NBC: 'Revolution,' 'Parks & Recreation' & 'Parenthood' Started Down, But They're Not Out Yet

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 1st, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bears waiting

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-29, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.57
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.70
Revolution :| :| :| 0.78
The Michael J. Fox Show :) :) :) :) 0.96
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
The Blacklist :) :) :) :) 1.65
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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In what is the biggest early disagreement with the mostly in-sync Bubble Watch, the Cancellation Bear isn't ready to predict either Parenthood or Revolution land in his jaws this season. Yet.

The bear thinks that all the good news for NBC's new shows may already be out, and until he sees the news (which could be very bad) for the rest of NBC's new shows he doesn't have enough data to go with a negative prediction on those two. Expect lots of changes to the predictions in this list as NBC premieres more new shows in the coming weeks.

Even though it has yet to air this season, the NBC syndication gods will demand that Grimm is renewed at the end of the 2013-14 season.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Justin121

    NBC has a lot of wholes to plug.

    Blacklist, Chicago Fire, SVU, could cover 3 out of the 6 Wed-Thurs hours.

    Maybe a final season of Parenthood and Chicago PD, too.

    That takes care of 5 out of 6 hours.

    Voice and Voice lead-outs cover 5 out of 6 Mon-Tues hours.

    If they keep The Biggest Loser, that leaves NBC with only 3 free hours on the schedule.

    2 of which will be propped by The Voice.

    Only problem?

    They’re not letting go of the 2-hour (pitfully rated) comedy block.

    The comedy block, Revolution, and Parenthood are dead weight at this point

  • Justin11

    “The NBC scene will change A LOT once Ironside, Welcome to the Family, and Sean Saves the World premiere.

    Those 3 will be ‘Likely Cancelations’ at the bottom and push the other 3 [Parks, Phood, REV] to the middle of the index to still maintain their ‘Bubble’status.”

    I love it when I’m this right :D

  • Glen Brown

    I was an avid fan of revolution season 1 and if I couldn’t watch the show or dvr it I would watch it online. Its an awesome show and I hope they won’t cancel it, but nbc is use to making stupid programming decisions like getting rid of Jay Leno. He is every bit as good a tonite show host as Johnny Carson. Jimmy Falon is great but not to replace Leno; not yet. Let Leno retire when he wants to and then Falon can take the show.

  • Destruct

    Man, if you are not watching Revolution this season you should just sell your TV and computer and go live in a cave.

  • a p garcia

    One of the problems with Revolution is that the writers forgot what they learned in science class as the reason why electricity went. It makes no sense in scientific terms! Also perhaps the writers know no science what so ever and don’t listen to their scientific advisors, if any.

  • Networkman

    NBC better hope that The Blacklist is a true hit, where viewers would be willing to follow it to any night. Because they are going to need it next season to be an anchor on other nights and plug in holes from cancelled dramas. There is no way it can stay behind The Voice for a second season with the condition the network is in. Law & Order: SVU in its 15th season is beating all dramas on the network that don’t follow The Voice.

    As for the comedies, NBC needs MJF show to hold up and that will most likely be the only comedy renewed.

  • chris

    They continue to revive the lame Revolution , it will lose its Third life

  • Chris J

    @Networkman

    NBC is setting up Chicago Fire to be a new anchor for the network. That show will probably be anchoring their drama night Wednesday along with it’s spinoff Chicago PD.

    Blacklist will probably remain behind the VOICE again next year to further establish it. I think NBC has learned from Revolution and Smash that post-VOICE shows need to be nurtured. Good thing for Blacklist is it’s a procedural and not too serialized.

