CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled; Plus, What Drama Gets Moved To Friday?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


finally-friday-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 21, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.55
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.61
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.82
CSI renewed 0.86
Elementary renewed 0.88
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.16
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 4/26) 1.51
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.15

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There's no suspense left in the remaining CBS drama renewal or cancellation decisions, so all that's left for the Cancellation Bear in these weekly posts is getting some headlines in place that will get some search engine love once frantic fans start searching for their previously canceled shows. Vegas is certain to be canceled. Of course. There still may be those out there believing otherwise. If so, please seek out your local mental health professional.

Since discussing CBS' remaining, and except for RoE, 100% obvious moves, let's go for a discussion in the comments about which current drama will be moved to Friday next fall. CBS is certain to keep Blue Bloods on Friday, and almost certain to premiere a new drama there, but there's no way they put two new dramas there in the Fall, so a current drama's gotta move.

The bear has no way of predicting accurately based on the limited history he has to work with, but I'm sure everyone has their own theories. Have at it!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Psychic

    I never thought I’d say this, but… I miss Unforgettable…

  • chrisss

    @ omabin

    I agree with most of your schedule, but since CBS will want Elementary to get to syndication I can’t see them moving it to Fridays this early.

    I’m very interested in which show they move to Friday at 8pm, as it’s been a pretty awful slot for scripted dramas in the last couple of years. They’d be better off leaving Undercover Boss there, but if CBS want to launch 3 new dramas again there’s no room for UB on the fall schedule. (well unless they cut Survivor and Amazing Race down to one cycle each, which is pretty unlikely.

  • Hardline_Pro

    Hawaii Five-0 should be moved to Friday. It’s doing horrible on Monday.

  • Kathleen

    Please keep Golden Boy especially try to move for better viewership!! CBS once again not giving this new show an opportunity to gather as audience!! It is a great show and deserves a chance!!

  • Lord Garth

    I agree with Ivan, Golden Boy gets picked up and airs Fridays at 10. Blue Bloods will move to 9PM.

  • neatcheat

    What’s the point of launching new drama on Friday? It’s doomed from the start and usually is pulled from schedule before airing 13 eps. Doesn’t CBS learn from their mistakes?

  • DenverDean

    CSI is not moving to Fridays – if it moves it goes to 10/9 on Tuesdays so that NCIS: Red is between two established series. LA moves to Wed 9/8 and CM moves to 10/9. H50 on Sundays after TAR would be a good move. CBS rarely makes radical changes to schedule, that’s why they are #1.

  • DenverDean

    Oh, and CBS just signed Ted Danson to a two-year contract, so they are certainly not looking at next season as CSI’s last and tossing it in Friday oblivion.

  • Bob

    @ProViewerShipNumbers,

    Not to be rude, but that is the most ridiculous schedule I have ever seen. First of all, there is no way that they will have 27 episodes for show (costs too much at 22 and 24). Secondly, Criminal Minds LAST season? No way. In fact, they are doing contract negotiations and the contract will be for multiple years. Thirdly they are not going to have a show after 1100 primetime on Sunday.

  • reiaod

    LOL vegas isn’t being cancelled. Too good.

  • art

    I hear CM has big contract issues. Status uncertain at this point. bummer

  • The End

    @Illinois

    Since no one has responded to you, I will. I think you did a good job there with that schedule.

    @Bob

    Ignore him, he’s doing it to provoke a reaction.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “What’s the point of launching new drama on Friday? It’s doomed from the start and usually is pulled from schedule before airing 13 eps. Doesn’t CBS learn from their mistakes?”

    Yeah, just like Blue Bloods was doomed!

    Oh, wait…

  • paul

    I’d watch “Unforgettable” on Fridays. Or any other day…

  • Greg

    Since they renewed both The Good Wife and The Mentalist, I think the wisest thing to do would be to premiere only two new dramas. Just leave Undercover Boss on the regular schedule. We’ve seen that nothing they air on Fridays at 9 does better than UB.

    My vote is The Mentalist goes to Fridays at 9 and The Good Wife moves to Sundays at 10. They could move either Hawaii 5-0 or CSI to Sundays at 9 (I would go with CSI and leave H50 on Mondays, since NBC will probably try to use The Voice’s lead in to premiere another new drama there and it could very well do the numbers Revolution did back in the fall).

  • catsrule

    Sunday
    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Hawaii Five-O
    10:00 The Good Wife

    Monday
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 2 Broke Girls
    9:00 Two and a Half Men
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 Beverly Hills Cop

    Tuesday
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS Red
    10:00 Criminal Minds

    Wednesday
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00 CSI: Crime Scene Investigation

    Thursday
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 New Comedy
    9:00 Person of Interest
    10:00 Intelligence

    Friday
    8:00 Undercover Boss
    9:00 The Mentalist
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Midseason: Elementary

  • Diane

    I’m a big H50 fan, I know its not doing as well, but I would not mind seeing it on Friday. Some say Friday is the kiss of death, I think Sunday is. Although TGW and Mentalist have been renewed again. I also watch Blue Bloods, and would like to see them together. I hate that the lead ins for H50 are comedies. Unless its the Big Bang Theory, it is not going to help.

    I also liked Unforgettable, and was happy to hear that they were going to give it another shot at a shortened season. I had heard that they were putting it in H50′s spot on Monday at 10pm, and thats why H50 re-runs were going to Friday at 9pm, also to try that slot out for H50. Is this wrong?

  • Rob

    I could see moving TGW to Friday and H50 to Sunday. I think the ratings make sense for it. And I think the shows would suit those nights.

    TGW/Blue Bloods seems a good fit. They seem thematically similar and have a similar “feel”, if that makes sense.
    H50 following The Amazing Race seems a good fit, as well. And I think it would hold up better after sports events because I feel more people would stick around after watching football to watch H50 than to watch TGW.

  • Rob R

    A lot of suspect The Good Wife was renewed for its 25-54 demo numbers and demographics on percentage of affluent viewers, but that is partially speculation.

  • Rob R

    I dont agree that TGW and Blue Bloods are compatible. TGW’s writing and plotting is a lot more sophisticated than Blue Bloods.

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