CW: 'The Originals' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 22nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 20, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Beauty And The Beast :cry: :cry: 0.35
Hart Of Dixie :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.47
Reign :| :| :| 0.93
The Tomorrow People :) :) :) :) 0.99
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
The Originals :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Nikita final season #DIV/0!

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The Originals ratings moved up in its second week in its permanent timeslot to tie Arrow as the CW's #2 show for the week. The Cancellation Bear is moving it to "certain to be renewed".

Reign premiered with no margin for decline last week. If it holds at or near its 0.8 premiere rating, it would be renewed, but if it suffers the typical post premiere declines it's "Off with their heads". The bear's going to wait until next week's ratings to move it off of "toss up".

The CW syndication gods will demand that Hart Of Dixie be renewed for a fourth season. Maybe it'll be a short one like Nikita's, or maybe not. The bear doesn't get into predicting episode orders. Crazy fans, and anti-fans, who'd like to predict in the comments are welcome to.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Revenger

    Go TVD!!

  • RayClark

    Reign is great! I really hope Reign to be renewed! <3

  • Shane

    I hope The Tomorrow People grows in ratings. It is a really good show!

  • Anne

    Reign is good show, I hope Reign grows in rantigs too!

  • Jonay

    Should we see Beauty & the Beast move to Fridays @ 9:00 come mid-season so the CW can use its occupied time slot to premiere something new?

  • hammard

    Outside of B&TB I think a lot is going to depend on what happens in midseason. If The 100, Carrie Diaries and Starcrossed all tank then everything else could (but not necessarily) be safe. As they will have at least two slots for new shows with, more if any of the fall schedule is held over ’til midseason.
    But if any of these is a bigger success, then the other freshman shows will start being plucked away.

  • reedmac

    I’m pretty sure The Originals tied Arrow as No.2 show of the week with 1.1 a peice, SPN came in just after them with a 1.0?

  • Mi

    A corection for this article – Arrow and The Originals tied for 2nd this week, not SPN. All four will be renewed.

  • Mi

    Correction :)

  • gerry

    love that the cw is having success this year. originals and tomorrow people are both really great shows.

  • Jen

    PLEASE CW KEEP BEAUTY AND THE BEAST!! :(

  • Wright

    The CW is looking really good this year. I hope Reign can hold its rating or go up. It’s really a good show and has a great cast.

  • Dan

    My guess is that Originals and Tomorrow People will both get full seasons and may be the only dramas renewed from this season.

    I also think that Hart of Dixie could get a full final season unlike Nikita only because HOD’s numbers now are better then Nikita’s were last season.

    If Reign’s retention is bad out of Vampire Diaries it will either just get a 13 ep order and then be replaced or just cancelled. Anyway its not looking good.

    I could see Supernatural, Originals, Arrow, Tomorrow People, Vampire Diaries, Hart of Dixie and ANTM being on fall’s schedule along with 3 new dramas.

  • Michael

    Could the BEAST conquer and win in combat against the BEAR? Time will tell.

  • Dan

    @Jonay – That looks likely after Carrie Diaries ends that BATB ends up on Fridays at 9 and a new drama airs Mondays. Maybe Star-Crossed or 100 but whatever doesn’t end up on Mondays will replace Reign on Thursdays.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “A corection for this article – Arrow and The Originals tied for 2nd this week, not SPN. All four will be renewed.”

    Thanks. Old bear eyes + tiny spreadsheet rows. Now fixed.

  • MARSEPH

    The Originals and Tomorrow People will make it…I don’t think Reign will…limited concept, and unfortunately for her character history shows Mary eventually meets a horrible ending…so will the show.

    I also believe that the CW’s other shows waiting in the wings will do better…

  • JJA

    I think The Tomorrow People should be a “toss up” as well. It went DOWN to a .8 (from a .9) in its second week, while its lead-in Arrow jumped up. Reign just has a single .8 for now, so the two shows have similar numbers.

    Regardless, I think BOTH shows will get full seasons, so we have a full year to track their ratings.

  • Scandalicious

    At this point I thin the CW is in really good shape this season. While Heart of Dixie and Beauty and the Beast are not doing great everything else is hanging in there quite well. HOD will definitely get another season and since Nikita is ending maybe HOD could air in its place next season.

    I thin the jury is still out on Reign. I am hopeful that it can hold its premiere rating and maybe even grow a little bit.

    The CW has already had a good amount of success this season with The Originals and The Tomorrow People both doing well and, in my opinion, both being really good shows! I just hope their midseason shows can do equally well!

  • PHIL

    The CW would be crazy not to renew Reign

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