FOX: 'Dads' Is Still Certain To Be Canceled, No Matter How Many Extra Scripts Get Ordered

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 15th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 13, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Dads :oops: 0.73
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.73
Brooklyn Nine-Nine :cry: :cry: 0.84
Bob's Burgers renewed 0.95
American Dad final season on Fox 0.97
Bones :) :) :) :) 0.98
Glee renewed 1.00
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
The Simpsons renewed 1.37
Sleepy Hollow renewed 1.44

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Fox ordered six extra scripts for Dads last week. That's schedule spackle at best (some episodes may be produced to fill in schedule gaps before spring) or keeping options open at worst (no additional episodes may be produced). Either way, the show is certain to be canceled. The bear apologizes for circling around to Dads so soon, but as you may note, there aren't that many shows in Fox's list for him to talk about!

Extra scripts were ordered for Brooklyn 9-9 as well. Same situation there, but its ratings aren't quite as bad. For that reason, it's just likely to be canceled.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • CraveRecords

    With so many scripted shows already renewed (and 7 less hours of programming than ABC, CBS, and NBC), the FOX articles will be boring this year.

  • Shan

    How is Mindy Project a toss up when it has the same renew/cancel index as Dads? I also hope that you are wrong about B99 getting canceled.

  • Scandalicious

    Fox is definitely faring the worst of the four major networks. At least NBC has The Voice. All Fox really has is Sleepy Hollow. I fear that they are shooting Sleepy Hollow in the foot by taking a few weeks off. I think Fox would be making a very bad move by canceling either Brooklyn 9-9 or The Mindy Project. Both have reliable fan bases and could grow in my opinion. However, it is time for Dads to go. I really hope both Raising Hope and The Following come back strong.

  • busy06

    I agree that FOX is in the worst shape of the four networks. They need a hit badly.

  • Dan14

    I agree that B99 could grow. But The Mindy Project is what it is, unfortunately. I expect them to pull the plug at season’s end, before syndication becomes a factor.

  • PurpleDrazi

    With so many scripted shows already renewed (and 7 less hours of programming than ABC, CBS, and NBC), the FOX articles will be boring this year.

    Kind of like CBS was last year. Who would have thought that CBS would be so interesting this season. (in terms of cancellation predictions anyway.)

  • James

    Isn’t it true that Mindy fell below B99 even with the NG lead-in? For that reason I’d put B99 on the bubble and Mindy likely to be cancelled, though I can see how it could be tiresome to keep switching them based on the previous week’s ratings. I would say that FOX keeps two of its comedies on Tuesdays with NG as a given for renewal and Dads as a given for cancellation, so its between Mindy and B99.

  • Austin

    The Mindy Project is going down. But, Brooklyn Nine-Nine still has hope if the other Fox comedies premiere terrible.

  • JonniMac

    It’s not just the ratings, people. Multi-cams cost a lot less to produce than single-cams. B-99/Mindy cost more than double Dads and get the same ratings. Comedies are down everywhere so Fox is trying to develop cheaper multi-cams that can pull mid- to high-1’s.

  • RJ

    So sad that B99 is rating so poorly. I think it’s the best new comedy series of the season. Here’s hoping for a miracle.

  • Igwell

    Dads is the new ‘Til Death.

  • Gords

    Why is XFactor not listed?

  • KJ Styles

    I don’t see why they don’t just cancel Dads and air Raising Hope in it’s spot. People are saying that RH wouldn’t do any better than Dads but I beg to differ. It wouldn’t do spectacular given the competition, but it would do better than Dads.

    This should be Fox’s Tuesday schedule

    8- Raising Hope
    8:30- The Mindy Project
    9- New Girl
    9:30- Brooklyn Nine Nine

    B99 deserves a better lead in. It’s a better show than TMP and would do better in that timeslot IMO.

  • One

    If viewership of Brooklyn 9-9 does not increase on this eve, I will take necessary steps to ensure compliance, regardless of how agonizing those steps will be to the subjects of such measures.

    You’ve been warned.

  • Robert Ford

    I watch /The Mindy Project/ but can’t stand /New Girl/, and it seems like most people are the reverse (they like NG, can’t stand TMP). I think the assumption was that two comedies that star young women would go well together, and this is clearly not the case owing to pretty much everything else about them being different.

    Does anybody know the sub-demos? I know that NG is heavily skewed towards young women, and TMP was intended to be as well. But seeing as it drops heavily from its lead and draws in at least some new male viewers (*cough*cough*) who don’t watch NG, I wonder if it really does skew female.

    *If* Mindy is more balanced or even male-skewing, is there any reason Fox couldn’t try moving Mindy to cable? It also seems like there’s no chance of TMP becoming a success on broadcast, and while it might barely limp along to syndication, I wonder how much worse it could do on FX.

  • Aron

    If I can recall mindy aired a new episode last season with a new girl repeat as a lead in and it got a 1.3 mindy can move from NG and still survive it has a core audience

  • Joe

    Why is Mindy a toss-up but Brooklyn Nine-Nine is likely to be canceled? With the exception of last week, B99 is consistently higher-rated…

  • Michael

    Brooklyn Nine-Nine is actually a very good show. Writing is good, story lines are good, production and flow are good and it’s actually very funny. BNN is definitely a keeper. Spread the word on facebook and twitter and it’ll stick around.

  • TonyL

    So why go through the trouble of ordering more shows if its still gonna be cancelled?

  • HV

    Here are my predictions:

    VERY LIKELY CANCELATION
    Dads

    LIKELY CANCELATION
    The Mindy Project

    IN THE MIDDLE
    Brooklyn Nine-Nine

    LIKELY RENEWAL

    VERY LIKELY RENEWAL
    Bones
    Family Guy
    New Girl

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