CBS: 'Hostages' & 'Mom' Are Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 1st, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-29, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.53
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.56
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.56
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.60
Hostages :cry: :cry: 0.63
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.70
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.74
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
Mom :cry: :cry: 0.88
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.30
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 1.37
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.03

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Even though it's a "limited series", Hostages would be renewed (just like that other limited series Under The Dome) were its ratings good enough. They aren't. It's likely to be canceled. For you comment thread lawyers, that means "It will not be renewed".

Mom premiered as CBS's lowest rated sitcom, and they always cancel their lowest rated sitcom (and they will, even with HIMYM ending), so for at least this week (until others go lower) it is likely to be canceled.

Unlike the Bubble Watch, the bear's not nearly ready to tap Hawaii Five-0 as likely to be canceled. This could be Hawaii Five-0's final season, but it started better than The Good Wife and even with The Mentalist, and it airs on Friday, which carries a certain ratings forgiveness. The bear wouldn't be surprised if it get lumped together in a group with The Mentalist and The Good Wife where one or two will be canceled, but the bear will puzzle over which, but let's wait and see.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Dan

    @Doug – They couldn’t expand last season, they only had 2 comedies. Partners never even burned off its final episode surprisingly and Friend Me never even aired either.

    This season they have 2 many comedies but I think they will find their groove by next season. This season is just an experiment with the 2 hour block.

  • Diana

    Cancelations will come from H50. BB, TM or TGW,
    TM will be gone. But BB will be renewed because it is the strongest Friday show and Tom S . is a VIP for CBS.
    I just hope h50 gets canceled nd TGW stays. CBS said they want variety in their network, h50 is just another cop proceduralamong the tons they have, plus a bad procedural. TGW is the only Law show CBS has and NT said it was very important for advertisers because the show did extremely well with wealthy viewers.
    So I say H50 and TM are goners. If they need a 3rd spot it may come from TGW, but I hope not.

  • Owen

    @Dan – How many drama’s cancelled will also depend on:
    -their succes of new ones (Hostages is dead already) and the other 2 are midseason
    – how happy they will be with their pilot developement,

    So i could see them just cancelling one and my money then would be on The Mentalist, because of the fri/sunday (i believe) only one not owned by CBS themselves and ratings a just a little better then TGW

  • Karis

    @Dan predictions can be tricky, wasn’t everyone predicting Hannibal would get cancel after every episode this year? Well it got renewed for another season, yes I know we are talking about NBC etc. but still predictions are just that. The writters of TGW have always said they always intended for 7 seasons so I’m hoping for the same. I think those of us who have followed the show since episode 1 know that this will be the most explosive season yet :D :D

  • ToXiX

    CBS FALL 2014

    SUNDAY
    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Elementary
    10:00 CSI

    MONDAY
    8:00 Mike & Molly
    8:30 New Comedy
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mom
    10:00 New Drama

    TUESDAY
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: LA
    10:00 Person Of Interest

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 New Drama

    THURSDAY
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 New Comedy
    9:00 The Crazy Ones
    9:30 Two and a Half Men
    10:00 New Drama

    FRIDAY
    8:00 Undercover Boss
    9:00 Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 Blue Bloods

  • SHERI

    LOVE 5-0 !!!

    My favorite show in years —- I hope it remains on CBS for years to come !!

  • Dan

    @Karis – Yeah but The Good Wife’s circumstances are way different then Hannibal’s. Hannibal got a “Smash” or “Touch” like renewal, where the series premiered OK but then dwindled each episode. Hannibal will be cancelled after this current season but it will make good schedule spackle for NBC. I always said 50/50 for Hannibal btw.

    The Good Wife has reached syndication and over 100 eps so unless ratings improve, there’s just no need for a sixth season.

