ABC: 'Body Of Proof' & 'How To Live With Your Parents' Now "Toss Ups" To Be Renewed Or Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


tossed bears

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Happy Endings (some F) :oops: 0.50
Red Widow :oops: 0.56
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof :| :| :| 0.72
Last Man Standing* (F) :) :) :) :) 0.74
The Neighbors* :| :| :| 0.87
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.94
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.94
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
How To Live With Your Parents :| :| :| 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.07

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In what is an upgrade for Body Of Proof  and a downgrade for How To Live With Your Parents (For the Rest Of Your Life) the Cancellation Bear now predicts both as "toss ups" to be renewed or canceled.

Whatever mojo Body Of Proof had last season that saved it when it averaged just 66% of ABC's scripted show average ratings could again save it this season, particularly since it's now averaging over 70% of this spring's ABC scripted show ratings average (a level for which for most shows would mean cancellation).

Sandwiched by repeats, How To Live With Your Parents ratings dove last week to just a 1.5 rating. It'll be surrounded by new episodes this Wednesday in what is likely a make or break outing. If it doesn't rebound, expect a negative prediction on May 7.

Final up or down (no toss ups!) guesses next Tuesday, May 7!

Although it's not that easy to see, the photo is of teddy bears tossed onto a hockey rink in some sort of promotional event.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • omabin

    @Skylar James,

    Agree 100%:
    – The schedule is 100% dependent on what happens to DWTS. I think it belongs on Sundays now as counter programming against the male skewing stuff that is going on in there (TWD, Football, Fox Cartoons) and also because its two cycles a year is the perfect way to work around awards season. Also, the show badly needs to be moved away from the voice, as the ratings are showing every day. I would also cancel the results show.
    – I think Sundays, Mondays and Tuesdays (with the exception of Castle) need to be 100% revamped. This would involve a lot of moves so, for the sake of stability, I wouldn’t touch Wednesday, Thursday and Fridays, apart from plugging a new show Thursdays at 8.

    Monday:
    Once Upon a Time
    Shield
    Castle

    Tuesday
    New Comedy
    New Comedy
    Big Thunder
    Revenge

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    How to Live with Your Parents
    Nashville [13 eps order only to see if it grows, if not, can it come midseason]

    Thursday
    Doubt or Murder in Manhattan
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    Malibu Country
    Shark Tank
    20/20

    Sunday
    DWTS/ Winter Wipeout/ DWTS
    DWTS/ The Taste/ DWTS
    Body of Proof
    But, as I’ve said, this would require too much moves and we have to compromise.

  • omabin

    @Skylar James,

    Agree 100%:
    – The schedule is 100% dependent on what happens to DWTS. I think it belongs on Sundays now as counter programming against the male skewing stuff that is going on in there (TWD, Football, Fox Cartoons) and also because its two cycles a year is the perfect way to work around awards season. Also, the show badly needs to be moved away from the voice, as the ratings are showing every day. I would also cancel the results show.
    – I think Sundays, Mondays and Tuesdays (with the exception of Castle) need to be 100% revamped. This would involve a lot of moves so, for the sake of stability, I wouldn’t touch Wednesday, Thursday and Fridays, apart from plugging a new show Thursdays at 8.

    Monday:
    Once Upon a Time
    Shield
    Castle

    Tuesday
    New Comedy
    New Comedy
    Big Thunder
    Revenge

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    How to Live with Your Parents
    Nashville [13 eps order only to see if it grows, if not, can it come midseason]

    Thursday
    Doubt or Murder in Manhattan
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    Malibu Country
    Shark Tank
    20/20

    Sunday
    DWTS/ Winter Wipeout/ DWTS
    DWTS/ The Taste/ DWTS
    Body of Proof

  • JacobYates

    @scifi
    Why do you suggest that? It performs well above ABC’s scripted average despite the decline in its ratings. To be downgraded it would have to dip below 2.0 for at least 2 weeks at a time.

