CBS: Final Predictions For 'Vegas,' 'CSI:NY,' 'Rules Of Engagement' & 'Golden Boy'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 7th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:



This is the final week of Renew / Cancel Index posts for the season, since the Fall 2013 broadcast TV schedules will be announced during the network upfront meetings next week, so as is our custom, Robert and I play Oddsmakers (hat tip, PTI) with our final renewal chance guesses of the season.

Our final guesses of RENEWAL chances:

    Robert Bill
CSI: NY CBS 10% 0%
Golden Boy CBS 0% 0%
Vegas CBS 0% 0%
Rules of Engagement CBS 30% 25%
Criminal Minds CBS 100%** 100%**

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5/9 Update: Criminal Minds has been renewed.

5/10 Update: CSI:NY has been canceled. Vegas has been canceled. Rules of Engagement has been canceled. Golden Boy has been canceled.
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In what's a recurrent (and boring) theme for our final guesses, Robert and I have no significant differences in our final CBS predictions. However, your guesses may be quite different, let us know in the comments.

**We'd both like to note that our predictions for Criminal Minds are based only on the ratings. The cancellation of the show is conceivably possible if terms cannot be reached with the cast, but we don't attempt to predict that likelihood.

To address the picky commenters out there who'll otherwise whine "You just give percentages, you never make an up or down call!", please take all of my guesses above 50% as "will be renewed" and those below 50% as "will be canceled" and you may interpret the "distance" from 50% as my level of confidence in the prediction.
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For those who'd like to review the last Renew / Cancel Index numbers I'll produce for the season, enjoy:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- May 5, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.51
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.55
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.57
The Good Wife* renewed 0.62
The Mentalist renewed 0.66
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.82
CSI renewed 0.86
Elementary renewed 0.88
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.93
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.09
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.14
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** renewed 1.47
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.13

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Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

 
  • Rebecca

    One episode left of RoE, and it’ll be part two of what just aired Monday so it looks like it’ll end well. I don’t see it returning unless CBS needs some spackle next season, and even then there won’t be much to do on the show unless they show Audrey and Jeff raising their baby.

  • Rebecca

    ^ That said, I like the show and have seen every episode, so if it comes back I won’t mind.

  • john t

    I kinda hope Vegas isn’t cancelled. It has been getting better.

  • Connor Murdock

    CBS 2013-2014

    Monday
    8:00 – Mike & Molly (New Time)
    8:30 – Jacked Up! (New Comedy)
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – The McCarthys (New Comedy)
    10PM – Beverly Hills Cop (New Drama)

    Tuesday
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Red (New Drama)
    10PM – NCIS: Los Angeles (New Time)

    Wednesday
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – The Advocates (New Drama)
    10PM – CSI: Crime Scene Investigation

    Thursday
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – MOM (New Comedy)
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men (New Time)
    9:30 – How I Met Your Mother (Final Season/New Night and Time)
    10PM – Elementary

    Friday
    8:00 – Hawaii Five-0 (New Night & Time)
    9:00 – The Good Wife (New Night & Time)
    10PM – Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Person of Interest (New Night)
    10PM – The Mentalist

  • sally

    I watch csi ny and criminal minds,i cant stand golden boy

  • pat morrison

    I am way sad that Golden Boy is being cancelled. Most of the shows I watch are on CBS. But I am disappointed that we can’t see another season of it. Theo James is so hot. You didn’t give it a chance. I am disgusted with some of the shows you are keeping and some you are letting go.I haven’t written before but this decision makes me soooo mad!

  • EB

    I really like Vegas. I hope it will be renewed. Best new show on CBS in my opinion. Top notch acting.

  • Spen B

    Seems like a CBS comedy expansion is imminent. Here’s what I think CBS *should* do for the fall.

    MONDAY
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother (final season)
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAY
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NEW DRAMA
    10:00 NCIS: LA

    Launching new shows at 10PM on Tuesdays isn’t working, and sandwiching a new show at 9 between the NCISes seems like a pretty solid way of growing it.

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 Two and a Half Men
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 CSI

    Two comedies would likely get much higher ratings than Survivor, not to mention make way more money in the long-term (reality shows just have no long-term, or even medium-term value).

    THURSDAY
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 Person of Interest
    10:00 Elementary

    Expanding the comedy lineup on Thursday would mean facing competition from NBC (and by competition, I mean maybe a few tenths of a drop for CBS). Plus POI is CBS’s #2 drama, and you don’t move your #2 drama to 10PM.

