CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled; Plus, What Drama Gets Moved To Friday?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 23rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


finally-friday-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 21, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.55
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.61
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.82
CSI renewed 0.86
Elementary renewed 0.88
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.16
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 4/26) 1.51
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.15

-
There's no suspense left in the remaining CBS drama renewal or cancellation decisions, so all that's left for the Cancellation Bear in these weekly posts is getting some headlines in place that will get some search engine love once frantic fans start searching for their previously canceled shows. Vegas is certain to be canceled. Of course. There still may be those out there believing otherwise. If so, please seek out your local mental health professional.

Since discussing CBS' remaining, and except for RoE, 100% obvious moves, let's go for a discussion in the comments about which current drama will be moved to Friday next fall. CBS is certain to keep Blue Bloods on Friday, and almost certain to premiere a new drama there, but there's no way they put two new dramas there in the Fall, so a current drama's gotta move.

The bear has no way of predicting accurately based on the limited history he has to work with, but I'm sure everyone has their own theories. Have at it!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ultima

    @Brian
    Something no one is really mentioning here is CBS has a big problem on Sundays.

    Hopefully that’s because they either learned the error of their ways or are just sick of being lectured by me on the subject! ;)

    CBS does NOT have a problem with sports overruns on Sundays. Sure, the 10pm show suffers due to running into late night, but the overall ratings for their primeime programming are up. The unpredictable start times are obviously not a problem, otherwise The Amazing Race and The Good Wife would have lower ratings as well The Mentalist.

    Due to sports, no one ever knows what time the shows will actually air. It is very difficult to watch.

    If you’re watching live, CBS tweets the start times. If you are recording, simply expect an hour of overrun past the usual time.

    I think the Cancellation Bear and others were idiots to even suggest CBS would cancel a show that has been as successful as The Mentalist.

    It was likely to be either The Mentalist or CSI New York getting cut after The Good Wife pulled its syndication deal. CBS owns the CSI franchise, but not The Mentalist. It was impossible to know which show was more profitable for CBS simply based on the ratings, timeslots, etc.

  • cha

    Well, since Vegas has not officially been cancelled,leave it on Fridays before Blue Bloods. It works with it.

  • Kate

    The Golden Boy cancled already??? They hardly gave it a chance! But they Renew The Good Wife really? So unhappy!!!

  • Donna

    I love Vegas, it’s so refreshing and interesting to go back to another Era,,better yet based on a real life story. Also it’s nice to not have a steady diet of blood, guts, Gore, not to mention a swear word in every other line. Please don’t cancel this show, I think the actors and actresses mesh well and do a good job.

  • Depeche Mom

    Save Vegas!

    I don’t care what night it’s on the air, I record it anyway.

  • Pam

    CBS won’t make a lot of changes, they never do. A new drama on Monday and Tuesday. And H50 moving to Friday because it it the weakest show.
    I don’t see H50 surviving more than the four seasons needed for syndication, the show is very expensive and the numbers are awful. And I think the show will make CBS Fridays weaker, but nothing CBS can do, they need the episodes.

  • Nick

    @Pam

    I don’t see H50 surviving more than the four seasons needed for syndication, the show is very expensive and the numbers are awful.

    I definitely disagree with you here. I can see Hawaii Five-0 having a long life (at least 5-6 seasons), thanks to its huge syndication deal, which according to SpottedRatings.com, is $2,500,000 per episode, larger than every other CBS show on the air.

  • Mark

    Call me crazy but I love Vegas. It is too bad someone else isn’t going to pick this up. Is it me or do they just cancel the shows I like?

  • Malcom

    No one should be surprised that the T.V. show VEGAS is being cancelled. How do you keep an audience interested in a show that was put on hiatus six different times since the show began for other programming that was considered more important. The longest break in episodes was 6 weeks, and when the show finally returned, it was moved from Tuesday night to Friday night. Then just a couple of weeks in to it’s new night, what does CBS do again? They moved considered a special report on the Boston Bombing more important and moved it once again to Saturday night for a week. Some one at CBS must have taken a dislike to VEGAS early on and wanted the show gone. I’ve never seen a new show yanked around this bad before on any network.

    The people acting in this drama are good actors and actresses. Too bad VEGAS didn’t get a chance to play out every single week on one night. I could have seen an audience of 9 million viewers or better over time as the show built it’s fan base.

    So to the people at CBS who wanted to see this show fail, it looks like you succeeded.

  • Holly

    @Malcolm,

    The long hiatus and move to Friday didn’t cause the cancellation, they were the result of its already cancellation-worthy ratings.

  • CBSlover

    My 2013 – 2014 fall schedule

    Sunday
    8.00: The Amazing Race
    9.00: The Good Wife
    10.00: The Mentalist

    Monday
    8.00: How I Met Your Mother
    8.30: Mom
    9.00: 2 Broke Girls
    9.30: Mike & Molly
    10.00: Elementary

    Tuesday
    8.00: NCIS
    9.00: NCIS: Red
    10.00: NCIS: Los Angeles

    Wednesday
    8.00: Survivor
    9.00: Criminal Minds
    10.00: Beverly Hills Cop

    Thursday
    8.00: The Big Bang Theory
    8.30: Super Clyde
    9.00: Two and a Half Men
    9.30: The Crazy Ones
    10.00: Person of Interest

    Friday
    8.00: CSI: Crime Scene Investigation
    9.00: Hawaii Five-0
    10.00: Blue Bloods

    Mid-season:
    Bad Teacher
    Hostages

    So what do you guys think?

  • Jim

    Since you tell people who disagree with you to see mental health professionals,please explain why Vegas is certain to be cancelled.

  • Morgan Wick

    One thing to keep in mind: With the NFL moving the late doubleheader later, CBS had to move 60 Minutes to 7:30 on doubleheader weeks this year, and it often ended up airing at 8 and pushing the 10pm drama out of primetime entirely. I think CBS bites the bullet and launches their own version of the OT, pushing 60 Minutes to 8; no way they move it to 10 like Benjamin Elliott suggests, though.

  • Sheri

    Am I the only one starting to wonder if the multiple schedules with Saturday scripted prime time shows are coming from someone with more than one account here? Seriously, the worst idea ever putting things like that on Saturday night. Until the ratings start counting shows recorded and watched later, it’s a moot point. People aren’t going to stop having a social life and start planning Saturday nights around shows they want to watch. Yes, people watch TV on Saturday night. The question is what small percentage of the numbers from any given Saturday watch consistently EVERY Saturday. As things stand now, that’s a recipe for failure.

  • Ultima

    @Jim
    please explain why Vegas is certain to be cancelled.

    The ratings for Vegas are terrible! They are so bad that CBS pulled the show and moved it to Fridays; when they scheduled a news special last Friday, they moved Vegas to Saturday instead of pulling one of the repeats.

    Additionally, if you include Criminal Minds, CBS already has ten returning dramas for next season and doesn’t have room on their schedule for any more.

    It’s not like this is even a borderline case, anyone who has been paying attention has known Vegas was going to be canceled for months.

    I would go so far as to say I don’t think that Vegas is certain to be canceled, for all practical purposes, it has already been canceled.

  • Ultima

    @Morgan Wick
    One thing to keep in mind: With the NFL moving the late doubleheader later, CBS had to move 60 Minutes to 7:30 on doubleheader weeks this year, and it often ended up airing at 8 and pushing the 10pm drama out of primetime entirely.

    That is complete nonsense. 60 Minutes did not often end up airing at 8pm, it never started that late (except when it was scheduled to after an NFL playoff game).

    Also, CBS did not change their scheduling at all – it was purely cosmetic. They simply listed the start time later in an effort to help viewers know that there would be lengthy overruns.

    I think CBS bites the bullet and launches their own version of the OT

    Why would CBS throw away an hour of primetime? How does that help them? It wouldn’t even help the 10pm drama, because they would have to order fewer episodes due to the lack of available time on Sunday nights.

    CBS won’t do it because there is no benefit. The same reason they haven’t done so for decades. Why do people keep insisting that CBS has to fix a problem which doesn’t exist?

    FOX and NBC had problems programming the 7pm hour with NFL overruns, which is why FOX eventually went with The OT and NBC with Dateline (before they lost their NFL package).

    CBS, on the other hand, has had the same program in the Sunday 7pm timeslot for ~40 years and it has worked just fine with the overruns.

  • Ultima

    @Sheri
    Until the ratings start counting shows recorded and watched later

    Nielsen ratings have included DVR for nearly a decade now.

  • Pam

    @Nick

    This is from the site you mentioned… “They’re all estimates, and at times they are even estimates of estimates, as not even all these figures are totally agreed upon…”
    Considering the deal mas made in the first season when CBS was selling the remake as the new “Lost” with high demo numbers, maybe those “estimates” and deal conditions have changed because of the awful numbers the remake is getting.

  • CBSviewer

    @ CBSlover

    It’s a good schedule but I disagree about a few things:
    – CSI won’t move to Friday. And if it moves it will be on Tuesday at 10/9c and not on Friday at 8/7c.
    – I think Hawaii Five-0 will get higher ratings on Sunday after The Amazing Race with The Good Wife at 10/9c. The Mentalist moves to Friday.
    – I think an NCIS night is a bad idea. But the mothership could move to 9/8c to boost Red at 10/9c.
    – Thursday should remain the same.
    – CBS could premiere dramas on Monday at 10, Tuesday at 10 and Friday at 8.

  • Spen B

    MONDAY

    8:00 How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike and Molly
    10:00 NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAY

    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: LA
    10:00 NEW DRAMA

    WEDNESDAY

    8:00 Criminal Minds
    9:00 Person of Interest
    10:00 CSI

    THURSDAY

    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 Two and a Half Men
    9:30 NEW COMEDY
    10:00 Elementary

    FRIDAY

    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 The Mentalist
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY

    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Hawaii Five-O
    10:00 The Good Wife

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures