CW Renew/Cancel Wrap: 'Nikita,' 'The Carrie Diaries' Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

May 14th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- May 12, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Cult* canceled 0.35
90210 canceled 0.49
Emily Owens, M.D.* canceled 0.54
Nikita (F) renewed 0.55
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
The Carrie Diaries* renewed 0.73
Hart Of Dixie renewed 0.88
Beauty And The Beast renewed 0.92
Supernatural renewed 1.52
Arrow renewed 1.58
Vampire Diaries renewed 1.87

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The Cancellation Bear went 9-1 on his CW predictions over the course of the 2012-13 season. (vs. 7-3 in the 2011-12 season)

But that one miss, the prediction that The Carrie Diaries would be canceled, was the biggest missed call of the season for the bear. It was the only show not a "toss up" at the end of the season, and the bear only gave it a 10% chance of renewal. The bear may ponder the reasons why that happened over the summer. Aw, who's he kidding, he's just going to sleep.

With that the cancellation bear bids the 2012-13 season adieu and begins his summer hibernation. The bear and his Renew/Cancel Index posts will return in September. Happy Summer!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Brandy

    @Eselle, Carrie Diaries would be a Midseason show again they said when it was renewed.Also, BATB may stick around for syndication(it’s cheap to make, Pedowitz seems to have a soft spot for it,it sold well internationally-and for three seasons-,does well in DVr and online) but CD probably won’t.CD most Likley won’t cause it’s ratings are so very low for only it’s first season, it’s still a long away from syndication with 13 episode seasons and it was renewed in part for schedule spackle and cause CW apperantley didn’t like more of thier pilots than the ones picked up and also cause Pedowitz wants to get away from girly/teen shows.It wouldn’t suprise me if BatB didnt make it to syndication either though given its already mediocre (by cw standards) ratings.I agree that Pedowitz wants to have more spackle and backup to avoid one to two hours of extra reruns like this season.But the lower rated shows like CD were also renewed cause they did well online , on Hulu and CW has major rich streaming deals with Hulu & Netflix so it made more finial sense to renew and keep that revenue .

  • david

    I read today on Broadcastingandcable.com that the CW is partnering with TMZ on a new reality show to make a unfamous family famous. The show will be for mid season 2014. So that will be another mid season show to use.

  • david

    If they do move SPN from Arrow I think it will move to Mondays or Tuesday and paired with Hundred or the Tomorrow People. They are really proud of its success now and they will not move it back to Fridays. I am to thinking they might move Heart of Dixie to Fridays seeing it does not fit with there new shows at all. It makes since to have Oxygen Star Crossed paired the Beauty and the Beast. I to think they will have Rain start in January.

  • The Bear OmNomNom

    Mon
    8:00 The Tomorrow People
    9:00 The 100

    Tues
    8:00 Reign (fall) / The Carrie Diaries (midseason)
    9:00 Hart of Dixie

    Wed
    8:00 Arrow
    9:00 Supernatural
    Thu
    8:00 Vampire Diaries
    9:00 The Originals

    Fri
    8:00 Beauty and the Beast
    9:00 Nikita (fall) / ANTM (midseason)

    Unscheduled
    Star Crossed

  • Brandon

    The Carrie Diaries & Beauty and the Beast are going to BOMB next season. The CW is just failing. I can’t see Hart of Dixie doing too great either. As for Nikita it doesn’t matter anymore cause its going into its short final season. They should just take it off Fridays too see how the show does during the week.

  • kai

    pink, why are you such a hater?! Nikita ia an amazing show and i repect that you don’t like it but be a little more considerate of others who may actually want to take a shot at watching it just because a couple dedicated fans said they should. so just respect that okay?

  • Brandy

    Tvwise says Reign and Star_Crossed are expected to sell well internationally and have a lot of buzz and interest.Star_Crossed was called 90210:Alien Years by a sourceIt has buzz similat to BaTB s last year..Reign is considered a datk horse and of the hottest dramas. According to thier aqusitions scorecard, Cult,Carrie Diaries,Emily Owens MD didnt sell overseas.

  • reedmac

    I read on Deadline that The 100 and Reign are doing well in international sales for the CW.

  • Tom

    I was hoping that a couple of the CW’s new series would get Arrow-like rating just to see how that would eventually effect its low rated Monday programs. I still believe the 100 and the Originals might succeed. However, casting Aimee Teegarden as the lead in Star Crossed in just begging for trouble. She’s been panned regularly by critics for her wooden performance as Julie Taylor in “Saturday Night Lights”. The CW already has weak actors in Kristen Kreuk and Steven Amell respectively fronting B&B and Arrow. Nikita also suffers from the annoying presence of Lyndsy Fonseca. I don’t know who’s responsible for casting these actors (so to speak), but the CW needs a change. Hopefully, Adelaide Kane can do something with what looks to be a tough role as Mary Queen of Scots because the CW desperately needs a few successes.

  • Brandy

    Tvwise said The Originals is expected to do well as UK broadcasters are interested. and The Hundred has good/solid buzz and is expected to do ok ,nut not great.Tommorrow People has good /solid buzz but concerns are its a “male skewing” series.

  • Brandy

    Tvwise says The Hundred has /good /solid buzz ,is expected to ok but not great internationally and concerns are its a “male skewing” show.Tommorrow People has good/solid buzz.The Originals is expected to do well as broadcasters are interested as VD is a known quantity.

  • Brandy

    Tommorrow People isn’t one of the hottest titles but one source called it “the highlight” and is generally well received and should do well in international sales says tvwise

  • Tom

    I’m really curious as to how successful international sales will affect the CW’s decision to renew any of next season’s new series that might have marginal ratings.

    Although the four major networks license numerous productions to overseas distributors, I doubt if they can rely on those licensing agreements to renew low rated programs. That’s because they have to compete for the lucrative U.S. viewer market. In contrast, I don’t believe the CW has any interest in competing for ratings with the major networks. For example, we know that low rated B&B more than covered its production costs through international licensing. That partially explains why it was renewed. What I’d like to see is if the success of a goodly number of next season’s new series will have any effect on the renewal of B&B for a third season. My working hypothesis is that any first year full season show with decent overseas sales that the CW renews for another season is guaranteed syndication regardless of its domestic ratings. Let’s see what happens.

  • Bunny

    I dont watch any of these shows.

  • Paul

    Huge fan of Nikita. Will be a very sad day when it wraps – only 6 episodes for the final season is just too few…

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