NBC: 'Hannibal' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 16th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


hannibal_bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 14, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.82
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.87
Community :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception* :oops: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Hannibal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
The Office final season 1.41
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.63
Up All Night :oops: ?

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So much for the Cancellation Bear devouring rookie drama Hannibal with a nice Chianti and some fava beans. The show's second episode ratings increased vs. its premiere. The bear doesn't care that it was against repeats on CBS and ABC, a 1.7 rating (or a 1.6, or a 1.5, and likely lower) points to certain renewal on the ratings train wreck that is NBC.

"Still dodging predictions for many NBC sitcoms?" you say. "Yes!" says the bear. Fear not, as gunshy as he is on his biggest source of prediction error this season, the bear will go with up or down predictions on every show no later than May 7.

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Rebecca

    Creepy Care Bear! Are you ever going to use the bear pics I sent you last year? Maybe after all the cancellations? (I think one pic I sent was of an illustrated snoring bear.)

    Cancel everything at .87 and under…although I wish I could see more of GWK and 1600 Penn.

  • Anthony

    For comedies I think NBC will renew Parks and Community and that’s it. It’s obvious that we are long past the point of ratings being “good” for renewal. At this point it is simply trying to figure out how many veteran comedies NBC needs to fill schedule space next season. My thought is that it just needs two (at most three). I think it is likely that next season NBC attempts to launch an all new 2 hour Thursday block next fall and that’s it for comedies (maybe another hour block after The Voice again, but I think that’s unlikely). I think it is smart to have one veteran comedy for each two new comedies you are launching in the fall to cover in case some are DOA, thus the need for two (at most 3 veterans). The fact that the Olympics will be airing midseason gives NBC a chance to promote more new comedies for March on (if needed), thus the need for less veteran filler is eliminated, plus no need to bridge the Voice cycles with scripted fair. As for why I think Parks and Community are the two that get renewed,it is mainly due to syndication. Whitney, Go On, and The New Normal are all at least 3 seasons away from syndication (even though Whitney is a second season show, it had a shortened second season). With their current ratings, there is NO hope that NBC would want to suffer through three more seasons of (likely) even weaker ratings just to get the shows to syndication (and be able to attempt to recoup the loses that occur from producing those episodes). Community and Parks already have syndication deals, so it is a known commodity as far as what they can produce each episode for and not lose money (or at least lose less of it). If NBC feels it needs a third comedy to renew, I’d go Whitney (multi-cam thus cheaper, more episodes in the can already), but I don’t see that happening.

  • Jane Elliot

    @Bill: Creepiest picture EVER. Ick.

  • Carmen

    “Wow, NBC is REALLY set for next season as far as dramas are concerned. SVU, Grimm, Parenthood, Revolution, Chicago Fire and now Hannibal. I’d say out of all the networks they’ve made the best progress with dramas this season”

    Yep, they have 6 shows that may average 1.7 over the entire season.

  • MichaelChickless

    ‘Hannibal’ Is Certain To Be Renewed

    All right! I think it’s quite possibly the best new broadcast show of the season.

  • PurpleDrazi

    I’m happy for Hannibal but I am not looking forward to the nightmares I’m going to have because of that pic. *shudder*

  • MichaelChickless

    Renew:

    Guys With Kids
    Whitney
    Community
    Grimm
    Parenthood
    Parks & Recreation
    Hannibal
    Law & Order: SVU
    Chicago Fire
    Revolution

  • Jeff (Canada)

    @ Carmen
    “Yep, they have 6 shows that may average 1.7 over the entire season.”

    Hey if it’s good enough for NBC to renew it then there obviously isn’t a problem for them with averaging 1.7. Every network is different, it just so happens to be that NBC allows low ratings. So relatively speaking, their dramas are doing great.

  • Penny

    Yes Hannibal is an amazing show

  • maplab98

    Grat for Hannibal ^.^

  • Jonay

    Wouldn’t it make sense for NBC to change the season finale date of Hannibal for June to May and shorten next seasons episodes???

