ABC Renew/Cancel Wrap: 'Body Of Proof,' 'Happy Endings,' 'Malibu Country,' 'Red Widow' Canceled; 'Last Man Standing,' 'The Neighbors,' 'Nashville,' 'Castle,' 'Revenge' Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 14th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


sleeping-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- May 12, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Happy Endings (some F) canceled 0.49
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Red Widow canceled 0.54
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country* (F) canceled 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
The Family Tools canceled 0.70
Body Of Proof canceled 0.72
Last Man Standing* (F) renewed 0.74
The Neighbors* renewed 0.87
Nashville renewed 0.92
Revenge renewed 0.93
Suburgatory renewed 1.00
Castle  renewed 1.08
The Middle renewed 1.10
How To Live With Your Parents canceled 1.12
Once Upon A Time renewed 1.22
Scandal renewed 1.42
Grey's Anatomy  renewed 1.52
Modern Family renewed 2.02

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The Cancellation Bear went 15-2 on his ABC predictions over the course of the 2012-13 season. (vs. 21-1 in the 2011-12 season)

The bear missed on the predicted renewals of How To Live With Your Parents and Body Of Proof. BOP is the only show the bear's missed his prediction on two years in a row on opposite sides of the ledger. At least he's guaranteed to not go three in a row!

With that the cancellation bear bids the 2012-13 season adieu and begins his summer hibernation. The bear and his Renew/Cancel Index posts will return in September. Happy Summer!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • TJ

    SAVE BODY OF PROOF!

    Like the official Save Body of Proof facebook page.

    Watch LIVE TONIGHT at 10|9c on ABC! – it’s going to be a great episode tonight!

    SAVE BODY OF PROOF!

  • Revenger

    It’s kind of sad that they cancelled Malibu country after one season. I didn’t watch it, but it was cool to see Reba on tv again

  • JacobYates

    HTLWYPFTROYL must have had serious problems production wise, or ABC didn’t want another A23 fiasco. Its ratings were serviceable.

  • JacobYates

    BOP was a slippery one. You guys couldn’t catch a break on your predictions these past 2 years!

  • PurpleDrazi

    That poor bear looks exhausted! Must be all the extra chasing and feasting he did in the past couple of days.

    I am sorry for the fans of Body of Proof. I know it hurts to lose a show you like. That being said, I’m kind of glad. I think Dana Delany deserves better.

  • Matt

    BOP likely to move to TNT USA or WGN … Hoping and praying it finds new home on cable

  • Fred

    I guess BOP wasn’t profitable enough. Mildly surprised it wasn’t renewed.
    How To Live also surprise me. Modern Family can’t find a suitable companion. I thought ABC would be patient with this one and nurture it like they are doing with Neighbors.
    Neighbors will most likely be shifted to Fridays after LMS.

  • Ram510

    When is ABC supposed to release their schedule?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman
  • Fake Me Out

    From the Wild ‘n Crazy Speculation Files

    WGN picks up BoP as the first of a number of shows it will use to create a new network after they (Tribune) declines to re-up with the CW in 2016.

    ymmv

  • _JC

    Still not sure what to make of HTLWYPFTROYL being cancelled. This isn’t one of those CBS ‘cancel your lowest rated comedy’ situations. I guess creative/financial considerations make the most sense. *shrug*

  • DM

    I think the How To Live With Your Parents decision was made based on past history. Happy Endings and Don’t Trust the B did relatively well in the post Modern Family slots but when they moved their ratings were a disaster. HTLWYP got really similar ratings that both of those shows got in that time slot so ABC didn’t want to chance it happening a third time. Maybe?

  • APRIL RICHEE

    THE PROBLEM WITH THE NETWORKS AND THE REASON SOME OF THE BEST SHOWS GET CANCELED IS BECAUSE THEY THAKE TOO MANY BREAKS BETWEEN EPISODES. WHEN THEY INTRODUCE A NEW SHOW THE NETWORK NEEDS TO SHOW THE WHOLE SEASON A ONE TIME. SHOWS GET LOST THAT WAY.

  • Robert Ford

    All the people saying HTLWYP is another Apartment 23 in the making should keep one thing in mind: Apartment 23, and Happy Endings before it were among the long-line of shows that attempt to copy the format off Seinfeld and/or Friends.

    Shows like this have decreasing returns, which isn’t surprising, since the model of a group of close-knit about young thirty-somethings living in one of the country’s three largest cities, in apartments they shouldn’t be able to afford, and getting into wacky hijinks isn’t something that most people can identify with. I’m not saying that’s necessarily a bad thing writing-wise (I watched every available episode of all three shows), just that most people don’t seem to go out of their way to watch it if it’s not on after something they really like.

    HTLWYP is a show about a dysfunctional family, and most people at least know one of these families, if not the particular situation. Moreover, it’s about an increasingly common phenomenon called “boomerange children,” even if the prompt isn’t the reason most young people have for moving back with their parents. I recently found out when talking to my father only watches three sitcoms, and HTLWYP is one of them. He watches it for the reasons I mentioned: it has situations he can identify with (though not the booomerang kids, not yet anyways).

    Admittedly, he’s just beyond any of the demographics Nielsen looks at, but given that it’s a family comedy, if ABC tries to build it up they way they did with The Neighbors and Suburgatory, they’d probably find it does better than the first (which isn’t really a family show even though it has families), and at least as well as the second, when they moved it to a new night without Modern Family support.

  • NBC Fan

    OT: Why is ABC still airing a new episode of The Family Tools on Wednesday?A encore episode of The Middle or Modern Family would do much better. Also it seems like it’s dragging the other ABC Wednesday shows down.

  • Linda Mitchell

    Not Castle!!! We love, love, love Castle so do my friends!!!

  • Jonay

    I hate when they give fans false hope then when people like you try to tel them the truth they get mad (-_-)!

  • Holly

    @Jonay,

    I hate when they give fans false hope then when people like you try to tel them the truth they get mad

    Welcome the Cancellation Bear’s world ;)

  • Boiler

    I can’t imagine any of the new shows drawing audience sizes loke Body of Proof and Malibu Country. The demo measurement is idiotic these days

  • serendipity’s last stand

    @ April inside voice sugar:-)
    As for abc hum I don’t think they know what to do maybe they should have looked for a better batch of pilots this year.

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