    FRIDAY

    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 The Mentalist
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY

    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 Hawaii Five-O
    10:00 The Good Wife

    H5O and TGW may not be that compatible, but they’re schedule leftovers possibly in their last seasons, so there’s not really much of an argument to be made there.

  • steven m. burton

    RoE is mildly funny and Patrick Warburton is the MAN!!! But that show is toast. David Spade and PW have already signed on to other TV projects for the fall, at least that was the last word I heard. Without those two characters, there is no way Rules goes forward. Oliver and Bianca might be young and pretty, but that would get old fast.

    Seems strange that Vegas and Golden Boy are going away. CBS actually selected two fairly original shows and got good casts. Golden Boy has some really good writing that at times really transcends the usual procedural claptrap.

    Criminal Minds is entertaining, though of one the darkest programs on network TV, and has kept good ratings over the years. Can’t imagine that the network would allow CM to go down the tubes over salary demands. Though the Tiffany Network has a ratings embarassment of riches and could likely afford to lose the FBI thriller. Not so for ABC or the little-watched NBC.

  • Balin

    I cannot believe that Golden Boy (wasn’t given a chance to survive) and Vegas are going to be cancelled. I also enjoyed CSI NY. Great entertainment….sad to see them go.

    Pretty soon all you’ll be seeing on TV are “realty shows” that are horrible!!!!!!! That’s why I am watching less and less TV.

  • suzyku

    I think both Golden Boy and Vegas are excellent shows. They keep the stupid reality shows on, the UNfunny shows like 2 Broke Girls on and cancel shows that are interesting and thought provoking! Really disappointing!

  • Holly

    @suzyku,

    Attacking CBS for their reality shows when they only have 3 hours, which is by far the fewest hours on the big 4 broadcast nets, just makes you look silly

  • Aja

    @Holly,

    Wow, you are the epitome of pompous and arrogant.
    Look in mirror for the definition of “silly”.

  • Mon

    @suzyku
    the UNfunny shows like 2 Broke Girls

    Is this coming from someone who doesn’t watch the show? That’s funny!

  • Holly

    @Aja,

    If you want to whine about reality programming, you make more sense to point to NBC (5 hours reality, plus 4 hours of news), ABC (6 plus 2 news), or FOX (4 out of 12 1/2 hours). CBS started the fall with 2 hours reality and 60 minutes (not counting Saturdays on any of these so 48 hours is not included). Undercover Boss was held for spackle, which with the failure of Made in Jersey was sorely needed.

    Attack CBS based on broad comedies (which make money but are scorned by critics) or their abundance of nearly interchangeable crime shows.

    Also, anger at reality TV is misdirected because CSI: NY, Vegas, and Golden Boy will be replaced with new scripted shows, not reality shows.

  • Pantherzgirl

    I would hate to see Vegas get cancelled, but as my daughter said, they’ve moved it to Friday night where TV shows go to die.

  • Brian R.

    Oh look, it’s that time of the year again where CBS keeps Rules of Engagement in limbo for three months while renewing a bunch of hour-long dramas they shouldn’t…

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Spen B
    CBS won’t put aging TAHM on wednesday without TBBT. Without TBBT lead-out this show will be dead now.

    Deadline report that cbs concider friday for new comedy block insted of new drama. Or they will pick single cams and will put them to friday(as i said) or will move mike and molly there with single cam new shows after that. But for second option CBS need at least one more strong multi cam may be two for Mondays. Too risky for them.

  • Ultima

    @Balin
    I cannot believe that Golden Boy (wasn’t given a chance to survive) and Vegas are going to be cancelled. I also enjoyed CSI NY. Great entertainment….sad to see them go.

    Pretty soon all you’ll be seeing on TV are “realty shows” that are horrible!!!!!!! That’s why I am watching less and less TV.

    Golden Boy, CSI:NY and Vegas are being canceled to make room for new scripted programming, not more reality!

    If you exclude Saturdays, the amount of time devoted to scripted shows is basically unchanged over the past 25 years. Reality programming has replaced movie nights and newsmagazines.

    Also, the amount of scripted programming on cable has exploded over the past 25 years.

    But don’t let me get in the way of your outrageous outrage over something that actually isn’t happening! :roll:

  • Ultima

    @Pantherzgirl
    I would hate to see Vegas get cancelled, but as my daughter said, they’ve moved it to Friday night where TV shows go to die.

    Vegas was already dead, that’s why it was moved to Friday.

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