  • Fred

    Fall 2013 NBC:

    Sunday

    NFL

    Monday

    Voice-2 hours
    New show-10:00

    Tuesday

    Voice
    New Sitcom
    New Sitcom
    Parenthood-10:00

    Wednesday

    Revolution
    Chicago Fire
    Law & Order-10:00

    Thursday

    Parks and Recreation
    New sitcom
    New sitcom
    New sitcom
    Hannibal- 10:00

    Friday

    Dateline
    Grimm
    New drama- 10:00 – Perhaps Dracula

    2 new 1 hour dramas and 5 new 30 minute sitcoms. NBC is doing OK with dramas. However very weak with sitcoms. Only P&R seems like it has potential to become a hit. Go On, Whitney, New Normal etc…. are simply not strong enough to earn a renewal.

  • toucan

    Glad Hannibal is doing relatively well. It’s creepy without being super gory. It’s best broadcast show of the season.

  • Stephen

    Comedy situation is so unknown for NBC at this point. It will come down to a combination of how many pilots they like and whether or not they are increasing or decreasing their amount of sitcom hours on the fall schedule.

    If NBC goes from 4 sitcom hrs to 2 then P&R and Community would be back. If NBC drops Wed sitcoms but tries again with 1 hr on Tuesdays then there’s a chance that either Go On or Whitney could return or get a half season order to fill any DOA shows in the fall. If NBC keeps 4 sitcom hrs which I think is highly unlikely but if they did then I think definitely one of Go On or Whitney would get renewed, possibly both.

  • Bob

    To CBSviewer

    Not bad schedule. I would not do that Thrusday schedule because 3 shows are very weak. Also putting Revolution on Tuesday will destroy the show because it will not survive without the Voice.

  • Bob

    MichaelChickless

    I am with you on those renewals. I think NBC should renew those shows. I am especially happy to see someone put Guys with Kids on the renewal. If it had the love that Go On and The New Normal received, it would be a hit show.

  • Dan

    If I ran NBC I wouldnt keep Hannibal in that slot for next season, I’d move it to Fridays at 8 and move a veteran to Thursdays at 10 like SVU or Parenthood.

    @Jeff – Ironically out of all the networks NBC has had the best luck with dramas with 3 (If Hannibal holds up) and only 1 aired after The Voice.

    NBC can get away with a full Parks & Rec and Go On season on Thursdays as well as the already full season Michael J FOX comedy. They could very well give Community a nice final 13 episode run (or 16 to get it to 100 eps) They could bring Whitney back for a multi camera block wed at 8.

    NBC isnt doing as badly as everyone thinks. They have had just as many flops relative to their schedule size (and amount of comedies & dramas that they have ordered)

    They will do the same thing all networks do, dump the garbage keep the promising shows and start over next season.

  • The End

    @Jonay

    Nope. I’m certain that every Hannibal season will have an equal amount of episodes, until I hear otherwise. 13 episodes will make up every season of Hannibal.

  • Dan

    Increasing their comedy was a bad idea last season but I can see why NBC did it. They took advantage of The Voice lead in on Tuesdays and when The Voice left Jan-Mar so did viewers.

    For next season, NBC should have an hour of comedy Wed 8-9 and Thur 8-10 and try a new drama after The Voice. Maybe this schedule

    Monday
    8:00 The Voice
    10:00 NEW DRAMA

    Tuesday
    8:00 The Voice
    9:00 NEW DRAMA
    10:00 SVU

    Wednesday
    8:00 Whitney
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 Chicago Fire
    10:00 Chicago Fire Spinoff

    Thursday
    8:00 Community
    8:30 Go On
    9:00 Parks & Rec
    9:30 Michael J FOX Comedy
    10:00 Parenthood

    Friday
    8:00 Hannibal / Dracula
    9:00 Grimm
    10:00 Dateline

    Revolution would be good to return midseason, 18-20 eps uninterrupted. If it doesnt than Monday at 10 would work again and a new drama could air midseason. This schedule features the best slots for returning shows and limited comedy and good slots for new shows.

  • k:Alex

    How many comedy’s will NBC pick up, they have a lot of potentially good shows, but drama is a hit in their network?

    And why no one tries comedy-drama on Sunday?
    Only FOX has animation comedy, so free game for new shows?

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