ABC: 'Once Upon A Time In Wonderland' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 15th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 13, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.47
Betrayal :oops: 0.52
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.60
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.78
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :cry: :cry: 0.78
Nashville :| :| :| 0.84
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.88
Back In The Game :| :| :| 0.90
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Goldbergs :) :) :) :) 1.09
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Super Fun Night :) :) :) :) 1.30
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.53
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.66
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.87

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Once Upon A Time In Wonderland premiered to a 1.7 adults 18-49 rating on Thursday at 8pm, 23% below the premiere of also canceled Last Resort last season, tapping it as certain to be canceled. The Cancellation Bear will dine on Alice and friends by the end of the season, maybe sooner.

Back In The Game was moved down to "toss up". Trophy Wife and The Neighbors are now both certain to be canceled. These changes will likely make their way to the post headlines over the next few weeks.

Is the bear feeling nervous about his pre-season call that the ABC syndication gods will demand that  Revenge be renewed for a fourth season? Just a bit. Will the syndication gods have the mojo to save the show if its ratings keep sinking? Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • queeneeuq

    How is it possible that The Goldbergs is geting renewed when Back in the Game almost beaten it last week? It’s not yet done falling.

    Super Fun Night may be rated good now but it will have make way for Mixology later. When that happens, it is likely to drop. ABC would most likely end up renewing just a single half season comedy.

    Hopefully, The Neighbors ends up airing a full season so a case can be made by May. :-(

  • jupiter3765

    revenge should really be a toss up

  • eridapo

    Okay Bear Revenge is doing everything it can to make itself bearchow so might as well dine on it.

    Both Nashville and Revenge are in the danger spot for ABC dramas, and only one of the two is likely to survive. Given that Revenge has more episodes under its belt it should make the cut for a syndication deal, but I don’t see anyone out there buying a serialized drama other than Netflix. The same is true for Nashville.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “How is it possible that The Goldbergs is geting renewed when Back in the Game almost beaten it last week? It’s not yet done falling.”

    Goldbergs was almost moved to “toss up” today, but this is a marathon, not a sprint. With the early dead shows already covered in the headlines, I can take my time with future moves/headlines.

  • Shepherd

    @Dan

    I’ll assume you meant Wonderland (OUATiW) when you said OUAT. At any rate, ABC has ordered more than 13 episodes, although they wont say how many more.

  • Boiler

    Although I think ABC should have stuck with its OUAT in Wonderland original premise, what the heck are they going to put there. Do you want Agents of Shield at that slot?? Maybe they should move Wonderland to Wednesday and pair Middle and Modern Family. Then use that Thursday timeslot for sacrificial comedy lambs until maybe they hit lightning in a bottle.

  • CHASE

    They whould move once in wonderland to sunday nights after betrayal gets canned to try and save it/

  • Rich

    Don’t ring the death knell for OUATIW (yet). This show is an amalgamation of Carrol’s original novels, the Disney cartoon and the creator’s imagination. Let’s not forget, ABC is owned by Disney. Disney wants this show to succeed for merchandise and tie-ins.

    The premiere ratings might not be stellar, but let’s not forget that ABC hasn’t had a “hit” Thursday at 8 show since the days of “Ugly Betty”. And that’s been off the air how many years now? To get 5 million people watching is an achievement, especially against the titan that is TBBT.

  • David James

    @Rich

    A case could be made that because of Nashville’s record sales, ABC will renew it. However, this is certainly not true and the same goes for Once Upon a Time in Wonderland and ‘merchandise’ Disney could sell. Also getting 5 million total viewers doesn’t matter, it’s adults 18-49!

  • Kim

    OUATiW was suppose to be a mini-series, so I really doubt it will be canceled before the season finishes. Also, I feel like I more people will catch on to the show as it continues on.

  • Shepherd

    @Rich

    Don’t ring the death knell for OUATIW (yet). This show is an amalgamation of Carrol’s original novels, the Disney cartoon and the creator’s imagination. Let’s not forget, ABC is owned by Disney. Disney wants this show to succeed for merchandise and tie-ins.

    The premiere ratings might not be stellar, but let’s not forget that ABC hasn’t had a “hit” Thursday at 8 show since the days of “Ugly Betty”. And that’s been off the air how many years now? To get 5 million people watching is an achievement, especially against the titan that is TBBT.

    Keep telling yourself this over and over and Wonderland is SURE to get another season. ;-)

  • TVDude

    I agree 100% with everything listed. I think Nashville, if it comes back, it won’t be for a full season. The writers for OUATIW better be thinking about wrapping everything up as it has almost no chance of seeing a season two.

    My understanding is they already had the whole season planned out so hopefully it ends in a good way. Not that I care, I didn’t really care for it too much.

  • Kim

    After Betrayl is canceled, Sundays should look like this:
    OUAT
    OUATiW
    Revenge

  • grey

    “Castle” is always on that cusp of 1.00 in order to get the green grin smiley. Argh.

  • Elena

    @Bill Gorman:

    Gotcha. Thanks for answering my question regarding Revenge and the whole Certain Renewal business. I appreciate the clarification. ;)

  • Dan

    @Shepherd – I did mean Wonderland and I think it’s just 13 episodes. I don’t think there will be anymore this season even if the show was successful.

  • Jerry

    I do hope that if Revenge ends, it will not be a cliffhanger. ABC would be dumb to lead us in for 3 seasons of Revenge without any revenge being taken at the end of the day. It will piss off a lot of fans, and Revenge fans are probably the very fans ABC rely on, considering their demographic.

    Without syndication, Revenge would be a bubble show by now, but hopefully syndication gives it a bit more edge. Of course the results for ABC is so horrid now that they might just take anything that doesn’t crumble.

    For example, SHIELD might be the lone survivor, and even then barely survived. There are also problems with Thursdays at 8 and Friday comedy block, the comedies except Modern Family and The Middle, and Sundays at 10pm.

    I do think ABC should give Revenge its final 4th season, and on the good side, for Revenge fans, of all the seasons to get bubble ratings, the 3rd season is it. Just look at Nikita which got renewed averaging 0.2s and 0.3s, as well as Gossip Girl getting syndicated despite very low ratings at its last season. If THAT can be believed to have syndication, anything would.

  • Ram510

    I liked it better last week when you posted the Cancel Index later in the day versus in the morning. There’s already so much happening on Tuesday mornings

  • Tran

    People forget that Nashville is an Emmy nominated show. If it’s between Revenge and Nashville I hope they go for Nashville and their OUTSTANDING performances….that being said… their ratings are actually better so far than most of S1

  • Shepherd

    @Dan

    ABC ordered an “undisclosed” number of additional episodes. They made the announcement back in May. They would only say that it was less than 22, but more than 13 total episodes ordered for Wonderland.

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