NBC: 'Hannibal' Tumbles To A "Toss Up" To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 30th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


facepalm-bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 28, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.82
Community :| :| :| 0.86
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.87
Go On* :| :| :| 0.90
Deception* :oops: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) renewed 0.99
Hannibal :| :| :| 0.99
Parenthood* renewed 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU renewed 1.21
Chicago Fire renewed 1.35
The Office final season 1.39
Revolution renewed 1.57

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Against the NFL Draft last week, Hannibal ratings crashed to just a 1.0 for adults 18-49. The Cancellation Bear considered moving Hannibal to "likely canceled" today, but decided to take a look at one more episode's worth of ratings before going thumbs up or down.

And one more episode is all he's going to get, final guesses for Hannibal, and the rest of the NBC shows are coming on Tuesday, May 7. Buckle up!

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Don

    NBC Fall 2013

    Sunday
    SUNDAY Night Football

    Sunday Winter 2014:

    7 – Dateline
    8 – Ironside (New Show / Reboot)
    9 – Celebrity Apprentice

    +++Figured Ironside might be a good fit there.
    ***Maybe if not renew Celebrity Apprentice put The Blacklist at 9 and Hannibal at 10?

    Monday
    8:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – Revolution

    +++Not Broke, don’t fix it.

    Tuesday
    8:00 – The Voice (Results)
    9:00 – Parenthood
    10:00 – I Am Victor (New Show)

    +++Think the new timeslot for Parenthood would work and put together with the John Stamos show would work.

    Wednesday
    8:00 – The Sixth Gun (New show)
    9:00 – Chicago Fire
    10:00 – Law & Order: SVU

    +++Sixth Gun is a western based on a comic book. Switching Chicago Fire and SVU back to 10 would work better I think. Also, too soon for a Chicago Fire Spinoff but maybe for next season. Maybe have the spinoff cast guest star several times on Chicago Fire so folks get used to them and want to see more of them, dumping ones that don’t work.

    Thursday
    8:00 – Parks & Recreation
    8:30 – Community (Final Season)
    9:00 – MJF (New Show)
    9:30 – Go On (New Day and Time)
    10:00 – Hannibal

    +++Figured the Matthew Perry show after the new Michael J. Fox Comedy might be a good fit together. Maybe the big names of Michael J. Fox and Matthew Perry could bring in an audience. Also, figured give Community a final season, ending in last Thursday of November Sweeps, then new comedy in winter 2014. Maybe Sean Hayes new comedy Happiness?
    ***This assumes Hannibal will be renewed, otherwise a new drama. Maybe The Blacklist or other drama such as After Hours and try another medical drama in ER‘s old slot.

    Friday
    8 – Believe (New Show)
    9 – Grimm
    10 – Dateline

    +++ Believe might be a good fit with Grimm.

    Saturday
    8 to 9 – Rock Center
    9 to 11 – Repeats

    +++Sorry to Brian Williams who won’t like it.

    Midseason:
    Wonderland, Secret Lives of Husbands, The Blacklist, The Hatfields and McCoys, About A Boy, The John Mulaney Show, and Happiness.

  • Shocka

    I’ve been very pleasantly surprised by how strongly Hannibal came out of the starting gate – at least, in terms of quality. I wish it was seeing better numbers to reflect that.

    I’d like to see a second season, at the intended shortened length as was rumored. I think it could really evolve into something special if they nurture it through the first speedbumps.

  • rob

    Keep Hannibal, it’s exciting and great! How do they expect people to watch Smach when NBC keeps moving it around. I spend most of my time trying to find it. When I did find it , the show was great!

  • sofaspud

    So when the bear eats Hannibal, does that mean it’s eating everyone he ate too?

  • Ultima

    @Don

    Even if Hannibal were renewed, it won’t be on the fall schedule.

    Only one new fall comedy? With Go On being renewed? Ridiculous. NBC will probably pick up at least five new sitcoms.

    Blacklist and Night Shift (After Hours) both look like they are headed towards the fall schedule.

    Also, you’re missing Crossbones, Dracula and The Biggest Loser. Instead, you have several pilots that seem to be out of the running already.

  • Ultima

    @rob
    How do they expect people to watch Smach when NBC keeps moving it around.

    They figure the hardcore fans will be able to figure out where it is, or they just don’t care. The show wasn’t moved until after they canceled it.

  • James

    Monday
    The Voice
    Blacklist (new)

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    Hatfields & McCoys (new)
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    Crisis (new)
    SVU
    Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    Community (final)
    Parks & Rec.
    MJF (new)
    Go On
    Revolution

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Dracula (new)

    Saturday
    Crisis Repeats
    Blacklist repeats
    Rock Center

  • Chris J

    @Don
    @Ultima
    @James

    @Ultima is right. NBC will probably have more new comedies on the fall schedule than just Michael J Fox’s.

