ABC: 'Once Upon A Time In Wonderland' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 15th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 13, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.47
Betrayal :oops: 0.52
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.60
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.78
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :cry: :cry: 0.78
Nashville :| :| :| 0.84
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.88
Back In The Game :| :| :| 0.90
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Goldbergs :) :) :) :) 1.09
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Super Fun Night :) :) :) :) 1.30
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.53
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.66
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.87

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Once Upon A Time In Wonderland premiered to a 1.7 adults 18-49 rating on Thursday at 8pm, 23% below the premiere of also canceled Last Resort last season, tapping it as certain to be canceled. The Cancellation Bear will dine on Alice and friends by the end of the season, maybe sooner.

Back In The Game was moved down to "toss up". Trophy Wife and The Neighbors are now both certain to be canceled. These changes will likely make their way to the post headlines over the next few weeks.

Is the bear feeling nervous about his pre-season call that the ABC syndication gods will demand that  Revenge be renewed for a fourth season? Just a bit. Will the syndication gods have the mojo to save the show if its ratings keep sinking? Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • aciel

    i have a feeling if revenge’s ratings keep dropping to betrayal/lucky 7 levels then i don’t think that even syndication could save it

  • queeneeuq

    Predicted changes next week:

    The Neighbors: :-I :-I

    Last Man Standing: :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D

    Wonderland: :-(

    The Goldbergs: :-I :-I

    Super F@# Night: :-) :-) :-)

  • queeneeuq

    The Neighbors: :-) :-)

    The Goldbergs: :-) :-)

  • Doug

    @Ultima – also, hits were a lot bigger then. The cushion between what is a hit and what is not is very small now. GA doing a 2.7 will likely get it a 10th season, but a 2.0 likely would not, due to cost. When GA went up against CSI, it was doing 9s and 10s in the ratings. It could afford to fall by half and still be a hit. That’s clearly not the case anymore, and there are almost no shows now that could fall by half and live to tell about it. TBBT being the obvious exception.

  • Doug

    As a side note, I don’t understand ABC keep putting incompatible shows on after Modern Family. Trophy Wife would be a great pair there.

  • aciel

    since the abc average is down even a 1.7 is good on abc

  • Brandy

    @DJ, don’t be fooled:a full season order dosent stop some shows from being cancelled at the end of the season.

  • James

    Heres what ABC should do next season:

    Sunday
    DWTS
    Nashville

    Monday
    SHIELD
    new drama
    Castle

    Tuesday
    OUAT
    new drama
    Scandal

    Wednesday
    Middle
    BITG
    MF
    new comedy
    new drama

    Thursday
    Revenge
    Greys
    new drama

    Friday
    LMS
    Goldbergs????
    Shark Tank
    20/20

  • Pat

    My schedule Prediction for ABC:
    Sunday:
    7:00 – America’s Funniest Home Videos
    8:00 – Once Upon a Time
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 – Revenge
    Monday:
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars
    10:00 – Nashville
    Tuesday:
    8:00 – Marvel’s Agents of Shield
    9:00 – New Drama
    10:00 – New Drama
    Wednesday
    8:00 – The Middle
    8:30 – New Comedy or Goldbergs if it doesn’t get cancelled
    9:00 – Modern Family
    9:30 – New Comedy
    10:00 – New Drama
    Thursday
    8:00 – Castle
    9:00 – Scandal
    10:00 – New Drama
    Friday
    8:00 – Last Man Standing
    8:30 – New Comedy
    9:00 – Shark Tank
    10:00 – 20/20

    Thoughts?

