ABC: 'Body Of Proof' & 'How To Live With Your Parents' Now "Toss Ups" To Be Renewed Or Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


tossed bears

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Happy Endings (some F) :oops: 0.50
Red Widow :oops: 0.56
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof :| :| :| 0.72
Last Man Standing* (F) :) :) :) :) 0.74
The Neighbors* :| :| :| 0.87
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.94
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.94
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
How To Live With Your Parents :| :| :| 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.07

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In what is an upgrade for Body Of Proof  and a downgrade for How To Live With Your Parents (For the Rest Of Your Life) the Cancellation Bear now predicts both as "toss ups" to be renewed or canceled.

Whatever mojo Body Of Proof had last season that saved it when it averaged just 66% of ABC's scripted show average ratings could again save it this season, particularly since it's now averaging over 70% of this spring's ABC scripted show ratings average (a level for which for most shows would mean cancellation).

Sandwiched by repeats, How To Live With Your Parents ratings dove last week to just a 1.5 rating. It'll be surrounded by new episodes this Wednesday in what is likely a make or break outing. If it doesn't rebound, expect a negative prediction on May 7.

Final up or down (no toss ups!) guesses next Tuesday, May 7!

Although it's not that easy to see, the photo is of teddy bears tossed onto a hockey rink in some sort of promotional event.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TJ

    I am being told that the only shows set to get canceled are Red Widow and Happy Endings. Malibu Country is set for renewal along with The neighbors which is also leaning to the side of renewal. I also hear Body of Proof is firmly on the Bubble but i hear it is now set to be renewed for a 13 episode season 4. How To Live With Your Parents is also firmly on the bubble and it’s next episodes will determine it’s future.

    Malibu Country – This show has surpassed any expectations and soaring to 7 million and a 1.4 rating for it’s series finale. While Happy Endings get 3 million and a 0.6 rating. There is no way ABC would get rid of a strong comedy airing on Friday’s.

    The neighbors – I have been told if The Family Tools flops, this will get renewed, however with the Family Tools premiering tomorrow and only 3,000 likes on Facebook (compared to other shows like Malibu Country which has 150,000 likes before it premiered and HTLWYPFTROYL which had 77,000 likes before it premiered, i am confident it will flop. I know facebook likes don’t matter but they are a good indication into what shows will be popular and which ones won’t. Hence, CBS’s Made In Jersey only had 3,000 likes and it was canceled after 4 episodes.

    Body of Proof – While a 1.6 isn’t high, this show has levelled and has never dropped below it’s season 3 premiere rating of 1.2 over the 4 weeks it had without DWTS lead. Also since every new show has flopped this season, i doubt ABC would get rid of a show that gets nearly 10 million viewers per episode. Yes, the 18-49 rating may be slightly low, but it was only 0.1 lower than Revenge last week. A 13 episode mid season is relevant because it is a good schedule filler for flopped new shows. But don’t underestimate this, a full season order would be possible if ABC wants to hit syndication much faster but they would need to place it in a strong time-slot (swapping BOP and Scandal time-slots would be perfect to fix this problem as Scandal has clearly established a strong audience now).

    How To Live With Your Parents – This will be renewed. Yes it slipped without the new MF episode, but it was still a 0.1 higher than Suburgatory after a MF repeat and it’s quirky style humour seems to have adopted a strong audience. But slipping lower than 1.5 will cancel the show, but i would not expect this too happen this season. However, ABC need to be careful with this time-slot, every show that has been moved away from the MF time-slot (except suburgatory) has been canceled (Apartment 23) or is going to be canceled (Happy Endings). Bearing in mind, Apartment 23 did never slip to a 1.5 with a MF repeat, i wouldn’t be surprised if it was canceled and neither should you be.

  • tomsman

    The only shows we watch on ABC are “Modern Family” and “Revenge.” We are good – thankfully!

    Btw, I Googled “hockey game teddy bears on ice” and I was blown away by the results:

    “Fans throw 25,000 teddy bears onto the ice to celebrate Calgary Hitmen’s first goal as part of a long-standing hockey tradition… The game is then stopped while the bears are collected off the ice and taken into a storeroom, before being distributed to children in need during the festive period.” The Mirror UK website

    In the larger scheme of things, it is, indeed, “some sort of promotional event”. However, it is an amazing thing done every year to benefit needy children during the 2012 holiday season. 25,000 teddy bears being tossed onto the ice simultaneously is clearly both moving and more impressive than most things we see on tv nightly. Also on the Mirror UK site is a fan made video of the largest portion of the toss. Since Canadian Junior Hockey is not broadcast in the US (except perhaps on CBC – which we get here in Detroit on basic cable), it’s really worth viewing if you need a guaranteed day brightener. ;-)

  • Patrick Ausgewahlt

    Exception to the rule about shows premiering in May failing is Glee. Had great premier numbers. Moderate fall numbers. Huge success in the Spring (Idol helped). Huge sucess in its second season. It was been a moderate sucess since. Point being, Family Tools will probably fail, but it’s not a guarantee.

  • Fred

    ABC FALL 2013

    Sunday

    AFHV-7:00
    BACHELOR-8:00-2 hours-Should compete well with NFL and TWD.
    NASHVILLE-10:00- This show should help ABC here.

    Monday

    DWTS- 8:00-2 Hours. Drop the results show on Tuesday. Leaves more room for scripted.
    CASTLE-10:00

    Tuesday

    OUAT-8:00-Yes a bit of a risk, but I think fans will follow.
    NEW SHOW-S.H.I.E.L.D.
    NEW SHOW- BOP later in the season

    Wednesday

    MIDDLE-8:00
    NEW SITCOM
    MODERN FAMILY-9:00
    NEW SITCOM
    REVENGE-10:00

    ABC needs to try more compatible sitcoms on this night. SUBURGATORY and/or NEIGHBORS can return later in the season if the new shows fail.

    Thursday

    SHARK TANK- Enough with the expensive scripted dramas here.
    GREY’S
    SCANDAL-10:00

    Friday

    LMS-8;00
    MALIBU-If ABC decides to cancel, replace with How To Live or Family Tools.
    SHARK TANK-9:00
    why not a second airing? A no brainer to me. If impossible, 2 sitcoms, perhaps SUBRGATORY and NEIGHBORS.
    20/20-10:00

    Two new 1 hour scripted programs and Two new 30 min sitcoms. Three hours of new programing.

  • Ultima

    @Patrick Ausgewahlt
    Exception to the rule about shows premiering in May failing is Glee.

    There’s a difference between a premiere and a preview.

  • Fred

    ABC’s new MOTIVE and MISTRESSES are being heavily promoted. ABC can use a couple of surprise hits. I’ll be checking them out.

  • Marc

    Ted Craig
    “A lot of people are commenting on something I noticed a while ago, too, and that’s that for the No. 4 network, ABC seems to have very little room for new shows.”

    ABCs big problem is they have a lot of decent performing shows with a few busts but no major anchors. No “it” show that can pull in big Demos now that DWTS is down.

    NBC is the opposite. They have Sunday Night Football and The Voice keeping them afloat and everything else is crap. They could probably replace the whole of the rest of their schedule and do no worse.

    CBS has their endless stable of procedural franchises and solid comedies.

    FOX still has AI and X-factor. Though not monstrous anymore, they still pull 2s and 3s. Given the amount of hours these shows run per week and FOXs shorter 2hr block, this is enough to give them an edge, as the rest of their lineup is ok-ish.

    So back to ABC. They are 4th place because they don’t have that one or two shows that heavily inflates their average. They are loaded with decent performers. Not great enough to write home a out, but not horrid enough to replace it and hope something does better. Nashville could go either way. You either decide a 1.7 is okay and can maybe grow, or you replace it hoping the replacement doesn’t do a Last Resort or Red Widow. Nashville probably makes it because ABC already has issues on Tuesday at 8, Thurs at 8, and Sunday at 10. They also only have 2 solid comedies in the Wed block, the others are interchangeable ratingswise. It’s also why Malibu is probably returning. Do you want to “hope” that the replacement can end the season with a 1.5 on a Friday? ABCs problem is too many ok performers and a fear that a replacement show would fail out the gate and the mess is bigger and they say… “That 1.7 would be nice right now”

  • Matt

    @Fred
    DWTS results is not going to be removed, as it is needed for the competition and for revenue from product placement(Macys, ATT).
    @Mya
    DWTS Results will likely remain where it is.

  • Chrissy

    I say midseason renewal for Body of Proof! :)

  • Fred

    @Marc,

    Agreed 100%.