  • Liz

    @nick DWTS would be tuesdays at 8 which is why my schedule had shorter season on subergatory and spy. The problem with the friday stuff is last man standing needs a male companion. Also abc can not launch more then couple shows in the fall, I held malibu back to launch a female-esque comedy block in the winter at 9pm on Friday.

  • omabin

    Correction to my previous schedule:

    As Nick has pointed out to me, since DWTS English Version runs on Saturday/Sunday with the same judges and producers, the Sunday fall run wouldn’t be possible. But there is no spring or winter version of this show in the UK apparently. So I would air the bachelor on fall during sundays, filler in winter during awards season, and finally have DWTS taking over in spring.

  • Stan T.

    @DeanW

    I’ve heard rumors that LMS was going to get 22 episodes next season…I’m guessing that would mean it has to be renewed if it’s getting 22 episodes…

  • Elly

    I really hope they don’t cancel Body Of Proof or How To Live With Your Parents! :( They’re both great shows, it would be silly to cancel them. Body of Proof has a loyal fan base who rallies to ensure there’s no cancellation while How To Live With Your Parents just needs some time to develop and kick off.

  • JacobYates

    @Stan T.
    For some reason, LMS only got 18 episodes this season as opposed to 22 the year before. It would need 2 seasons of 24 episodes each to reach the magic #88 but it could probably be syndicated with a little less.

  • Jake

    ABC FALL Schedule should be:

    Mon.
    8p DWTS
    10p NEW DRAMA (13 episodes) depending on ratings

    Tue.
    8p DWTS Results
    9p Family Tools (13 episodes)/ Last man standing (13 episodes)
    9:30 How…Parents (13 episodes)/ Malibu Country (13 episodes)
    10p Nashville (22 episodes)

    Wed.
    8p The Middle (25 episodes)
    8:30 Suburgatory (18 episodes)
    9p Modern Family (25 episodes)
    9:30 NEW COMEDY (13 episodes) depending on ratings
    10p NEW DRAMA (13 episodes) depending on ratings

    Thu.
    8p Castle (25 episodes)
    9p Scandel (25 episodes)
    10p Revenge (25 episodes)

    Fri.
    8p AFHV
    9p Shark Tank
    10p 20/20

    Sun.
    7p Once…time (22 episodes)
    8p Grey’s Anatomy (25 episodes)
    9p Sun. night football

    I believe this would give ABC a winning schedule.

  • Ultima

    @Jake
    9p Sun. night football

    :roll:

    The college football shcedule is basically set (at least in terms of dates), so there’s no chance that this could happen this fall.

    Even if it could, the quality of game they would be able to get for Sunday night would probably be mid-major conferences and would be absolutely crushed by Sunday Night Football. I doubt they could average better than a 0.5 rating.

    What a stupid idea.

  • HV

    In the past I expected ABC to renew Family Tools because by the upfronts it will have aired two episodes. After last night’s premire, I changed my mind. Now, here is my schedule with a few changes.

    SUNDAY
    7:00 America’s Funniest Home Videos (Sept. 15)
    8:00 Once Upon a Time (Sept. 22) (13 ep)/Once Upon a Time spin-off (NEW) (Jan. 5) (10 ep)/Once Upon a Time (Mar. 30) (9 ep)
    9:00 Revenge (Sept. 22) (22 ep)
    10:00 Lucky 7 (NEW) (Sept. 22) (22 ep–canceled)