  • Randy

    My idea for ABC next year:

    MONDAY:
    08:00 – Dancing with the Stars
    10:00 – Nashville

    TUESDAY:
    08:00 – Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
    09:00 – New Drama
    10:00 – Castle

    WEDNESDAY:
    08:00 – The Middle
    08:30 – New Comedy / Suburgatory (Midseason)
    09:00 – Modern Family
    09:30 – The Goldbergs / New Comedy (if Goldbergs is canceled)
    10:00 – New Drama

    THURSDAY:
    08:00 – Shark Tank / Wipeout
    09:00 – Grey’s Anatomy (final season)
    10:00 – Scandal

    FRIDAY:
    08:00 – Last Man Standing
    08:30 – Back in the Game / New Comedy (if Back in the Game is canceled)
    09:00 – Shark Tank
    10:00 – 20/20

    SUNDAY:
    08:00 – Once Upon a Time
    09:00 – Resurrection (if successful) / New Drama
    10:00 – Revenge (final season)

    ABC should try that Sunday schedule when Once Upon a Time and Revenge return in March and Resurrection premieres. Resurrection is much more compatible with Once Upon a Time than Revenge, and 10pm is a death sentence for any new show. And ride it out if it goes rocky and give Revenge a final fourth season.

  • Ultima

    @Doug
    there are almost no shows now that could fall by half and live to tell about it

    Over what period of time? Glee fell by more than 50% from season two to season four and was renewed for two seasons. 2 Broke Girls could potentially fall 50% between seasons one and three and still be renewed next May.

    Obviously, no show is going to survive a 50% year-to-year drop, but if you extend it out to three or four seasons, then I’m sure there’s plenty of shows that could fall by half and still get renewed.

  • Ultima

    @fantasy schedulers

    What is the obsession with moving Castle? If it’s not broken, don’t fix it.

    Why is The Goldbergs on anyone’s schedule (even if conditionally)? If you’re posting after Wednesday, you should already know that the show is going to be canceled.

    DWTS to Sundays isn’t happening unless they change the judges. If it did happen, 9-11pm after Once Upon a Time would be the most obvious schedule because it doesn’t involve moving a hit drama and actually works with their movies.

    @Randy
    10:00 – Nashville
    09:00 – Resurrection (if successful) / New Drama

    It usually doesn’t work like that. You should have done…

    XX – Nashville / New Drama (if Resurrection successful)
    YY – New Drama / Resurrection (if successful)

    When a new show hits, it typically reduces the number of renewals for veteran shows rather than reduce the time allotted to new shows.

  • BBFan

    Bears vs Giants was the excuse for Wonderland’s 1.7 premiere. There’s no excuse for it’s 1.2. An encore of MARVEL can do better than that there. Moving probably won’t do any good. It looks like Wonderland’s cast is a turn-off.

  • Jeff C

    I really wish they hadn’t buried The Neighbors in the graveyard that is Friday night programming. It really is a good show that doesn’t get the respect it deserves. Let’s hope they move it back to Wednesday once Super Fun Night or Back in the Game crashes. (Neither are very good, imo)

  • Alex

    I’m not disturbed by the OUATW situation. The showrunner took the smart attitude of plotting out only a 13-episode or so season with a complete storyline, perhaps anticipating a short run. So that means it’ll get to tell its story; by comparison, Last Resort was intended to run longer than the number of episodes it got, so even if ABC pulls it before the complete run airs, we’ll see the whole thing on Blu-ray later.

  • Lin

    I think Alice in Wonderland is great…people are not giving it a chance. Some of the shows that have been renewed are not all that great. People are like lemmings…they will watch something just because everyone else does.

  • goodwolfe59

    Well, Last Resort was certainly a more coherent story, better acting, better casting and chemistry, and still couldn’t make it in that time slot. That doesn’t bode well for OUaTiW….add in the fact that the sfx/CGI (or whatever you call them)that the show seems so reliant on, are horrendous and they would be better served to forgo the amateurish attempts to create some kind of effects that the show’s budget obviously doesn’t allow.

  • Krystal boomer

    I love once upon a time in wonderland this is really disapointing???? I was wondering why it hasn’t been on.

  • baycal

    Please cancel once upon a time in wonderland already its so irritating and alice is annoying…

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