  • Fred

    @Matt

    That was my fantasy. I hate watching ABC waste 3 hours of unscripted programing. DWTS is no longer worthy of so much time.
    They could easily add some results the next week and change the format of the show .

  • Holly

    @Marc,

    ABCs big problem is they have a lot of decent performing shows with a few busts but no major anchors. No “it” show that can pull in big Demos now that DWTS is down.

    NBC is the opposite. They have Sunday Night Football and The Voice keeping them afloat and everything else is crap. They could probably replace the whole of the rest of their schedule and do no worse.

    Yes, The Voice and SNF are keeping the network afloat, but Parenthood, SVU, Chicago Fire, and Grimm have all been pretty solid. And Revolution would still easily get renewed on ABC or FOX. Their comedies on the other hand…

  • gerry

    @ fred – i like your moving the bachelor to sunday. that actually makes alot of sense and probably wouldn’t get killed by competition (aside from probably real housewives on cable and maybe lifetime) but that makes good sense and the pre-emptions wouldn’t make much of a difference v something serialized.

    i agree with whomever said that abc doesn’t have the juggernauts that are the voice and football. it can’t do much about the latter, but it needs to discover its next big reality hit and fast.

  • gerry

    also, as i’m looking, i also agree with shark tank on thursday. i have been saying for some time that there is no reality in the 8 pm slot so its probably the only thing that can be viable in that spot, especially in the spring when idol is on.

  • Jeff

    Motive is actually really good CTV the owners of motive have aired almost the whole first season in canada. It’ll pair well with rookie blue this summer.

    ABC is sure making things suspenseful this year I really hope they announce a few renewals this week.

  • Fred

    @Gerry

    Thanks for the comment.

    It would be great if ABC can develop a huge show. DWTS cooled off a while ago and Modern Family is no longer the monster it once was.

    Many believe S.H.I.E.L.D. will be that show. I think it will premiere high, but not sure about the longevity.

  • ryan

    I’ll say this again, there is no way ABC gets rid of the DWTS results show. They basically get a 2.0 rating for an hour for free. All these fantasy schedules that get rid of it are either trying to cram in their favorite bubble show or to get more new shows on the schedule. If they already have three new dramas, what makes you think that a fourth one (which means it was the show ABC was fourth-most confident in) will beat DWTS? Unless ABC thinks the extra hour is hurting DWTS through over-exposure, which I doubt, they won’t get rid of it.

    And I’m not even a fan of the show. Never seen it. But I can tell you it performs well enough at such low costs. This is also why CBS isn’t going to timeshare Amazing Race and Survivor, which is something only desperate Vegas/CSI NY/Golden Boy fans think they will do.

    @Mya

    Your Tuesday is actually really interesting. It seems like a good female-skewing night without needing to move DTWS to Sunday/Monday (which ABC should do but won’t) or cutting the results show (see above). Having a comedy block at 8 on Thursday is risky though since Big Bang Theory would steamroller most comedies. And I would replace the Neighbors, which should be cancelled, with Malibu Country, which is more compatible and already tested on Friday.

  • DeanW

    What ABC could do next season:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars
    10:00 – Castle (24 episodes)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars
    9:00 – S.H.I.E.L.D. (13-22 episodes)
    10:00 – The Returned (13 episodes) / Body of Proof (13 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The Middle (24 episodes)
    8:30 – Mixology (13-22 episodes)
    9:00 – Modern Family (24 episodes)
    9:30 – How to Live with Your Parents (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Murder in Manhattan (13-22 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – Shark Tank
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy (24 episodes)
    10:00 – Scandal (24 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Last Man Standing (22 episodes)
    8:30 – Malibu Country (18 episodes)
    9:00 – Suburgatory (22 episodes)
    9:30 – How the Hell Am I Normal ? (13-22 episodes)
    10:00 – 20/20

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – Once Upon a Time (22 episodes)
    9:00 – Revenge (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Nashville (22 episodes)

    Thoughts ?

  • DeanW

    Mid-season: The Neighbors.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    The teddy bears picture is awful! Not nearly as good as the bear holding his brow. Major fail, Bill. :-)

    I’m guessing Body of Proof might actually return again as a 13-episode spring show since it appears to have stabilized, albeit at a low level. It will never be a hit and will probably never see syndication (too few episodes per season), but it might survive another season.

    I saw episode five of Zero Hour last night. Major reveal about the guy’s wife. Show is still a bit interesting despite the crappy acting and bad casting.

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