    MONDAY
    8:00 Dancing with the Stars (Sept. 16)/The Bachelor (Jan. 6)/Dancing with the Stars (Mar. 17)
    10:00 Castle (Sept. 16) (24 ep)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 Suburgatory (Oct. 1) (22 ep)
    8:30 Mixology (NEW) (Oct. 1) (22 ep)
    9:00 Dancing with the Stars (Sept. 17)/Primetime (Jan. 7)/Dancing with the Stars (Mar. 18)
    10:00 Body of Proof (Sept. 17) (22 ep)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 The Middle (Sept. 18) (24 ep)
    8:30 Spy (NEW) (Sept. 25) (22 ep)
    9:00 Modern Family (Sept. 18) (24 ep)
    9:30 How to Live with Your Parents (For the Rest of Your Life) (Sept. 25) (22 ep)
    10:00 Nashville (Oct. 2) (22 ep)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 S.H.E.I.L.D. (NEW) (Sept. 26) (24 ep)
    9:00 Grey’s Anatomy (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    10:00 Scandal (Sept. 19) (24 ep)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 Last Man Standing (Oct. 4) (24 ep)
    8:30 Malibu Country (Oct. 4) (22 ep–canceled)
    9:00 Shark Tank (Sept. 13)
    10:00 20/20 (Sept. 13)

  • Ultima

    @Jake
    Sun.
    7p Once…time (22 episodes)
    8p Grey’s Anatomy (25 episodes)

    So stupid, in fact, that I actually overlooked this the first time I read your schedule.

    Yikes.

    I believe this would give ABC a winning schedule.

    I believe that this is the worst ABC schedule suggestion of the year. There’s only a couple weeks left, I think you’re going to win!

  • Ultima

    @HV
    In the past I expected ABC to renew Family Tools because by the upfronts it will have aired two episodes.

    What kind of silly logic is that? If they cut a scripted show’s episode order and postpone the premiere until May, chances are they don’t have high hopes for it.

  • HV

    Actually, change OUAT’s spring premire date to April 6 because I forgot it only needs 8 weeks if I want it to have a two-episode or two-hour finale.
    Also, The Middle and Modern Family have two-episode or hour-long premires and LMS has a two-episode or hour-long finale.

  • HV

    @Ultima
    I just figured that, because it had only aired two episodes, ABC will not want to cancel it. But after the ratings of the premire, my mind has completely changed. A shame, because it was better than I expected.

  • Ultima

    @HV
    Actually, change OUAT’s spring premire date to April 6 because I forgot it only needs 8 weeks if I want it to have a two-episode or two-hour finale.

    If Once Upon a Time returned on 6 April next year, it could only air for six weeks before the end of the season (Billboard Music Awards 18 May, season ends 21 May).

    If you’re going to be predicting premieres and finales, you should probably account for details like that.

  • HV

    @Jake
    Here are the major problems with your schedule: Family Tools. After last night’s ratings, there is no way it will get renewed, especially for 13 episodes. Also, of any comedy to move from Wednesday, the second-year comedies that aired less than 10 episodes in their first season? Suburgatory should get the move to Tuesday. Maybe HTLWYP if it is airing after Suburgatory. Also, too much change! Everyone’s going to get confused. Only five shows are in their 2012-13 timeslot.

  • HV

    @Ultima
    How these Sundays agrivate me! I read that if the OUAT spin-off gets picked up, it will air between like rotations or whatever of OUAT. Does that mean like how The Voice and The Biggest Loser aired this season on NBC? (Like I have for them?) If so, ABC is psycho.

  • HV

    @Jacob Yates
    The first season of LMS had 24 episodes. So, it needs 46 more episodes for syndication, a 22 and a 24 episode season, or two 23 episode seasons.

  • Ultima

    @HV
    How these Sundays agrivate me!

    Don’t forget that AMAs and Oscars (which are a different week next year due to the Olympics)!

    read that if the OUAT spin-off gets picked up, it will air between like rotations or whatever of OUAT.

    My guess would be that it would air at 9pm Sunday following Once Upon a Time the first week of January, then move to another night for 9 weeks (probably filling in for the DWTS results show). It would end before Once returned after the Oscars.

    ABC can fit 22 episodes of Once on Sunday even with a two month break if that’s the route they choose to go.

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