ABC: 'Trophy Wife' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


jumping_polar_bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.48
Betrayal :oops: 0.49
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :oops: 0.63
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.72
Nashville :| :| :| 0.82
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.82
Back In The Game :| :| :| 0.90
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
The Goldbergs :| :| :| 0.99
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Super Fun Night :) :) :) :) 1.17
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.55
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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While the Cancellation Bear made the prediction change earlier in the season, it's worth noting that Trophy Wife is now certain to be canceled. It's ABC's lowest rated non-Friday sitcom by a fair margin. The bear would guess that Suburgatory will replace it at some point, but when, the bear can't guess.

Those paying attention to the chart will note that Back In The Game has been moved back down to a "toss up". It's looking like it will be in a battle for survival with The Goldbergs (one that will possibly include Super Fun Night as well).

As always, early in the season, predictions change rapidly. Stay tuned.

The bear's getting increasingly nervous about Revenge being rescued by the syndication gods with its continuing ratings slide, but he's sticking with the gods. At least for now.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Lucas Melo

    Oh Revenge, stop going down!

  • Mike

    Awww, well that just sucks. Really like Trophy Wife.

  • Mitchell

    You know Bill, you can move Revenge to likely renewal if you’re getting nervous. Nobody will think any less of you for it, and the crazy Scandal fans will declare you their god.

  • Midnight

    I don’t know why ABC is insisting on their Tuesday comedy block. It clearly isn’t working. Trophy Wife probably would have done well on Wednesdays, and I don’t want to see Suburgatory on Tuesdays either.

  • Megan

    Wow really? Trophy Wife is one of the better shows out there. Sucks!

  • jonay

    Why is ABC taking sooo long too cancel Betrayal, Trophy Wife, Once Upon A Time In Wonder Land, and The Neighbors? They should cancel some of them to put another show their for more exposure!

  • Rebecca

    I hope Trophy Wife at least lasts the season.

  • Mitchell

    @jonay

    What other shows? They only have so many replacements, and they need to time to promote them. ABC will ride out the losers until 2014, when they can give replacements a decent launch.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “You know Bill, you can move Revenge to likely renewal if you’re getting nervous. Nobody will think any less of you for it, and the crazy Scandal fans will declare you their god.”

    Plenty of time for that. The sprint portion of the season’s race is over, now it’s a marathon.

  • David Howell

    Bill’s just waiting for the opportune moment for a headline. ;)

    Is the traditional model of syndication applicable to serials anyway? These days, I’d have thought that having a series finale is more important than getting to 88. The CDub seems to agree, giving Nikita a final 6.

    I think Revenge will get either a 90210-esque “cancel early enough to allow the season finale to be the series finale” announcement or a fourth and final season pickup (which may or may not be a 22-pack).

  • sandy245

    Trophy Wife is a horrible show and deserves cancellation. I’ve watched each week only because it comes after the likeable Goldbergs, and just can’t get into it.
    I hope The Goldbergs moves to Wednesdays after The Middle after it’s eventually pulled.

  • LondonTown

    “Its ABC’s lowest rated sitcom by a fair margin. ”

    May I draw your attention to the Friday comedies… Last Man Standing and The Neighbors…

  • CBSviewer

    I think both of Trophy Wife and The Goldbergs will be canceled. Tonight both Shows will air new episodes while SHIELD will be a repeat.

  • Nerdbot

    The bear is getting nervous about Revenge being rescued by the syndication gods and so am I. Seriously, Revenge has to stop going down or at least the writers should have in mind that this season might be the last and start wrapping up the story arcs so the show can have a proper ending.

  • Carmen

    To myself, Trophy Wife is (ABCs) answer to (CBSs) Mom.

    That is, new comedies that are better (or at least as good) as the other newbie comedies on their network, but suffer from a much less advantageous spot on the schedule. Their ratings suffer in comparison because of it.

  • Ashley Crawford

    Revenge is against Sunday Night Football,The Walking Dead and The World Series this past Sunday,there is nothing else they could or would put there that would do any better.

  • nrc

    Doesn’t Scandal now have a bigger average than agents of shield?

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “May I draw your attention to the Friday comedies… Last Man Standing and The Neighbors…”

    Correct you are! Am editing.

  • Ultima

    @jonay
    Why is ABC taking sooo long too cancel Betrayal, Trophy Wife, Once Upon A Time In Wonder Land, and The Neighbors?

    The only replacement show that they might have available is Suburgatory and they’re already dealing with an open timeslot (Tuesday 10pm).

    Taking a midseason show and throwing it on the schedule without a significant amount of promotion (6-8 weeks) just gets you another failed show.

  • jonay

    @ Mitchell

    Shows Like Marvel Agents Of S.H.I.E.L.D could air repeats Thursdays @8 or Sundays @ 10

    or

    Back In The Game or Super fun Night could air repeats Fridays @ 8:30 or Tuesdays at 9:30!

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