CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled; Plus, What Drama Gets Moved To Friday?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


finally-friday-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 21, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.55
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.61
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.82
CSI renewed 0.86
Elementary renewed 0.88
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.16
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 4/26) 1.51
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.15

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There's no suspense left in the remaining CBS drama renewal or cancellation decisions, so all that's left for the Cancellation Bear in these weekly posts is getting some headlines in place that will get some search engine love once frantic fans start searching for their previously canceled shows. Vegas is certain to be canceled. Of course. There still may be those out there believing otherwise. If so, please seek out your local mental health professional.

Since discussing CBS' remaining, and except for RoE, 100% obvious moves, let's go for a discussion in the comments about which current drama will be moved to Friday next fall. CBS is certain to keep Blue Bloods on Friday, and almost certain to premiere a new drama there, but there's no way they put two new dramas there in the Fall, so a current drama's gotta move.

The bear has no way of predicting accurately based on the limited history he has to work with, but I'm sure everyone has their own theories. Have at it!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Mon

    Dan is delusional. CSI is the #1 CBS 10pm drama and he is suggesting that CSI be moved to Fridays. But it gets crazier because he wants it to put at 8pm, the worst possible timeslot aside from Saturday. I could see 1% chance of CSI moving to Fridays given it is the 9pm spot not 8pm.

  • gerry

    i think they should place a new show in the friday slot. it worked for blue bloods. if they don’t do that, they put mentalist there. maaaaaybe h50.

    so either sunday stays like it is or mentalist moves and H50 goes before or after TGW. with the CONSTANT overruns cbs has on sunday, it makes sense for them to keep some of their lower rated programming there.

    i’ll watch TGW whenever it airs, but i do like it on sunday (especially when it airs on time).

  • gerry

    just realized that there will still be another slot to fill on friday, in which case i say mentalist goes. cbs doesn’t have a stake in its future like it does with TGW or H50

  • Ali

    Probably hawaii 5-0

  • Kissan

    This is my CBS schedule for Fall 2013:

    Sunday

    8:00-The Amazing Race

    9:00-Hawaii Five-0

    10:00-The Mentalist

    Monday

    8:00-HIMYM(final season)

    8:30-Mom(new comedy)

    9:00-Two & A Half Men

    9:30-Mike & Molly

    10:00-Beverly Hills Cop(new drama)

    Tuesday

    8:00-NCIS

    9:00-NCIS:Red(new drama)

    10:00-NCIS:Los Angeles

    Wednesday

    8:00-Survivor

    9:00-Criminal Minds

    10:00-CSI

    Thursday

    8:00-The Big Bang Thoery

    8:30-2 Broke Girls

    9:00-Person Of Interest

    10:00-Elementary

    Friday

    8:00-Undercover Boss

    9:00-The Good Wife

    10:00-Blue Bloods

    Any thoughts?

  • Mon

    I think what CBS should do with Friday is to just follow their previous strategy:
    8pm The Mentalist
    9pm New Drama
    10pm Blue Bloods
    In case the new drama flops, UB will come to save the day:
    8pm Undercover Boss
    9pm The Mentalist
    10pm Blue Bloods
    Putting CSI to Friday 8pm would just hurt it and possibly the Wednesday 10pm spot it would have vacated.

    With Sundays, I think CBS should probably move Hawaii Five-0 to 9pm which might be an improvement over The Good Wife and TGW would probably do fine at 10pm.

  • The End

    @Kissan
    @9:00-Hawaii Five-0 – Sundays

    I think this would be a better choice to go after The Amazing Race too, certainly it has a chance to go above 2.0 following TAR, assuming the existing Nielsen audience follow to Sunday and some TAR fans who haven’t seen before check it out..

    It would increase the lifespan beyond Season 4 anyway..

  • omabin

    @The End,

    I agree about H50 to Sundays in theory, but is CBS really going to bother to move one of the reallocated dramas (TM or TGW) to Fridays for that? I mean, at this point, CBS Sunday is as much or more of a graveyeard than CBS Fridays, so will they really shift them around? I have the impression that when shows are send to Sundays or Fridays they are send to die in there, period. But maybe it is just me. Otherwise I would send the mentalist or the good wife to fridays and h50 to sundays, yes.