    @Justin121

    I agree, NBC’s serial dramas and comedies are dragging them down now. Next fall NBC should go big with reality and minimize comedy hours. Mock fall 2014 schedule:

    Monday:

    08:00pm VOICE
    10:00pm *NEW* Most promising Procedural Drama

    Tuesday:

    08:00pm Michael J Fox Show or *NEW* Family sitcom
    08:30pm About A Boy or *NEW* Family Sitcom
    09:00pm VOICE
    10:00pm The Blacklist

    Wednesday:

    08:00pm Revolution/Parenthood/Nightshift/Believe/Crisis whichever get’s renewed
    09:00pm Chicago Fire
    10:00pm Chicago PD

    Thursday:

    08:00pm *NEW* Space Reality TV Show (this could be HUGE)
    10:00pm Law and Order SVU

    Friday:

    08:00pm Parks and Rec (this could possibly be a spot for veteran comedies to have “final” seasons)
    08:30pm Community
    09:00pm Grimm
    10:00pm Crossbones or *NEW* Genre limited series shows.

    The Biggest Loser is also another option to fill a 2 hour bloc on the schedule.

  • pa3k

    What about Renew/Cancel Index today??????

    Way NO info about today Renew/Cancel Index???????

  • Chris

    I’m betting NBC wished they kept milking the Office for another season or 2. LOL

  • Chris_SAdvisor

    @ a p garcia – They employ a sum total of 0 scientific advisers on the show, but did have one tell them how implausible the nanites were. Their premise is that nanites with technology that will not be around for another 10K years, were ‘stumbled upon’ by a scientist looking for cheap energy. So far that is not very plausible, but it is when these nanites start to *destroy* the electricity in all non-organic systems, that techno-magic is fully achieved. Anyone who paid the slightest attention in grade 10 science class knows the second law of thermodynamics – energy cannot be created or destroyed, only converted to other forms.

    Anyone claiming S2 is pure gold must be watching something else. S2 started off by invalidating most of S1 – turning the nanites back on. Sure it helped cover up the fact that Kripke just invalidated the major premise of the show – “to find out what happened to the electricity and turn it back on” (Kripke). But it also demonstrated that there is no coherent plan. To further prove that, Kripke has now claimed that season 2 is not being written to adhere to science, which he claimed as a major selling point for the *series* before the pilot aired (NYTimes). So, something he considered so vital to the show, for which he was willing to *lie* to NBC about (the science adviser that took a look at the premise of the show said it was “creative” and “offered infinite flexibility” – Kripke changed into “possible” and “amazing”), is too inconvenient now. Kripke also changed the major genre from Action in S1 to Mystery in S2.

    So this is being made-up on the fly, and the lack of quality is showing through as plot holes (dozens previously illustrated in other episode of S2 alone). If the show had a continuity/scientific adviser this show would have survived to see the second half of S2 (and most likely a full 5). Now, I am pretty sure it will be announced as cancelled, in three more episodes.

    At least the cast had a chance to prove they are better actors/actresses than what we saw in S1. Perhaps this season will help them land gigs with other shows. I just hope Rev. is not pulled before J. Beaver (SPN – Bobby) makes his appearance. ;)

  • Rich

    Revolution is a fantastic show. It got more views on Mondays then on Wednesdays. Even though I watch it all the time when it comes on, I still watch it on Xfinity the next day. So that’s double the count for viewing.
    I remember when NBC had this show called “Drive” April 13, 2007. It was a perfect show. It had a lot of potential and they canceled it before they even gave it a chance.

  • axeman

    Don’t take Revolution away from us.

  • Gardy

    I really really hope Revolution does not get cancel. I was very excited for The Blacklist but found myself looking more towards Revolution as the week went on.

  • possum

    Don’t care for the new Ironside…..glad to see it go. Loved the old Ironside years ago, but this new one is just not good. The lead actor that plays Ironside (can’t think of his name right now)acts so cocky and arrogant on the show that I think that and poor storyline turned everyone off.

  • Ben R

    I think they are crazy to cancel Parenthood. It is the only good show on NBC

  • Johnny

    They better not cancel REVOLUTION…. I’ll stop watching all the rest of the marginally entertaining NBC shows if they do.

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