NBC: 'Hannibal' Tumbles To A "Toss Up" To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


facepalm-bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.82
Community :| :| :| 0.86
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.87
Go On* :| :| :| 0.90
Deception* :oops: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) renewed 0.99
Hannibal :| :| :| 0.99
Parenthood* renewed 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU renewed 1.21
Chicago Fire renewed 1.35
The Office final season 1.39
Revolution renewed 1.57

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Against the NFL Draft last week, Hannibal ratings crashed to just a 1.0 for adults 18-49. The Cancellation Bear considered moving Hannibal to "likely canceled" today, but decided to take a look at one more episode's worth of ratings before going thumbs up or down.

And one more episode is all he's going to get, final guesses for Hannibal, and the rest of the NBC shows are coming on Tuesday, May 7. Buckle up!

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TVDude

    ^sorry, not tonight, I mean Thursday. Not feeling my best today :)

  • Jonay

    Is The bear in the photo ashamed of NBC??

  • Yessir

    I have a feeling Parks, Go On and TNN will be renewed. Whitney and Community will both be canceled.

  • Only1Moore

    It looks like KSL/Salt Lake City has already lost its appetite for “Hannibal”; they dropped the show and is now airing on CW rival KUCW along with “The New Normal,” so that tells you their fate have already been sealed if you can’t you own NBC affiliate to clear their network shows.

  • Ultima

    Per Deadline, the latest buzz out of NBC doesn’t look good for fans of their current batch of sitcoms…

    I hear the network brass feel their half-hour development is so strong, they may bet heavily on new series and hardly keep any of the existing comedy series (besides Parks & Recreation, of course).

  • TheAlesar

    RENEW Hannibal it is one of the darkest and best shows of this season. <3 Incredible. Just give it one more chance to pick up the audience it deserves.

  • Chris J

    Hannibal may come back if they can cut cost. It would probably do better on Friday with Grimm. It would be sad if it were cancelled since its probably NBC’s most critically acclaimed new drama this season.

    As for comedies. The New Normal and Whitney are dead. Parks is getting a full season and Community and Go On are either going to get mid season or spackle treatment.

    Michael J Fox’s comedy already has a full season order, but unlike all of NBC’s other current comedies MJF is a family comedy. So I assume it’ll be paired with another new comedy (like “About A Boy”) an maybe even Parenthood.

  • Chris J

    @Ultima

    That makes sense because as I stated above, NBC’s new comedies aren’t compatible with their current comedies (not even Go On) so there’s not much point for them to keep the old comedies to fill space on Thursday.

  • karin

    Hannibal against “nothing” ,cancelation obvs,bingo NFL @ 10 PM ?

  • CG

    If NBC cancels Hannibal, they’re going to lose me as a viewer for all their shows present and future. Why even bother getting attached to something if their going to decide its fate after 5 episodes? That’s insanity.

  • MichaelChickless

    Is it too late to bring back The Paul Reiser Show for next season? ;-) :-)

  • Janet Snakehole 3

    They made a mistake and paired Hannibal against Scandal AND Elementary. It needs a new timeslot. Please NBC, be smart about this one. Its the best you have.

  • gerry

    this was nbc’s most promising show of the spring. WHY didn’t they put it after the voice? now nbc loses both smash and hannibal. i think the death knell for hannibal was when nbc decided to put grimm in the post voice slot. sorry hannibal fans, but i’m not sorry i didn’t get invested. stupid nbc.

  • Ange

    I don’t think Hannibal will be renewed if its ratings continue to plummet. It will finish out the season, however. It really should be on premium cable, not network tv.

  • gerry

    @ ultima –

    i guess when you’re sitcoms can barely scratch a 1.0, that’s pretty good logic! LOL

    i’ll miss TNN a bit (mostly all NeNe) but yeah, this deadline info is pretty unsurprising news.

    as long as my P&R is safe, i’m a happy guy :D

  • gerry

    **your

  • TV Addict

    NOOO!!! COMMUNITY IS ON THE BOTTOM!!! Doesn’t matter, it’ll still get #sixseasonsandamovie

  • Stacy

    I’m wondering if any of the TVbtN writers actually believe that Hannibal could have done better under different circumstances, specifically:

    1) Airing after The Voice or paired with Grimm
    2) Not having entered so quickly behind Bates Motel and The Following (even though they aren’t directly competing, might people already have their fill of new shows featuring killers?)
    3) Crappy lead-in aside, being up against Elementary and Scandal seemed like the deck was stacked against Hannibal from the start.

    I’m a fan of Hannibal, so I realize these are all excuses. Perhaps people just aren’t interested in the show… I was just curious as to what the folks who spend a lot of time thinking about ratings thought of Hannibal’s chances were it not for those setbacks.

    Anyway, thanks for the time you put into this site. I’m a new visitor (past couple weeks, due entirely to Hannibal), but have enjoyed reading your thoughts.

  • thatguy

    Community just needs another half a season to get 100 episodes and to finish the last semester at green dale. With all the bad NBC sitcoms I cant imagine them not getting atleast that.

  • Alex

    NBC should move Hannibal to Fridays. Do like Fox with Fringe and keep a critic’s darling around. Give it a slot where it’ll be less offensive (for lack of a better word) and more creative freedom. Granted, NBC doesn’t really have Fox’s ratings, but alas, I really just want more Hannibal.

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