FOX: 'New Girl' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

September 24th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-22, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.74
Dads :| :| :| 0.86
Bones :) :) :) :) 0.90
Brooklyn Nine-Nine :) :) :) :) 1.01
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Sleepy Hollow :) :) :) :) 1.36
Glee already renewed
American Dad final season

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Who says that the Cancellation Bear always brings bad news? He's starting off the 2013-14 season with some good news!

New Girl is certain to be renewed at the end of the 2013-14 season.

New Girl began its third season in 2013-14. At the end of this season, it will be within one more full season (give or take a couple) of the 88 episodes which currently seems to be the minimum for extra profitable stripped syndication. For that reason, its fans can rest easily (although I'm sure most already were, it's hardly a bold prediction).

In other certainty news, it has already been announced that 2013-14 will be American Dad's final season on Fox (it will continue on TBS), and Glee has already been renewed for the 2014-15 season (did the anti-fan teeth gnashing continue over the summer?).

Moving on to the discussion of Fox shows that have already premiered, Dads and The Mindy Project started slowly, but not so slowly as to immediately mark them as certain meals of the Cancellation Bear.The rest of the shows did well enough to not bring notice to them by the bear. Next week may change that, stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Greg

    Bob’s Burgers is certain to be renewed as well, no? It’s entering its fourth season, but it will have about 66-68 episodes by the end of the season, thus needing only one more to reach 88.

  • Max Vrany

    @Greg, longer production cycles make animated show renewals different.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    I thought American Dad was just switching networks, I wasn’t aware that it was going to be its final season?

  • Mitchell

    @Jeff

    It’s the final season on Fox, it’s still moving to TBS. It’s really just semantics.

  • steven

    @Jeff (Canada)

    It’s the final season for American Dad on Fox.

  • DM

    @Jeff (Canada)
    It is moving to TBS but the cancel/renew index doesn’t count for that. It only means that it’s its final season on FOX

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Bob’s Burgers is certain to be renewed as well, no? It’s entering its fourth season, but it will have about 66-68 episodes by the end of the season, thus needing only one more to reach 88.”

    Indeed. My (obviously crude) 3rd season net failed to grab BB.

  • Sarah

    I’m a bit worried about Bones.

  • Katy

    Could someone enlighten me as to why FOX renewed Glee already for 2 seasons? From what I have read the show is suffering declining ratings and new characters are coming off as Saved by the bell: The New Class.

  • Maximillian

    Remind me, AD is being shipped off to one of the Turner networks, right?

  • Dan

    AD is picked up by TBS which is a nice way for FOX to avoid cancelling the show. Glee, Family Guy, The Simpsons and Bobs Burgers are all renewed.

    Bones will probably be depending on how FOX”s other dramas do, New Girl is a triple success, owned by FOX, doing well in the ratings and within 1 season of syndication.

    If Sleepy Hollow does well enough it could get a Following type timeshare where it comes back each fall or a full season next fall but only time will tell.

    Raising Hope will probably be cancelled in May as it will achieve 88 episodes and its airing on Fridays, where it will probably do worse than it has done.

  • Dan

    @Katy – Not sure why FOX renewed it for two seasons, maybe they think the show is still profitable but one thing is for certain. 2014-2015 will likely be the last for Glee.

  • THE OLD MAN

    Unless something drastic happens w/ Bones, it should be a safe bet 2B renewed

  • Greg

    @Katy

    My guess is that FOX already knew that Glee would air part of its season over summer, so in order to have new episodes ready to air on fall 2014, they couldn’t wait until all of the episodes had aired.

    But they already announced that season 6 is likely to be the last one.

  • Katy

    Thank you both Dan and Greg it just seemed quite odd to me.

  • ChuckTesta

    One other prediction for Fox that you can put with high confidence is Raising Hope as “certain to be cancelled”. Heck, put it as “effectively cancelled” and you’re still right. The announcement of it moving to Friday was the announcement of “we’re burning off one more season worth of episodes just so there’s enough to sell it to syndication, but after that it’s a goner.” I think we all know this is true.

  • a p garcia

    NG’s problem is that is surrounded by losers or near losers. Really liked it when Glee was ahead of NG. Bones had been on for 8 years and is getting tired. Hope producers wind it up because I don’t think it will survive another season even if Zooey is added to cast.

  • Esaul

    My prediction with Glee is the profit the show makes from iTunes sales. Sure, the ratings aren’t as good as they used to be, but money is made off the music too.

  • Matt

    If Raising Hope is canceled by May, there will 90 episodes. Season 3 got 2 extra episodes, however the episodes were pushed to Season 4.

  • Ultima

    @Bill Gorman

    You may want to note that American Dad is actually moving to cable (TBS) instead of ending.

    Also, The Simpsons has enough episodes ordered/produced that it will air at least through the fall of 2014, which is a de facto renewal.

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