NBC: 'Welcome To The Family' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 8th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-sign

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 6, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family :oops: 0.55
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.63
Ironside :oops: 0.65
Sean Saves The World :cry: :cry: 0.70
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.78
Revolution :| :| :| 0.86
The Michael J. Fox Show :) :) :) :) 0.98
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
The Blacklist :) :) :) :) 1.79
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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Even on the continuing train wreck that is NBC's sitcoms, when a show premieres with just a 1.1 adults 18-49 rating, as Welcome To The Family did, it's certain to be canceled.

Ironside's premiere rating marked it as certain to be canceled too, but the Cancellation Bear is taking a chance that NBC will hold off any moves until at least next Tuesday, so he can get it into the headline then. Sean Saves The World's premiere wasn't as terrible as Welcome To The Family, and it was only the fourth worst scripted rating on NBC last week, so it'll be just "likely to be canceled" for at least a week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • David James

    No surprises here then.

  • Dan

    I looked at this title and thought Welcome to the Family got cancelled. But yeah it will be soon. Ironside is in some danger but will probably air all 13 eps.

  • Igwell

    No it won’t.

  • Oliver

    I think NBC will make a quick change with Welcome to the Family, but they might hold off a few weeks on both Ironside and Sean Saves the World to see if they can get any traction with either.

    I mean, if they’re just going to replace Ironside with SVU repeats, then they can do it at a moments notice anyway.

  • THE OLD MAN

    I’m inclined to agree with the entire content of this post!

  • Justin

    Wow, out of all the Cancellation Bear rumors today. None of them bother me.

  • 9Blu

    Wow! Go Grimm! Renewal/Cancel index: Infinite!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Wow! Go Grimm! Renewal/Cancel index: Infinite!”

    Do’h! More speed induced errors! Now fixed.

  • Carmen

    I hope that (for his sake) the Micheal J. Fox show improves.

    Yes, i suppose that by NBC standards it is safe for the moment, and I have no doubts at all that NBC will renew it if they can find any excuse at all.

    But it really is not very good so far. I would hate to see him receive (and realize he was getting)a sympathy renewal.

  • Jonay

    You put a “0”instead of “o” in to!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “But it really is not very good so far. I would hate to see him receive (and realize he was getting)a sympathy renewal.”

    It’s their highest rated sitcom (and fourth highest rated scripted show)! How is renewing that sympathy?

  • Ultima

    NBC has already pushed The Biggest Loser back a week so they can run a two-hour auditions recap of The Voice tonight.

    Clearly, they should just go all-in on this: move The Biggest Loser to another night and extend The Voice to four hours a week! ;)

    For the first week of sweeps/live shows, they can do guys on Monday (2 hours), girls on Tuesday (2 hours), results plus bonus second chance showdown on Wednesday (2 hours) and final results on Thursday (one hour)!

    Come on NBC, be bold! :D

  • Mathew

    I love Sean saves the world. I also like welcome to the family but it got 2.99 mill viewed that’s awful. I hope they at least air all the episodes

  • Tommy M.

    @ Ultima,

    :lol: All kidding aside, I would suggest that NBC add an extra hour of blind auditions on Thursdays to assist them with their comedies. This would only be for the first two weeks of the season, just long enough to get a decent sampling of whatever new comedy they think has the most potential. It’s not bold, but it could be effective.

  • Jonay

    Maybe they shouldn’t have need The office so early!!!

  • Oliver

    @Ultima
    I’m not sure whether you’re being facetious, but I actually agree with you. Move TBL to Thursday at 8 and keep 4 hours of The Voice for a couple more weeks.

  • Chris J

    @Ultima
    @Tommy M.

    NBC is probably mulling expanding the Biggest Loser 2 hours and moving it to Wednesday or Thursday. Honestly I can’t see a 1hr version of TBL rating much higher than a 1hr the VOICE recap show.

    The Biggest Losers steady ratings and fan base are needed on NBC’s weaker nights this season.

  • Oliver

    @Chris J

    I imagine NBC’s plan is to expand TBL to 2 hours in January.

    I really, really don’t think they should add a Voice recap show.

  • Anna

    Only show I care about is Blacklist.

  • Ultima

    @Oliver
    I’m not sure whether you’re being facetious

    I’m not sure myself! ;)

    I think it could actually work. They couldn’t do two-hour results shows, but they could do recaps at 8 for a couple weeks and then have holiday programming in that timeslot.

    It’s a radical scheduling move, but having three DOA premieres in two nights is brutal! Especially considering that they only have five new shows on the schedule (excluding Dracula).

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