    @Owen – They could just cancel, The Mentalist in addition to Hostages/Intelligence/Reckless but that would leave 2 open drama slots for next fall. My guess is that CBS would go back to form and premiere 3 new dramas next fall. Thus The God Wife is next to go. Plus the series ratings are too low to warrant another season. The only reason it got a fifth is to get it over 100 episodes for the lucrative syndication deal.

  • Mitchell

    @Dan

    It’s also possible that CBS could cut back to three comedy hours or hold UB off the fall schedule. That gives them room for 3 new dramas and only one veteran has to be axed.

  • Justin121

    Mom isn’t a likely cancelation, yet.

    CBS already losing 2 out of 8 comedies (HIMYM and We Are Men).

    Will they really risk premiering more than 2 comedies, again?

    That, and

    The Millers hasn’t premieted yet.
    The Crazy Ones hasn’t stabilized yet.
    Two and a Half Men hasn’t stabilized yet.
    2 Broke Girls on a downward spiral.

  • DM

    I watched Mom because I really like Anna Farris so I figured I would give it a chance even though the synopsis sounded a little sad. I really liked the first episode. I thought it was funny for the most part but serious when it needed to be, so was looking forward to the rest of the series. The second episode was very disappointing. Barely funny, just sad for the most part. I’ll give it another episode or two to see if it gets better.

  • Dan

    @Mitchell – I expected CBS to move UB this fall but my guess was that whatever new drama aired on friday, it would have replaced it anyway. I think CBS will keep the 4 hours of comedy but the block does need some retooling to settle in. 4 new shows spread out does not work, but it takes time. While I anticipated that 2 hour thursday block (I saw it coming the past 2 or 3 seasons now) I didn’t know how CBS would set it up nor did I think CBS would only premiere 1 drama this fall.

    While only 1 veteran could be axed, its been 4 years since more than 1 was axed. CBS could just cancel 2 (The Mentalist and The Good Wife) possibly move Hawaii 5-0 to Sundays and then air a new drama on Sundays, move CSI to Fridays at 9 and air another new drama Wed at 10 and Mon at 10. Canceling 2 dramas could help move pieces around in their schedule. My guess is that they didn’t want to mess with Sundays this season but next season, Sundays will look very different on CBS.

  • Kit

    Two and Half Men, defying snobs, critics, Charlie Sheen, and the Bear, 11 seasons and counting. If there is a show on TV that I want to see how long it can go, it’s this one.

  • Dan

    @Kit – If it doesn’t end this season, it surely will next season. The only thing stopping Men from endings is the fact that all new comedies have flopped on CBS in the past 2 seasons.

  • Mitchell

    @Dan

    I just don’t think that the rest of CBS is doing that much better to where CBS needs to cancel more than one veteran. Hostages bombed and the Monday comedies are all struggling. Holding Undercover Boss back seems like a more obvious move than cancelling two veterans.

    My pet theory is that both BB and H50 will get renewed, one of TGW and TM will be cancelled and one of Elementary or CSI will be moved to Fridays. Then new dramas can premiere on Monday, Wed/Thurs and Sunday. If Intelligence is successful then something else needs to be cancelled, but considering CBS’s luck with midseason dramas that’s not really the way to bet.

    And also, CBS might only premiere two new dramas. I think it’s likely that they’ll try with three again, but it’s entirely possible that they try something a little different.

  • Doug

    @Dan – what I’m saying is that last year would have been the ideal time for them to expand, with HIMYM still not having an end date, and 2BG and 2.5 Men going strong. That they only had 2 new comedies is irrelevant – that’s a failure on the part of CBS’s development department.

    The reality is that they really only have two tentpoles for 8 timeslots right now. That’s not a good position to be in – Les must be praying on all fours that at least 2 of the new comedies takes off. Because they need, at minimum, two of them to work – one to replace HIMYM, and one for 9pm on Thursday. So far, The Crazy Ones looks okay, but we’ll see what happens with that without TBBT lead-in. The new comedy comedies are not going to be those tentpoles. Basically, a lot is riding on The Millers. If, by some chance, none of these comedies work, CBS is in a world of trouble next season.

  • Dan

    @Doug – CBS will recover. They have to accept that especially without HIMYM Mondays will be generally low rated. I hear the main reason they didn’t expand last season all comedy development aside was because Person of Interest was doing well and as their only drama renewal from 2011-2012, CBS wanted to keep it in that slot to maintain POI, therefore they could not expand comedy.

    Even if HIMYM is gone, with 6 new comedies this season, something has to succeed. Lets say CBS renews 2 of these new comedies for next fall and lets say 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, The Big Bang Theory, and Two and a Half Men all return next fall. That leaves 2 slots open for new comedies. I think CBS could use the best of what they have to still have good shows next season.

    Just because We Are Men flopped, and Mom isn’t doing as well as it could be doesn’t mean CBS is in trouble. They are just adjusting to the new Thursday night 2 hour block and when The Voice is gone in January, I expect all MOnday comedies to go up at least by a point.

    The fact is if you look at it, Mom isn’t doing as badly as many people might think. I think it has a good chance at a full season and even season 2.

    2 Broke Girls premiered its season with a 2.8 and Mom got 2.5. This week 2BG got 2.4 and Mom got a 2.2. That retention isn’t bad and if you look at it every show after HIMYM is basically in the 2.0-2.5 range.

    Its not like last year where it was evident that no one was watching Partners where HIMYM, 2BG and M&M all got 3.0 and above and Partners got 1.8-2.2. This year all shows on Monday are down so CBS will likely have patience with Mom and probably pull We Are Men.

  • Dan

    @Mitchel – You’d be surprised, CBS has the mentality where it doesn’t matter how good the rest of the schedule is, if a show is an underperformer, they will cancel it. You’re theory makes sense (I agree completely that CBS will renew BB and H50) however between Mentalist and Good Wife, if CBS had to cancel one it would be Mentalist which they do not own however if Mentalist builds on Good Wife and GW’s ratings are already low, what incentive do they have to bring back The Good Wife when a new drama might perform better in the slot? The only reason that it was renewed was because of the new syndication deal that got it over 100 episodes to 112 by the end of the season.

    I agree holding Undercover Boss is obvious and I thought that CBS would do it this year, and air a new drama Fridays. But apparently they did not want to risk a new drama flopping so they started the season out with the reliable UB on Fridays and went with veterans H50 and BB at 9 & 10.

    My other guess is if CBS axes both Mentalist and Good Wife, they might move Hawaii 5-0 to Sundays at 9, air a new show at 10 Sundays then move CSI to Fridays at 9 and air a new drama post Criminal Minds Wed at 10. Finally a new drama Mon at 10.

    If we say its likely that all 3 dramas this season flop and get cancelled, and CBS cancels The Good Wife and The Mentalist. That will give them just enough room for UB on Fridays, 2 hour comedy blocks on Mon & Thurs, and 3 new dramas on next fall’s schedule. I think that’s a possibility considering sometimes with CBS they have to drop the dead weight, but work with what they have to start fresh next season.

  • JJF

    Just about everything on CBS except TBBT seems to have sprung a leak. But they can’t cancel everything. What will save many a show for a good year or two is the presence of weaker shows. With a good 3-4 weak shows that’ll be passed syndication mins and the flops of new shows, CBS will have bigger problems.

  • Ellie

    I dont hold out much hope for Person of Interest. It went from an excellent first season, to a mixed second and for the last part of the second season and the first episode of season 3, it has been slipping in a serious way. Too bad – but tweaking what does not need to be tweaked will do that to you.
    Problem with Hostages is simple – there is no opportunity for humor. Even suspenseful dramas like Breaking Bad, Lost, Prison Break found moments that could be exploited for humor.

  • Ted Craig

    Why do people think Mom is a lock for renewal? Because it’s a Chuck Lorre show?

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