    Last year NBC had 4 new comedies on the schedule, and had picked up 7 for the season (Go On, New Normal, Guys With Kids, Animal Practice, 1600 Penn, Save Me, Last Caller). So considering they have even more holes to fill this year with several veteran comedies being in their final season, I expect them to pick up quite a few new comedies, a few of which will likely make it to the fall schedule.

    As far as renewals Go On probably will be renewed, but held for mid-season. Community may be renewed to give NBC a stable comedy for Thursday 8pm in the fall much like 30 Rock last year.

    @Don & @James both of your schedules seem to cut NBC’s comedy hours in half, which I don’t fin likely. NBC picked up 16 comedy pilots for next season, which outnumbers their drama pilots by quite a few. The only reason NBC would pick up so many comedies would be because they plan on keeping most of their comedy hours and putting fresh shows in those slots.

    I believe next season NBC will heavily advertise Tuesday 9pm and Thursday 9pm as all new comedy hours. Last year their advertising was spread thin because they had so many new shows throughout the schedule, but this year I think their going to hone in all of their promotion to those 2 nights, especially Thursday, which got NO advertising love last year and hence fell in ratings 25% year over year

    The current Wednesday 8pm comedy block hasn’t worked and may make room for a procedural or a reality show,

  • Oliver

    Proposed NBC Fall schedule:

    Monday
    8 – The Voice
    10 – New Drama

    Tuesday
    8 – The Voice
    9 – New Drama
    10 – Revolution

    Wednesday
    8 – Parks and Recreation
    8:30 – Community
    9 – SVU
    10 – Chicago Fire

    Thursday (“NBC Brand New Comedy Thursday”)
    8 – New Comedy
    8:30 – New Comedy
    9 – New Comedy (MJF)
    9:30 – New Comedy
    10 – Parenthood

    Friday
    8 – Repeats/Grimm (Halloween)
    9 – Dateline/Dracula (Halloween)
    10 – Rock Center

    3 new dramas, 4 new comedies in fall.

  • Mari

    I so hope that NBC renews Hannibal. I do understand that this kind of show is not for everyone but I still hope it was doing better.

  • Jimmy

    I’m still hoping that The New Normal will get renewed. I think it had the potential to become a really wonderful show now that the baby has been born. I would like to see what happened with those characters next. I realize though that renewal is unlikely at this point though. I wish they would at least make a few more episodes, even if only to burn them off on Saturdays.

  • Jeff

    NBC picked up new reality show stated for the fall million second quiz i can see it going fridays at 8

  • The End

    @nickDALLAS
    @revolution looks like it came off of syfy channel

    Too expensive to produce for the Syfy channel. The budget is higher than Defiance for example.

  • The End

    @HV

    Indeed, the Revolution cast should be praying to whatever god is up there that the show doesn’t drop more than it has been, and recovers some. Otherwise I can say with 100 percent certainty that it won’t get 22 episodes for Season 2.

  • brian

    As proposed, NBC’s fall lineup

    Monday
    7 The Voice (Biggest Loser)
    9 Blacklist (Night Shift)

    Tuesday
    7 The Voice
    9 Parenthood (Revolution)

    Wednesday
    7 Believe
    8 Law and Order SVU
    9 Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    7 Go On
    730 Michael J. Fox Sitcom
    8 Parks and Recreation
    830 About a Boy
    9 Crisis

    Friday
    7 Community (Betty White’s Off Their Rockers)
    730 Undateable
    8 Grimm
    9 Dateline NBC

    Saturday
    Various Reruns/Football

    Sunday
    6 Football Night in America (Rock Center)
    7 Sunday Night Football (Ironsides)
    8 (The Sixth Gun)
    9 (Celeb Apprentice)

  • HV

    @brian
    The Voice is only one hour on Tuesda.

  • Ultima

    @Jeff
    NBC picked up new reality show stated for the fall million second quiz i can see it going fridays at 8

    It’s not a weekly series.

  • SgtSharki

    If Hannibal goes down, I really hope it gets picked up by another network. It deserves way better than this. Especially given how dreadful the similarly themed The Following is.

  • Iggy

    I think Hannibal will be renewed, because it hasn’t been pulled. NBC will let it follow the final two hour-long episodes of The Office, this week and next.

  • Ultima

    @iggy
    I think Hannibal will be renewed, because it hasn’t been pulled.

    ABC hasn’t pulled Red Widow; do you think that will be renewed as well?

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