CW: 'The Carrie Diaries' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Cult* canceled 0.35
90210 canceled 0.49
Emily Owens, M.D.* canceled 0.54
Nikita (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.59
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
The Carrie Diaries* :cry: :cry: 0.73
Hart Of Dixie renewed 0.89
Beauty And The Beast renewed 0.94
Supernatural renewed 1.52
Arrow renewed 1.61
Vampire Diaries renewed 1.92

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The Cancellation Bear has been painted into a headlining corner. The renewals last week of Beauty & The Beast and Hart Of Dixie (both predicted by the bear) means that The Carrie Diaries had to go back into the headline, since the only other undecided show, Nikita, was in the headline last week!

The good news is that the end to all this rehashing the obvious is near! Our final up or down guesses arrive next Tuesday, May 7.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • EVESIX

    Cancel both TCD & Nikita. It’ll leave room for two more new shows this fall.

  • Kelly Smith

    The CW have already said that Arrow/Supernatural will be paired again during their next seasons so why do people keep posting their schedule predictions without them being together? lol

    I hope Nikita gets a full season 4, but i’m happy just getting another season full stop, it’s always been a consistently amazing show and unlike Supernatural (which I also love) it’s gonna end at a good time and not drag on and on and on.

  • CancelationBeaver

    @ Kelly Smith

    If what you said is true it’s an amazing news for both Shows. Where did you read that ?

  • Rachel

    @Kelly Smith

    I’ve never heard anything of the sort. Source?

  • reallypeople

    I would also like the source too, Kelly.

    Not doubting you, but at this stage where the scheduling is still being finalized… swapped around based on whatever pilots they go with… it would be unusual for a network to block out an entire night for consideration.

  • JJA

    With regard to Arrow/Supernatural on the same night, I actually read (via Ausiello) that “The Tomorrow People” was being considered as a possible companion for Arrow.

    We shall see …

  • Holly

    Right now pretty much every scheduling combination is being considered.

  • Alex

    CW gonna F up in put SPN rival of Grimm again I feel it. Just leave it alone work on another night. In not to mention screw up Supernatural fans watching Arrow as a 1.2 punch so that show to can suffer.

  • Jared

    I highly doubt the CW will move BatB to Fridays next season. It seems like the CW wants to try and build BatB up and pair it with a new series this Fall that could potentially grow the series. My suggestion would be Mondays paired with either HoD or Oxygen.

  • starship

    I honestly don’t get the ‘Arrow and Supernatural work, keep them together argument’. The advertisers pay money no matter which day of the week the show is on (as long as the ratings are good), thus putting Supernatural on Tuesday at 9 and leaving Arrow on Wed at 8, gives them a chance to launch 2 new shows, a self starter on Tuesday and a superhero show like The Tomorrow People to mesh well with Arrow. This way, they also won’t have to worry about the Tuesday’s death slot as Supernatural’s fans will follow it anywhere.

  • Jared

    I dont see the point of using Arrow as the lead in for Supernatural next season when A)Arrow can now be used as a lead in for a brand new series such as The Tomorrow People and B) Supernatural could also be paired up with a new series like it was this season with Arrow. I dont personally watch SPN but im sure those fans will pretty much follow it anywhere on the CW schedule.

  • Monica

    Supernatural might be fine if it moved to another night, but Arrow could lose some viewers. A lot of people checked out Arrow because it was on before Supernatural, and they might not continue to watch it if Supernatural moves to another night. Supernatural also risks losing at least a few Arrow viewers if it gets jerked to yet another time slot. The CW also would have to spend money to promote the moves to new nights in addition to promoting their new shows.

    And can people stop referring to various time slots as “death slots”? I have heard Monday at 8, Monday at 9, Tuesday at 8, Tuesday at 9, Thursday at 9, Friday at 8, and Friday at 9 all referred to as death slots at some point. If a show is good, people will watch it (except perhaps on Friday).

  • EVESIX

    If CW were smart, they’d do this:

    Monday
    Hart of Dixie
    Company Town

    Tuesday
    Oxygen
    Beauty & The Beast

    Wednesday
    Arrow
    Tomorrow People

    Thursday
    The Vampire Diaries
    The Originals

    Friday
    Supernatural
    Encore

  • EVESIX

    And put the last remaining epis of Nikita in Wednesdays or Fridays. and add Tomorrow people as a mid-season series. I think it would be a good compromise.

  • nep

    The internal conflict between Warner Bros and CW is about how many episodes will be in Nikita’s final season.

    “As for Nikita, the fact that the series wasn’t renewed alongside Beauty and the Beast and Hart of Dixie this past week has led to A LOT of rumours about the fate of the series, these rumours are almost all erroneous and seem to be emanating from less than credible sources with little knowledge of the industry. Let me put you Nikita fans at ease. Insiders tell me that the series is all but assured a fourth season renewal. The rumour that the series fate is connected to pilots is partly true, but only in terms of the episode order. According to my sources, a fourth season of 13 episodes is a shoe in, they have also indicated that this would be the final season for Nikita. The network could still go for a 22 episode season if they don’t pick up as many drama pilots as they currently expect to and it should be noted that both Warner Bros. and EP Craig Silverstein are pushing for 22 episodes.”

  • NE1

    Happy Supernatural is doing well, they need to make Felicia Day a regular because her character is fabulous.

  • I like your schedule evesix

  • JJA

    Regarding Nikita, Michael Ausiello stated the following yesterday:

    “I’m told the reason Nikita wasn’t included in last week’s CW pickups was because series creator Craig Silverstein was in Virginia shooting his AMC pilot Turn and therefore unable to pitch his Season 4 plan to the network. He’s now back in L.A. and due to meet with CW brass in the coming days. Bottom line: The show is still a safe bet for a (shortened) fourth season.”

    @NE1–I’m with you about Felicia Day.

  • Rachel

    @Jared @Starship

    I agree. Not to mention the fact that Supernatural did just fine when it aired on Fridays last season. Pairing Arrow/TTP wouldn’t be the worse decision in the world.

  • Rachel

    @JJA

    That sounds a lot more legit than package deals with other WB shows. Whoever reported that…

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