ABC: 'Lucky 7' & 'Betrayal' Are Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 1st, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Running-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-29, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Neighbors (F) :cry: :cry: 0.48
Lucky 7 :oops: (canceled 10/4) 0.56
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.59
Betrayal :oops: 0.65
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.87
Back In The Game :) :) :) :) 0.95
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.95
Trophy Wife :) :) :) :) 1.00
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
The Goldbergs :) :) :) :) 1.34
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.82
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :) :) :) :) 2.04

-
The Cancellation Bear had to move quickly to get the fact that Lucky 7 and Betrayal are both certain to be canceled into a headline, since with such decisively bad results, the earlier, the better!

Last season, no new Fall ABC show premiered with such relatively (vs. other ABC shows) low ratings. For those with short memories, Last Resort began with a 2.2 rating and lasted  10 episodes, and 666 Park Avenue started with a 2.1 rating and lasted 9 episodes. As always, no guesses from the bear when he will dine on them, but there's no question both of those shows are #bearchow.

Interesting to note some differences vs. the Bubble Watch. After week 1, the Cancellation Bear doesn't see either Nashville or Back In The Game as #bearchow, but as always, predictions can change quickly this early in the season.

The ABC syndication gods will demand that Once Upon A Time and Revenge be renewed for a fourth season. For that reason, they're both certain to be renewed, effectively regardless of their third season ratings.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Samunto

    Lucky 7 Cancelled already!!

  • Cle

    @NetworkMan

    as much as i like my schedule i believe in genre matching.. (keeping shows which appeal to same audience on one night). And I really tried to do that in my dream schedule for ABC..

  • grey

    “Lucky 7″ been cancelled and not just “pulled” from the line up because some reports are that the set is being shut down as well.

  • Anthony

    I like Trophy Wife and Back in the Game. I hate The Goldberg’s it has to be the weakest of the new comedies at least in my opinion. Unfortunately ABC seems to be very invested in the show compared to the other sitcoms.

  • Elijah

    Just curious, I have heard from several people that ABC has renegotiated the syndication deals with TNT to get more money from TNT since it’s doing quite well for TNT and ABC wants more money because of it.

    But Does anyone have a source?

  • Rowlf T. Dog

    As much as I love Last Man Standing, it has a curse, because whatever show airs after it, it gets canclled, while it survives, ex:Man Up, Work It,cOUGAR TOWN, AND NOW likely the neighbors, you rock the house last man standing, can’t wait for it to burn up subergatory next year and oroceed to season 4.

  • Jake

    I predict ABC will cancel:
    Lucky 7- already have, Trophy Wife, Super Fun Night, The Neighbors, & Betrayal.

  • KJC

    Ugh, I love Betreyal!!

  • KJC

    I love Betrayel!!!

  • Brenda

    I don’t watch much television, but Betrayal is a show that I happened to catch the premier episode and felt compelled to watch more. I hate that it’s on a certain to be cancelled list. This same thing happened last year with Do No Harm (which I LOVED!). How can these decisions be made so early in the season? It reminds me of films that critics hate, but they become cult classic hits.

    Perhaps when shows are cancelled, the networks will always consider airing the already filmed episode as a summer show like NBC did with Do No Harm.

  • tom_t

    betrayal is boring. why the hell did abc even picked up betrayal.??

  • pa3k

    What about Renew/Cancel Index today??????

    Way NO info about today Renew/Cancel Index???????

  • HG

    And yet..here we are….28 days later and Betrayal is still on the air and its numbers continue to slowly inch up.

  • Christina Atteridge

    PLEASE SAVE BETRAYAL… It’s a great show that’s really getting good each week… Anyone can catch up on Betrayal on ABC.com, Hulu Plus, and on ABC on-demand.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures