Which Sophomore Broadcast TV Shows Will Be Canceled In 2013-14? (Poll)

Categories: Broadcast TV

Written By

September 18th, 2013

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While the attrition rate among freshman broadcast scripted TV shows is brutal (pick which you think will be canceled first here), returning sophomore shows aren't completely safe. Every season it's reasonable to expect one or more to fall prey to the Cancellation Bear.

Last season, Don't Trust The B---- In Apartment 23 and Whitney were sophomore shows that became #bearchow. (and as astute commenter Tom points out, so were Touch, Up All Night and Smash.)

Unlike the "first show to be canceled" poll, the "Which Sophomore Shows Will Be Canceled?" isn't a choice of "first". If a sophomore show is canceled it's virtually certain it will be canceled at the end of the season (or at least after its run of ordered episodes is complete).

Also, unlike the other poll, you're not limited to a single choice in this poll, you can pick as many shows as you think will be canceled.

Which sophomore shows will be canceled by the end of this season? Feel free to expound on your choices in the comments. (and feel free to remind me which shows I forgot to put in the list)

Again, as they say in Chicago, vote early, vote often.

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  • Brandy

    I’m suprised so many people say BatB.Why?It does well in DVr,online is cheap to produce. Sold for THREE seasons overseas and CW prez likes/supports it(just like he dos Nikita, which despite terrible stings survived for four seasons)& it has a steady loyal fanbase and stayed stable ratings wise last season and it’s pair with another show with mediocre but stable ratings.
    Not that I think it’s impossible for Beauty to be cancelled because it might but I wouldnt die of shock if it was renewd eithe

  • CBSviewer

    @ shogun

    I fully expect it to be renewed again

    … And it will !

  • Katie_Mead

    I’m surprised that there are some votes – usually about the 1% mark – for Arrow. Nobody has enough confidence in their negative convictions that this particular hit show is a goner, to say so in the comments, yet some are polling that conviction. Weird people ;)
    I’d say everything on this list except Arrow, Elementary & Chicago Fire are potential bear chow, but wouldn’t be surprised to see BatB back (given the level of fan commitment & theCW’s stated choice to look at overall money-spinning potential over traditional ratings), and hope that Hannibal and maybe even Nashville can pull through (although those last two are wishful thinking, not predictions).

  • violet hour

    I PICKED REVOLUTION AND CARRIED DIARIES because i only watched the first 2 episodes of tcd and never bothered after
    and well revolution is still waiting for me to watch the episodes that aired after the long break was it 3 month long? can’t remember

    as it is i’m procrastinating on so many shows
    breaking bad season 4&5
    trueblood s 6
    homeland s 2 (i’ve watched 3 episodes so far)
    borgias last season
    bones season 8 ( also saw first 10 episodes and none since)

  • brian

    The Carrie Diaries, Hannibal, The Mindy Project, and The Neighbors. Hannibal will plumb new depths for NBC before they realize that it should never been renewed.

    As for the others, I think Revolution will survive being moved to Wednesdays. CW will be really dumb to cancel Arrow. I can see Nashville surviving to serve as a Emmy magnet. Chicago Fire will continue to be a building block on Tuesdays for NBC. And Elementary will continue to survive before being moved to Fridays/Sundays next year.

    For me, the question marks are The Following and Beauty and the Beast. I thought I remember the former starting to cool before the end of Season 1. If that’s the case, then I think people might start to turn against it. Beauty and the Beast will depend on what new shows CW has coming in the pipeline.

  • Amy

    Revolution will die. The producers made bad choices when they tried to “fix” the show. How Tracy Spiridakos survived is anyone’s guess. She should have been fired asap. Her part should have been written out of the show or recast.

  • StevenD

    Hannibal shouldn’t have a problem getting renewed. The real question is wether is becomes a summer show or stays in season.

    The show has a cable like vibe to it and great reviews, I’d wait to see if it grows between seasons or not like other acclaimed cable shows, but a summer spot is a safe bet

    (I am a huge fan of the show so I could just be extremely hopeful…)

  • TVMAN

    Not sure why Hannibal isn’t up higher. It went below 1.0 last season… That kinda says it all. No good “buzz” can save a show that goes that has ratings like that.

  • omabin

    This is my pecking order (from safest to most in danger:

    1/2 – Chicago Fire and Arrow – Almost no chance these are gone
    3 – The Following – I don’t think it will hold the ratings it had last season but I think it will do more than enough to still be renewed comfortably, especially given FOX current state. However, there is a chance that it implodes to a non acceptable level, but a slim one.

    From here downwards, everything is in some sort of danger:

    4 – Elementary – It will be ugly soon, but fortunately for it, Sundays and Fridays will implodes, so it will get a 2 year pass thanks to it. But the weekend days hold up better than we expect and the value of syndication outweighs the eventual ratings gap elementary has, it could be let go this year.

    5 – Nashville – I think it will get very ugly. It won’t have the same kind of promotion it had last year and it will have a horrible lead-in. Not facing chicago fire should help a bit though, but I doubt it’s enough. The good news for it is that there is a good chance ABC has enough problems elsewhere to let it live to see another day. But I still think it will sit on the bubble for the entire season and it has a decent shot at being canceled.

