NBC: 'Hannibal' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 16th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


hannibal_bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 14, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.82
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.87
Community :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception* :oops: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Hannibal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
The Office final season 1.41
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.63
Up All Night :oops: ?

-
So much for the Cancellation Bear devouring rookie drama Hannibal with a nice Chianti and some fava beans. The show's second episode ratings increased vs. its premiere. The bear doesn't care that it was against repeats on CBS and ABC, a 1.7 rating (or a 1.6, or a 1.5, and likely lower) points to certain renewal on the ratings train wreck that is NBC.

"Still dodging predictions for many NBC sitcoms?" you say. "Yes!" says the bear. Fear not, as gunshy as he is on his biggest source of prediction error this season, the bear will go with up or down predictions on every show no later than May 7.

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

-
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • LisaM

    Hannibal was cancelled, or so I just read?

  • Alex

    You read wrong.

    One episode has been pulled over concerns about its content.

  • CookyMonzta

    That could be a problem for this show.

  • Rebecca

    Any Matthew Perry fans out there….he co-hosted Ellen’s show with her today, and he was great. Her show doesn’t air online, but there might be some clips/highlights on her show’s site. It was the third time he has been on her show this month. He’s funnier than any material written for him by others – if he ever has his own day or late night talk show I’d watch. Also finally watched the final unaired episodes of Mr. Sunshine online (different network, I know). Hoping Go On gets renewed.

  • were123

    I think next season NBC might finally decide to abandon its 2 hour Thursday comedy block, but that’s just a might. I see 3 comedies making it back next season: Go On, Community and Parks. Parks showed it worked at 9 and 9:30, so I think NBC will decide to premiere (or move) a drama at Thursdays 8PM (likely Revolution, which could likely bomb hard against TBBT, but NBC has to try, right?), air Parks and the Michael J.Fox comedy from 9 to 10 and then either have Hannibal at 10PM or put Rock Center there.
    Go On and Community seems like a choice to move to Fridays 8PM leading to Grimm.

    I think NBC schedule could be like this:

    Mondays:
    8-10PM: The Voice
    10PM: The Black List

    Tuesdays:
    8-9PM: The Voice
    9-10PM: Grimm (if it does well after April 30th) or 6th Gun
    10PM: Parenthood

    Wednesday:
    8:PM: Law & Order SVU
    9:PM: Chicago Fire
    10PM: Chicago Fire Spin off

    Thursdays:
    8PM: Revolution
    9PM: Michael J. Fox Comedy
    9:30PM: Parks & Recs
    10PM: Hannibal or Rock Center

    Fridays:
    8PM: Community
    8:30PM: Go On
    9PM: Grimm or Believe
    10PM: Dateline

    Sundays:
    Football

    Midseason: 6th Gun (if Grimm airs on Tuesdays), Believe (if Grimm airs on Fridays), Harfield & McCoys and three comedies.

  • The End

    @karin
    @Hannibal ‘s ratings are terrible vs repeats..

    Hannibal is in no danger at the moment.

  • The End

    @Thursdays:
    8PM: Revolution

    HIGHLY unlikely, considering the money being invested into the show, the network wants it to succeed not fail. For arguments sake, although I still believe it will be aired after The Voice during Season 2. If you want to place on another day, you need a better timeslot there.

  • George

    I can’t imagine New Normal being cancelled. It is a great sitcom. What a shame

  • were123

    @The End
    Revolution might air on another night, like Wednesday, but it’s defenitely not airing after The Voice again. NBC should use The Voice to launch new shows. Revolution at Thursdays 8PM would be a leap of faith, but it’s not defenitely what they are going to do.
    Why did I suggest that timeslot? Because absolutely nothing that NBC has can face that timeslot, so wouldn’t they want to try with their highest rated scripted show? Sure, it could bomb without The Voice, but it also offers an option of counter programming, because CBS will have comedies, Fox has X Factor/Idol, ABC will likely have reality shows (as it’s the only thing that has kind a worked there), and the only network airing drama there is the CW. So why shouldn’t NBC try with a drama people know it’s on (rather than a new one or their failed comedy block), and promote it like hell?. It’s a risk, sure, but NBC dramas have hold their pace this season in difficult timeslots, most of them managed to stay above 1.6, so why shouldn’t they take this risk? It’s not like they are going to do better with a Community/Parks combo, a new drama or a reality show. I see it as a way to actually try to fix what’s broken.

  • xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

    cool.. the latest episode was really good. less csi type crime crap and more psychological mind games between characters. its so much more fun

  • Alex

    @were123
    Why did I suggest that timeslot? Because absolutely nothing that NBC has can face that timeslot, so wouldn’t they want to try with their highest rated scripted show?

    Think you might have answered your own question there – because its their highest rated scripted show.

    I’d be very surprised if Revolution stays at Monday 10PM next season but I’d be even more surprised if it landed Thursday at 8. My guess remains that NBC will move it to Tuesday 9PM where it can keep its Voice lead-in for another season and boost the overall night for them. The only other option I really see presenting itself is Thursday 10PM. That would be a bit of a gamble but it could pan out since in theory it should have a different audience and skew to Scandal and whatever CBS put there which will presumably depend on whether they pull the trigger on expanding to two-hours of comedy on Thursday (they shouldn’t).

    Can I also say that I’m really rather surprised how on board everyone here to seems to be with this proposed Chicago Fire spin-off. It strikes me as quite possibly the worst idea I’ve heard all season. NBC’s focus at this point should be on trying to grow Chicago Fire not spinning off a new show from it. Its just odd. And Chicago Fire isn’t anywhere near popular enough to make it a no brainer either.

  • Martine

    Grimm and Revolution are the only nbc shows worth watching, and of those two i only like Grimm.

  • Scott

    I’ve heard if Hannibal gets renewed all new seasons will be limited to 13 episodes, is this something you have also heard? It seems to me NBC may want to rethink that if Hannibal continues to do well, because their ratings are crap and not giving a show with great ratings 22-24 episodes kind of seems moronic. I understand not everyone loves the gore but I’ve heard numerous reviews by those gore hating people who love Hannibal, so if this 13 episode thing is true I’m hoping NBC will rethink that strategy.

  • Bev

    Alex,I agree. I think there is a lot of lobbying on this site in support of decisions already made by networks.The discrepancy shows when a show returns to poor ratings after everyone has said how “wonderful” it is,when it isnt.

    Dont you wonder why hardly anyone talks about Revolution, and yet that is the one clear success of the season, no doubt about it.

    On the other hand, when in doubt, LOBBY!

  • Oliver

    NBC is holding a press event today, and it seems likely they will use the opportunity to announce some renewals. Most likely are Revolution, Chicago Fire and Grimm, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they announce more.

  • Oliver

    @Bev

    Well, part of that is that people tend to talk about shows at risk that they want renewed.

    Besides, I’m not convinced Revolution is a clear success. It’s not doing that much better than Smash last season.

    Smash – 4/9/2012 – 2.0 (out of a 4.0 Voice lead-in)
    Revolution – 4/8/2013 – 2.2 (out of a 5.0 Voice lead-in)

    @Alex
    I think a Chicago Fire spin-off is a good way to launch a new L&O and giving it a built-in audience. I may be wrong.

  • will

    Renewed: Community, Go On, Parks and Recreation.

    Everything else in comedy will be cancelled.

  • The End

    @Alex

    Fully in agreement with you.

    @were123

    Good point, read it all, but Alex has summed up what I would of said anyway.

  • Anne

    Hannibal is the worst show ever! I guess people like gore and guts….I admit I watch The Following and Bates Motel and really enjoy them both. But I just can’t stomach Hannibal. Maybe it’s the cannibalism.

  • Oliver

    Looks like they didn’t announce renewals. Guess they’re holding off til upfronts.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures