ABC: 'Body Of Proof' & 'How To Live With Your Parents' Now "Toss Ups" To Be Renewed Or Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


tossed bears

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Happy Endings (some F) :oops: 0.50
Red Widow :oops: 0.56
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof :| :| :| 0.72
Last Man Standing* (F) :) :) :) :) 0.74
The Neighbors* :| :| :| 0.87
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.94
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.94
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
How To Live With Your Parents :| :| :| 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.07

-
In what is an upgrade for Body Of Proof  and a downgrade for How To Live With Your Parents (For the Rest Of Your Life) the Cancellation Bear now predicts both as "toss ups" to be renewed or canceled.

Whatever mojo Body Of Proof had last season that saved it when it averaged just 66% of ABC's scripted show average ratings could again save it this season, particularly since it's now averaging over 70% of this spring's ABC scripted show ratings average (a level for which for most shows would mean cancellation).

Sandwiched by repeats, How To Live With Your Parents ratings dove last week to just a 1.5 rating. It'll be surrounded by new episodes this Wednesday in what is likely a make or break outing. If it doesn't rebound, expect a negative prediction on May 7.

Final up or down (no toss ups!) guesses next Tuesday, May 7!

Although it's not that easy to see, the photo is of teddy bears tossed onto a hockey rink in some sort of promotional event.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Brad Bernstein

    You cut off the paragraph on How to Live with Your Parents

  • Max Vrany

    If it doesn’t re

    If it doesn’t re… What?

    The suspense is killing me! I can’t wait to hear the obvious stated in a medium where people will inevitably ignore it and skip to the comments and boast about how awesome their favorite show is!!!!!

  • Anon

    I predicted 1.5 for HTLWYP; it’s just that I was a week early.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “If it doesn’t re

    If it doesn’t re… What?

    The suspense is killing me! I can’t wait to hear the obvious stated in a medium where people will inevitably ignore it and skip to the comments and boast about how awesome their favorite show is!!!!!”

    I’d like to be able to explain it as “wanted to see if anyone was reading the text”, but, as always, the simpler explanation of “whoops!” is the real one ;)

  • kennya

    @Max: Your comment reminds me of the last TBBT theory episode.

    The most interesting thing about ABC is, if they renew HTLWYP or not.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    If they renew Body of Proof once again, as schedule spackle, they’ll have 7 dramas next season coming back. Add in the inevitable new dramas such as SHIELD and you’re gonna have quite the packed schedule.

  • Ted Craig

    A lot of people are commenting on something I noticed a while ago, too, and that’s that for the No. 4 network, ABC seems to have very little room for new shows.

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    Just wanted to tell Bill & for that matter all 4 of you, I do read the text of your prediction & daily ratings threads. I find them very worthwhile/informative. I, for one, am glad that you take the time to have at least some text instead of just numbers & I love numbers.

  • jupiter

    bill once upon a time ratings decline should be labeled as a likely cancellation

  • MilfordMan

    Holy crap! Not a single show has been renewed yet!!! :O

  • Ultima

    @Ted Craig
    A lot of people are commenting on something I noticed a while ago, too, and that’s that for the No. 4 network, ABC seems to have very little room for new shows.

    If it seems like that then people either are looking at the wrong things, under the delusion that ABC can’t cancel shows or drastically overestimating how much new programming ABC will air in the fall.

    ABC had four hours of new progamming last fall, they’ll have at least that much this fall.

  • Anyanka

    ABc only doesn’t have a lot of room for new shows if they renew everything besides Happy Endings. If Nashville, Body of Proof, HTLWYP, Neighbors, Suburgatory, and Malibu Country all get full seasons in addition to everything else, then ABC only has room for 2 dramas and 1 comedy.

    If Body of Proof gets a midseason order (or gets cancelled) and another comedy gets cancelled, that’s room for 3 dramas and 2 comedies. You get the idea.

  • David

    @Jupiter

    Are you delusional?

  • Ultima

    @MilfordMan
    Holy crap! Not a single show has been renewed yet!

    That’s a good thing – it let’s us enjoy completely delusional ramblings about the fates of shows for which there is no doubt, which is an all too rare pleasure this time of year!

    @jupiter
    bill once upon a time ratings decline should be labeled as a likely cancellation

    Speaking of which… ;)

  • David

    @Anyanka

    Hopefully ABC will come to their senses though and cancel The Neighbors. The show is a failure.

  • Dan

    Both Body of Proof and How to Live will be renewed. HTL has a better chance than BOP and much better than The Neighbors but due to ABC’s drama failures both Nashville and BOP have a good chance and due to ABC’s comedies not doing great, How to Live has a good chance to be saved. ABC will likely keep How to Live on Wed post MF and move Nashville to Sundays at 10. BOP will either air Tuesdays at 10 Fridays at 9, or be moved to midseason in case a new show tanks.

  • Holly

    @Ultima,

    ABC had four hours of new progamming last fall, they’ll have at least that much this fall.

    4 hours isn’t a lot, especially for a 4th place network. CBS premieres 3 1/2 hours each year and it’s on top.

  • Wright

    Renew OUAT!!! It’s the only show I watch on this network.

  • pa3k

    Canceled ABC

  • Anyanka

    @David

    Agreed. Although I kind of want them to renew it just so I can see it move to Tuesday to anchor a new block and get 0.5s despite a 2.0 lead-in from DWTS before getting pulled. All just to make Happy Endings look better.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures