NBC: 'Hannibal' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 16th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


hannibal_bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 14, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.82
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.87
Community :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception* :oops: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Hannibal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
The Office final season 1.41
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.63
Up All Night :oops: ?

-
So much for the Cancellation Bear devouring rookie drama Hannibal with a nice Chianti and some fava beans. The show's second episode ratings increased vs. its premiere. The bear doesn't care that it was against repeats on CBS and ABC, a 1.7 rating (or a 1.6, or a 1.5, and likely lower) points to certain renewal on the ratings train wreck that is NBC.

"Still dodging predictions for many NBC sitcoms?" you say. "Yes!" says the bear. Fear not, as gunshy as he is on his biggest source of prediction error this season, the bear will go with up or down predictions on every show no later than May 7.

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

-
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • StevenD

    Wonder if Hannibal will move to after the voice soon because ready for love is DOA. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Chicago fire spin off episode air after the voice so see if reception is positive

  • Sab G

    I am in awe of you managing to find an image that combined a bear and Hannibal. Kudos.

  • DamC

    Hannibal will never air before 10pm (maybe 9pm), it’s way too graphic.

  • Rj Sheedy

    I would list The New Normal as a toss up and Go On as Likely Cancelled. Go ON sucked on Thursday nights and New Normal really held up on Tuesdays after the voice came back.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I am in awe of you managing to find an image that combined a bear and Hannibal. Kudos.”

    Google image search, for the win!

  • DamC

    I wonder what NBC will do with its dramas next season, they’ll probably renew 6 of them, they have Dracula and Crossbones going straight to series, there will not be many spots left (if we include the Chicago Fire Spinoff)

    NBC could do something like that:

    MONDAY
    8- The Voice
    10- NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAY
    8- The Voice
    9- NEW COMEDY (MULTICAM)
    9:30- NEW COMEDY (MULTICAM)
    10- Revolution (The Voice would be 2 hours on premiere day)

    WEDNESDAY
    8- Parenthood (15 episodes)/ The Biggest Loser
    9- Chicago Fire
    10- CHICAGO FIRE SPIN-OFF

    THURSDAY
    8- Parks and Recreation (22 episodes, with a timeslot change at midseason)/ Community (13 episodes)
    8:30- Go On (13 episodes +9 if it delivers)
    9- NEW MICHAEL J FOX COMEDY
    9:30- NEW COMEDY SINGLE-CAM
    10- Law and Order: SVU

    FRIDAY
    8- Dateline
    9- Grimm
    10- Dracula (10 episodes)/ Hannibal (13 episodes)

    + 3 other mid-season dramas (including Crossbones) and 3 comedies

    NBC could open Sundays to scripted programming at midseason (why not try comedies at 8? that’s something nobody is doing right now)

  • Rollie Dethloff

    If Go On, New Normal, and Betty White get renewed, all is well with me. Also, with ratings as low as 1.0 on Tuesdays, and a 1.1 on both Thursdays, how do you guys think Go On would do at 8:30 Friday leading into Grimm, or 9:00 Friday leading out of a shunted back Grimm?

  • jackson

    its really a shame about SMASH. i think this season is better than the 1st! maybe it will be picked up by showtime (wasnt it supposed to start there anyways?) or it would be a great show for LOGO or BRAVO to pick up.. but its probably way to expensive for those two networks. shame

  • Fred

    @jackson

    Its not in the best interest of cable channels to pick up Broadcast losers.
    Yes it works occasionally, but most channels don’t want known as saviors. They rather focus on original shows and nurture those. Why take more expensive established network programs and tailor them to suit cable? It takes more time and $$.

  • John

    @CBSviewer
    not bad, but you’re forgetting Michael J. Fox’s sitcom which has already been picked up. I really don’t see NBC keeping comedies on wednesday since they never seem to go over well. I think they should just stick with tuesdays and thursdays.

  • J.J.

