t put new midseason shows with my schedule, but I might start now that there’s no more pilots coming in.

  • KJ Styles

    I fear that Suburgatory will be moved to Fridays next season due to How To Live With Your Parents’ success and Malibu Country’s lack thereof. I hope not though, as I really like Suburgatory and it would get killed on Fridays.

  • Zachary

    The pilots that ABC are probably picking up in the comedy department are How the He’ll am I Normal?, Bad Management and (this ones a guarantee) Back in the Game. Trophy Wife MIGHT get a midseason order. I will cry if The Neighbors gets cancelled. I actually think it has somewhat of a chance, as it’s an in-house production and no actors have abandoned ship.

  • Dan.

    What is going on with the male announcer on Suburgatory? I am not blind nor listening on a radio. He is just distracting from Jane’s story.

  • Cle

    ABC has really messed up sunday, monday & tuesday line-up this season.. can’t think any way of a solution… for a stable schedule they have to make really MAJOR moves…

  • Hades

    @Cle

    What I think they should do-

    Monday
    8-DWTS/The Bachelor/DWTS
    9-DWTS/The Bachelor/DWTS
    10-Castle
    Tuesday
    8-DWTS Results/New Comedy+New Comedy/DWTS Results
    9-New Drama
    10-New Drama
    Wednesday
    8-The Middle
    8.30-Suburgatory
    9-Modern Family
    9.30-New Comedy
    10-Nashville
    Thursday
    8-New Drama
    9-Greys
    10-Scandal
    Friday
    8-LMS
    8.30-The Neighbours OR HTLWYP
    9-Shark Tank
    10-20/20
    Sunday
    8-Once Upon A Time
    9-New Drama
    10-Revenge

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures