CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled; Plus, What Drama Gets Moved To Friday?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


finally-friday-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 21, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.55
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.61
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.82
CSI renewed 0.86
Elementary renewed 0.88
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.16
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 4/26) 1.51
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.15

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There's no suspense left in the remaining CBS drama renewal or cancellation decisions, so all that's left for the Cancellation Bear in these weekly posts is getting some headlines in place that will get some search engine love once frantic fans start searching for their previously canceled shows. Vegas is certain to be canceled. Of course. There still may be those out there believing otherwise. If so, please seek out your local mental health professional.

Since discussing CBS' remaining, and except for RoE, 100% obvious moves, let's go for a discussion in the comments about which current drama will be moved to Friday next fall. CBS is certain to keep Blue Bloods on Friday, and almost certain to premiere a new drama there, but there's no way they put two new dramas there in the Fall, so a current drama's gotta move.

The bear has no way of predicting accurately based on the limited history he has to work with, but I'm sure everyone has their own theories. Have at it!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • SLI

    I believe H50 will move to Friday. As others have already mentioned, it’s not doing well on Mondays, and is an incredibly expensive show to make. I also don’t see it lasting more than another season; it just needed a 4th season for syndication. It will fit well on Fridays with Blue Bloods. Mentalist and Good Wife will probably stay right where they are, and are both also only good for another season. CBS needs to come up with some fresh hits.

  • Connor Murdock

    What CBS Should do next Season:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Mike & Molly
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY/Jacked Up
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – NEW COMEDY/The McCarthys
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA/Reckless

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NEW DRAMA/NCIS: Red
    10:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – NEW DRAMA/The Advocates
    10:00 – CSI: Crime Scene Investigation

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men
    9:00 – NEW COMEDY/MOM
    9:30 – How I Met Your Mother (Final Season)
    10:00 – Elementary

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Person of Interest
    10:00 – The Mentalist

    On Hold for Mid-season/Spring: NEW: Beverly Hills Cop,Undercover Boss, NEW: Bad Teacher, NEW: Friends with Better Lives.

    Criminal Minds if renewed will air in the spring or be picked up by ABC.
    Golden Boy (a Warner Bros and CBS production) should go to The CW.

    I just dont see CBS putting a new drama on Fridays next season. They will dump their weaker shows there and use stronger time slots on trying to launch new series. Also I see CBS expanding their comedy hours as HIMYM will be in its final season and they will want to launch new comedies that are less expensive than 2 1/2 Men.

  • omabin

    Why would CM be held to midseason or be picked up by ABC?

  • ConnorMurdock

    @omanim
    Criminal Minds is produced by ABC Studios. CBS might choose to dump an expensive show like criminal minds in favor of a cheaper show that they fully own. ABC won’t let a show like criminal minds go as it desperately needs strong dramas. The same thing happened with medium. NBC dumped it and CBS picked it up because they made it. As for mid season on CBS I think if they do renew it they will need the space on the schedule for a new drama and will want to hold off on a stronger show in case one doesn’t work out.

  • Monica

    With declining ratings for NCIS and Person of Interest, Criminal Minds has become CBS’s highest rated drama. They aren’t letting it go any time soon. Don’t be ridiculous.

  • Holly

    @Monica,

    With declining ratings for NCIS and Person of Interest, Criminal Minds has become CBS’s highest rated drama.

    CM isn’t going anywhere, but it is not CBS’s highest rated drama. It has beat NCIS precisely twice this year, and PoI was doing worse than CM in the fall and still has a higher average.

  • The End

    @Monica
    @With declining ratings for NCIS and Person of Interest

    What declining ratings? Do you have any idea what you’re talking about?

  • ConnorMurdock

    @Monica

    CBS has not renewed Criminal Minds yet. They are in contract negotiations and CBS doesn’t need the show. It’s not ridiculous to say its days are numbered. It provides solid ratings yes but is not their highest rated drama. With it not being owned by the network and not already renewed its a tossup. In the end it will come down to money and profit for CBS. If CBS thinks it can make more on a new show and save money criminal minds is toast on CBS. The only way I see it going to midseason is if CBS wants to keep ABC from getting it. Of course CBS can always have a lackluster pilot season. But the new pilots sound really good.

  • Holly

    @ConnorMurdock,

    Something would have to go horribly, horribly wrong in the negotiations for CBS not to renew Criminal Minds.

  • KJ Styles

    Here is my fantasy schedule for CBS next season. Hit me with feedback…I know this schedule isn’t likely to happen, but I just wanna know if y’all think it’s a good one….

    Monday

    8:00 How I Met Your Mother (final season)
    8:30 Mom
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 New Comedy
    10:00 Elementary

    Tuesday

    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS Red
    10:00 NCIS LA

    Wednesday

    8:00 Two & A Half Men (final season, I get the feeling that Ashton may not sign on for another one)
    8:30 Mike & Molly
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 CSI

    Thursday

    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 Crazy Ones
    9:00 Person Of Interest
    10:00 Intelligence

    Friday

    8:00 Hawaii Five-0
    9:00 The Good Wife (13 episode final season, then Undercover Boss takes over and switches time slots with H50)
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Sunday

    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Survivor
    10:00 The Mentalist

    Midseason- Beverly Hills Cop, another comedy pilot

    I think CBS should expand their comedy hours next year so they can build another potential hit. If they don’t, then they will only have Big Bang Theory and 2 Broke Girls as major hits. Mike & Molly is only a marginal hit, and it remains to be seen if Mom or Crazy Ones (provided both get picked up) will be hits. What do y’all think?

    Plus, I think Survivor would work on Sundays…it’d certainly do better than The Good Wife has been doing in that timeslot. Hit me back with your thoughts.

  • Nick

    @omabin

    I like it very much.

    Thanks. :)

    I would swap the good wife and hawaii five-0

    Oh, definitely. The only reason I have it there was that I made that part of the schedule back when my weekday was more chaotic, and I wanted to limit the number of moves. Now that the only other major moves are Elementary and Two & A Half Men, I’ll switch the two.

    I don’t believe they will hold the mentalist for midseason. But it doesn’t change your fundamental schedule, since it can just take the spot of undercover boss on fridays.

    I have a minor thing about your minor thing: I don’t have The Mentalist positioned to take over for Undercover Boss. I want that to stay there to help Elementary. It would be replacing TGW instead.

    I would hold Mike and Molly for midseason and turn it into the new rules of engagement and premiere another comedy right away. They have way too many high profile comedies this year to premiere just one in the fall.

    Eh. I disagree. Premiering only one in the fall is OK if you properly premiere one in the spring (not in a NYC 22 or CHAOS sort of way). Also, if you’re holding something for midseason, it has to be 2.5 Men, as Mike & Molly is in the home stretch for the 88-episode mark.

    I am not that sold in Red. I think we are in for another CM: Suspect Behaviour. I think they will pick it up, but I would hold it for midseason and premiere something else instead.

    I think it’s worth the risk. The buzz around the series should attract a sizable audience, enough to last 13 episodes at least. It should be given the chance to get a full season, and if it doesn’t work out, put The Mentalist there.

  • Brian

    Something no one is really mentioning here is CBS has a big problem on Sundays. Due to sports, no one ever knows what time the shows will actually air. It is very difficult to watch. The Mentalist is a victim of this, which is why i think they renewed it. I think the Cancellation Bear and others were idiots to even suggest CBS would cancel a show that has been as successful as The Mentalist. It wasn’t the show’s fault. They know that. The same goes (but to a lesser degree) for The Good Wife. In my opinion, the Mentalist would be very successful on Fridays. It is not a dead show, it has a bad time slot. FYI- I am not a fan of The Mentalist. Seriously, “Red John”?

  • Jon

    Personally I would get the Mentalist off Sunday nights and put it on Tuesday night at 10pm. I would premier one new drama sunday, one new drama Monday, one new drama friday….and move Hawaii 5-0 to friday nights at 8pm….new drama at 9 and then bluebloods

  • Jon

    There is zero chance person of interest gets moved from it’s timeslot on Thursday. It’s been a hit in that time slot. There is no reason to mess with it at this time

  • Connor Murdock

    @Jon there was no reason to move The Good Wife from Tuesdays at 10pm for Unforgettable but they did it anyway to launch a new show. Person of Interest would do well on Sundays with The Mentalist and CBS could dominate thursdays with a 2 hour comedy block!

  • Reedmac

    Monday
    8-HIMYM
    8.30-Mom
    9-2BG
    9.30-Mike and Molly
    10-Beverley Hills Cop

    Tuesday
    8-NCIS
    9-NCIS:LA
    10-New Drama

    Wednesday
    8-Survivor
    9-Criminal Minds
    10-Elementary

    Thursday
    8-TBBT
    8.30-Super Clyde
    9.30-TAAHM
    9.30-Robin Williams Comedy
    10-POI

    Friday
    8-Hawaii 5 O
    9-CSI
    10-Blue Bloods

    Sunday stays the same

    Mid season

    Hostages
    NCIS:RED

  • Sailingsam

    Good Wife is CBS’s best show..move it to Tuesday night! Sunday is a bad spot..

  • NBC’s Diego

    CBS, make the world a favour and cancel ‘Rules of Engagement’.
    CBS, cancel ‘Vegas’ and ‘Golden Boy’.
    CBS, renew ‘Two and a Half Men’ for 11th and 12th final seasons.
    CBS, give ‘CSI: NY’ a second chance.
    CBS, renew ‘Criminal Minds’ and move it to Tuesdays at 10pm to make that slot go well.

  • JOE

    Fall 2013

    Monday
    HIMYM
    2 Broke Girls
    2.5 Men
    The Crazy Ones (New)
    Criminal Minds

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    NCIS:LA
    The Surgeion General (New)

    Wednesday
    Survivor
    Intelligence (New)
    CSI

    Thursday
    The Big Bang Theory
    Super Clyde (New)
    Mom (New)
    Mike&Molly
    Persons of Interest

    Friday
    Hawaii 5-O
    Elementary
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    The Good Wife
    The Mentalist

    ===================================================
    Mid-Season

    Dramas
    NCIS:RED
    Hostages

    Comedies
    Ex-Men
    Jacked Up
    Mothers Day

  • Matthew Chapman

    @Bill Gorman

    Update to the Table time-Two & a Half Men has Been Renewed.

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