    What NBC will do Fall 2013:

    Monday
    8/7 – The Voice
    10/9 – new drama or Revolution

    Tuesday
    8/7 – The Voice
    9/8 – Michael J. Fox pro
    30 – new comedy
    10/9 – Parenthood

    Wednesday
    8/7 – new comedy
    30 – new comedy or The New Normal
    9/8 – Revolution or Chicago Fire or new drama
    10/9 – Hannibal or Chicago Fire or Revolution

    Thursday
    8/7 – Parks & Rec or Community
    30 – The New Normal or Community or new comedy
    9/8 – new (high profile) comedy
    30 – Go On
    10/9 – Law & Order: SVU or Hannibal or reality

    Friday
    8/7 – reality
    8/9 – Grimm
    10/9 – Dateline or Rock Center

    What NBC should do Fall 2013:

    Monday
    8/7 – The Voice
    10/9 – Believe or The Sixth Gun

    Tuesday
    8/7 – The Voice
    9/8 – Michael J. Fox pro
    30 – new comedy
    10/9 – Parenthood

    Wednesday
    8/7 – Sean Hayes pro
    30 – The New Normal
    9/8 – Revolution
    10/9 – Hannibal or Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    8/7 – Parks & Rec or Community
    30 – Community or new comedy
    9/8 – Assistance
    30 – Go On
    10/9 – Law & Order: SVU

    Friday
    8/7 – reality
    8/9 – Grimm
    10/9 – Dateline or Rock Center

  • rainbowtwizzler

    Wow? Really? I think maybe the networks should revise their programming after the very sudden change in landscape of our culture. I sort of wonder if we’ll feel the same morally about Hannibal and Deception in 6 months.

  • Chris

    Well, that’s good news about Hannibal. In just two episodes, it’s already impressed me more than anything else on NBC’s schedule, and I was afraid that the general disdain Nielsen audiences have for that network (and the network’s own penchant for self-sabotage) would knock it off the air too soon.

  • Greg

    My NBC schedule (I don’t try to guess which shows are getting picked up, so only new comedy and new drama):

    MONDAYS

    8pm – The Voice/The Biggest Loser/The Voice
    10pm – New Drama/Chicago Fire spin-off/New Drama

    TUESDAYS

    8pm – The Voice
    9pm – New Drama
    10pm – Revolution

    WEDNESDAYS

    8pm – Parenthood
    9pm – Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
    10pm – Chicago Fire

    THURSDAYS

    8pm – Community (final 13-episode season)/Off Their Rockers
    8:30pm – Parks and Recreation
    9pm – New Comedy
    9:30pm – New Comedy
    10pm – Hannibal

    FRIDAYS

    8pm – Dateline
    9pm – Grimm
    10pm – Rock Center with Brian Williams

    Full 24-episode seasons for the returning shows.

    I hope they realize how they’re wasting The Voice’s lead in with Ready for Love when the show goes even lower tonight and move Hannibal to Tuesdays at 9 as quickly as possible.

  • Ultima

    @Chris
    the general disdain Nielsen audiences have for that network

    The Voice gets 5s; clearly people don’t have a problem with NBC per se, just their programming.

  • The End

    @Greg
    @Full 24-episode seasons for the returning shows.

    Except Hannibal, an agreement is already in place that any further seasons will be 13 episodes.

  • TV Addict

    Ok, I don’t care if Community starts pulling .5’s. IT MUST BE RENEWED FOR 2 MORE SEASONS!!!
    Then it’ll kick start a movie so fast, it’ll make Veronica Mars look like a dead sloth.

  • rob60990

    @Dan, what makes you so sure NBC will renew Go On? It failed without The Voice and it failed on Thursdays after The Office. It has no future and its not even close to syndication.

  • Nick

    I’ve decided that Parks & Rec should be NBC’s only surviving scripted comedy (and no, The Voice is not a scripted comedy). NBC should jist go all out and premiere a bunch post-Olympics.

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice
    10: Believe (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice
    9: After Hours (new)
    10: Chicago Fire

    Wed-
    8: Parks & Recreation
    8:30: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    9: Revolution
    10: Crossbones (new)

    Thu-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Welcome to the Family (new)
    10: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Dracula (R)
    9: Law & Order: SVU (R)
    10: Saturday Night Live (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    8: The Biggest Loser
    10: Wonderland (new)

    Midseason – Hannibal (13 episodes)

    Feedback would be greatly appreciated.

  • f

    what a shame

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures