CW: The Syndication Gods Saved ‘Nikita’ For A 4th Season, And They’ll Save ‘Hart Of Dixie’ Too
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-29, 2013):
|Hart Of Dixie|
When the Cancellation Bear predicted that woefully rated Nikita was likely to be renewed just a few weeks into the 2012-13 season, the doubters howled. They’re much quieter now, after Nikita was renewed for a short fourth (and final) season.
The CW syndication gods will also demand that Hart Of Dixie be renewed for a fourth season. CBS’ Les Moonves in a recent investor presentation surprisingly frankly all but admitted that the CW loses them money on an operating basis, but they (and Warner Brothers) make it up in the licensing value of the shows they create for the network. Shows that generate more episodes are far more valuable on a per episode basis.
Is this effectively the same CW post as last Tuesday? Of course it is. No CW shows have premiered yet, what would you have the bear do?
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
- 😐😐 :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
- :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
- :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2014
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.