    6 – Hannibal – It’s hard to say because we don’t know the costs model involved in this that led to its renewal this year. Ultimately, I think it’s the type of show that should hold/grow its audience year to year a la cable, so if that was enough this year, should be enough next year. But there are way too many unknowns here, so there is a good chance it’s gone

    7 – Beauty and the Beast – Here is the deal with this one: I see it depending little on how it does and a low on the cw state as a whole. And the bad news for it is that I predict a good year for the cw. If the tomorrow people and the originals hit, the cw will have 5 returning shows already. Add to that the usual 3 newbie each year. That leaves 2 hours! I think Hart of Dixie gets one of them because it will be one year away from syndication. The last one will be up for grabs but it’s between America’s Next Top Model, a possible comedy hour as has been hinted, The 100, Star Crossed and Beauty and the Beast. So there is a very good chance that Beauty and the Beast is not the one picked out of these options.

    8. The Neighbors – It could work but it could much more easily not work. It certainly has a lot of risk!

    9. Revolution – Everyone expects it to crash. I think it has more upside potential than people think it has, but I can see the crashing predictions becoming a reality as well. Not much to say. I don’t think it will be a smash 2.0 to the same extent, but well, it certainly faces huge risk!

    10. The Mindy Project – This show should have never been renewed to begin with. The premiere rating shows that. With three new comedies plus raising hope waiting for a timeslot, I doubt it even lasts the entire season on tuesday. It certainly shouldn’t. I think it will be super hard to justify bringing it back. A LOT of risk, I bet on cancellation!

    11. The Carrie Diaries – it is a goner. If it works, I will be shocked! Nothing else to add!

  • Alexa

    Interesting that the top-rated new show from last season (Revolution) is predicted by so many to get the ax. I thought the retentionistas would have learned that theirs is a flawed theory by now.

  • omabin

    @Alexa,

    I am not being a retentionista in any way. A retentionista is someone who claims that networks renew their shows based on how much they retain from their lead-ins. In 95% of the cases, I think that is crazy – if the absolute value is good, the show will still be renewed, albeit it could be moved (Revolution is a case in point), whereas if the absolute value is bad, no matter how much it retains, it will still be canceled (The New Normal for instance).

    However, when analyzing how a show will do when moved away from its lead-in, retention matters, because there are a tone of examples that in most cases, shows are drastically affected by its lead ins (see Go On, Smash, Happy Endings, Cougar Town, Apartment 23, Body of Proof, Rules of Engagement, etc etc). It it not a stretch by any means to assume that part of Revolution’s numbers were only due to it being after the voice. Therefore, since it will no longer be after the voice, that part of the numbers will be gone. This is by no way a retentionista argument.

    Now, for the record, I am a fan of Revolution, I hope it does well and I think there are some positive factors going for it! It has less competition (I think it is possibly one of the easiest midweek timeslots of the season), the numbers had stabilized by season’s end (possibly suggesting that whoever was watching due to the voice had already left anyway) and the trailers for the second season look like a vast improvement over last year. However, this doesn’t take away from the fact that it is being moved away from one of the biggest lead-ins in television at the moment. How much the other factors can counterbalance this will be what needs to be watched. My guess? We are in for a decline, for sure, but the decline will not be as bad as people think it will be and the show will survive until its forth season (it could be just the optimistic in me though)

  • Babar Suhail

    Beauty and The Beast and The Carrie Diaries are both goners.

  • Brandon

    Arrow is a hit in CW terms, it isn’t going anywhere any time soon (they’re safe at least through a 4th season, as a 3rd season renewal all but guarantees).

    Chicago Fire is fine as well, no worries there.

    Carrie Diaries is toast, and should have been toast last year. A second season will just drop it further and there will be no choice but to kill it.

    Revolution is on the bubble for me. On any other network, this show is done, but NBC skews the outcome. Hard to say.

    Elementary is probably safe. It could take a 10 percent ratings hit and still be OK…but not much more than that, so we’ll see how it does in its first month back.

  • Chris

    Many blame Tracy Spiridakos, but if they paid attention they would notice that *all* the actors/actresses except for Colm Feore (character now deceased), and the two-episode ‘guest-stars’, have only two emotions. They all have their ‘default’ (for Tracy it is the smirk), and then they all have their action face. In the pilot episode and the season finale the directing was markedly higher quality (Favrea/Kripke), and so followed the acting. This adequately demonstrates that the actors/actresses (yes even Tracy) can do better if given proper directing, coaching, and time. The show-runner, and producers are to blame not Tracy, for being written as a schizoid character and being constantly rushed through shooting, with the director calling it a wrap – which means it was OK.

    So if you want to blame any one person, blame Eric. The bad writing (plot holes/continuity errors out the ying-yang), bad science (it will be good in the year 12,013), and bad directing all stop at his door. Regardless, if Rev. makes it past episode 11 of Season 2, I will be surprised.

  • JV Smith

    The only reason “The Mindy Project” has not been cancelled already is the network is so concerned about being PC. If Mindy were a Muslim the show would never get cancelled.

  • s0303

    i think all of these shows are in danger of being cancelled this season except for the following, chicago fire and arrow…

  • Anna

    If there were any justice; BATB.

  • Tom

    @ Anna

    “If there were any justice; BATB.”

    You rock!!!

  • Chris_SAdvisor

    Revolution will be first, and everything except Arrow, Chicago Fire, and I think Elementary will gain a steady audience as it matures. The rest are bear chow.

  • queeneeuq

    Obviously. Arrow. Chicago Fire. Elementary. The Following.

    As long as it is getting awards Nashville gets The Good Wife treatment.

    The Neighbors and Carrie are friday shows so the get a lot of leeway.

    Revolution. Mindy. Beauty. are done.

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