  • bob

    vegas cant be cancelled! cancel stupid csi las vegas

  • neatcheat

    @Bill Gorman
    ok, Blue Bloods, fair enough. but let’s look at other CBS Fall Friday premieres

    2012 – Made in Jersey – pulled from schedule
    2011 – A Gifted Man – not renewed
    2010 – Blue Bloods – 3 seasons and counting
    2009 – no premieres
    2008 – The Ex-list – pulled from schedule
    2007 – Moonlight – not renewed
    2006 – Close to Home – 2 seasons, finally
    2005 – Threshold – premiered on Friday, not renewed
    2004 – Dr. Vegas – pulled from schedule
    2003 – The Handler – not renewed

    I agree, there were some midseason shows that survived 1st season, but the trend is clear. what I don’t get is why not push some old show to Friday and give a chance to new one.

  • Ultima

    @neatcheat
    but let’s look at other CBS Fall Friday premieres

    2000 – CSI

  • Mon

    My fantasy schedule for CBS would be something crazy like this:

    Monday
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 Mike & Molly
    9:00 Person of Interest
    10:00 new drama

    Thursday
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 2 Broke Girls – should move out of The Voice to prosper
    9:00 Two and a Half Men
    9:30 new comedy
    10:00 Elementary

  • samurai99

    @Mon

    CSI is not the #1 10 pm show. Elementary is. Look at the ratings chart.

    I’m saying move CSI and the Mentalist to Friday, and move H5O to Sunday at 10 pm. Elementary can move to any 10 pm slot Mon-Thursday, with new show premiering in the other 10 pm timeslots.

  • Melanie

    Which one of Mentalist, Good Wife & H50 skews the oldest? That’s the show that will be moved to Fridays.

  • Billiam

    Probably The Mentalist will get moved to Friday and will be cancelled next season.

  • rehabber

    I wish they would put The Mentalist on Friday, so I would not have to put up with CBS and their sports overruns. Have to set the DVR for 2 shows after Mentalist to make sure I get it all.

  • Mon

    @samurai 99

    Yes I had looked at the chart and knew Elementary was ahead in the table. But that only includes ratings since December. So I searched and when fall ratings are included, CSI and Elementary are tied at #1 with 2.34. And no, CSI is not getting screwed by moving it to Fridays. Thank goodness Duck Dynasty is finishing its season this Wednesday and CSI will have the chanve to rise a little bit and beat Elementary.

  • Dave

    My schedule:

    Mondays:
    8p:How I Met Your Mother/2.5 Men
    8:30p:New Comedy
    9p:2 Broke Girls
    9:30p:Mike and Molly
    10p:Beverly Hills Cop

    Tuesdays:
    8p: NCIS:LA
    9p: NCIS
    10p:NCIS:Red

    Wednesdays:
    8p:Survivor
    9p:Criminal Minds
    10p: New Drama

    Thursdays:
    8p:TBBT
    8:30p:New Comedy
    9p:Person of Interest
    10p:New Drama

    Fridays:
    8p:The Mentalist
    9p:CSI
    10p:Blue Bloods

    Sundays:
    8p:The Amazing Race
    9p:Hawaii Five-0
    10p:The Good Wife

  • Ultima

    @Melanie
    Which one of Mentalist, Good Wife & H50 skews the oldest? That’s the show that will be moved to Fridays.

    Why? It’s not like those older viewers have value on Friday or detract from a show’s value on another night. Total viewership does not matter.

  • omabin

    @Ultima,

    I think an argument can be made that the higher within the 18-49 rage a show skews, the more suited it is for friday. A show whose 18-49 ratings come mostly from 18-34 is not well suited for fridays, because the 18-34 are more likely to be out on fridays. So yes, while “older viewers”, as in higher than 49 do not count, I still think the different skew, within the demo, is relevant when deciding which show would perform better on friday.

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