ABC: 'Trophy Wife' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.48
Betrayal :oops: 0.49
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :oops: 0.63
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.72
Nashville :| :| :| 0.82
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.82
Back In The Game :| :| :| 0.90
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
The Goldbergs :| :| :| 0.99
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Super Fun Night :) :) :) :) 1.17
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.55
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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While the Cancellation Bear made the prediction change earlier in the season, it's worth noting that Trophy Wife is now certain to be canceled. It's ABC's lowest rated non-Friday sitcom by a fair margin. The bear would guess that Suburgatory will replace it at some point, but when, the bear can't guess.

Those paying attention to the chart will note that Back In The Game has been moved back down to a "toss up". It's looking like it will be in a battle for survival with The Goldbergs (one that will possibly include Super Fun Night as well).

As always, early in the season, predictions change rapidly. Stay tuned.

The bear's getting increasingly nervous about Revenge being rescued by the syndication gods with its continuing ratings slide, but he's sticking with the gods. At least for now.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • the moon

    I wonder when will ABC wil cancel a comedy?

  • Celoriu

    Okay, I had this open from before and I didn’t see those last commenters already asking the same question as I did. Sorry guys!

  • chloe

    I think if the new comedy done well ABC would have cancelled Suburgatory

  • Shawn

    Does Revenge have the same magic in syndication where it is so heavily serialized?

    How attractive is a show like ‘prison break’ compared to self-contained episode dramas like the L&O franchise?

  • Duarte

    @chloe totally agree. Suburgatory is in danger

  • Rebecca

    I agree with the recent TVG article (online) regarding bubble shows that Trophy Wife is a good show with a bad title, like Cougar Town. Maybe it should have been called “Another Modern Family” (which is how I see it, with the two ex wives and the whole family involved in the raising of the kids, etc.). And then air it after Modern Family, lol. The two shows would fit well together.

  • Jen

    Trophy Wife did this to itself, IMO. Critics loved the pilot and lauded its cute, quirky and unique family dynamic. Then, episode #2 did a 180: the jokes fell flat and it unleashed a Full House-meets-Growing Pains preachiness as though it was attempting to solicit the canned “awwww” sound effect over a group hug. They not only recast the daughter, but they made her extremely smarmy – I think they were going for an Alex on Modern Family, but she just comes off as a brat. And they don’t use Michaela Watkins enough – she’s the crazy glue that holds the show together.

  • Rebecca

    @Jen
    I agree about Michaela Watkins as Jackie…she is hilarious.

  • Alan

    Revenge needs to stop dropping! :( I hope that with baseball and football gone, it goes up to its usual numbers, but right now I’m worried.

  • DM

    @Celoriu & @Chris

    I think the reason why Last Man Standing is not a certain renewal because it is not produced by ABC so they won’t be profiting from the syndication deal. Fox owns it so I guess it’s up to them to pay ABC enough to make it worth it to keep it on the air for another season for syndication. Revenge is produced by ABC so that’s why it’s certain renewal.

  • kevina

    I’m going to be on pins and needles all season about Nashville.

    And AoS is going to be fine for this year. The worry is that they come back next year and the ratings crater, i.e. Revenge.

  • Cyrax86

    I wonder when ABC is making a decision on back nine for any of the comedies. I believe The Neighbors got the back nine exactly a year ago today…

  • KJ Styles

    They should just cancel Trophy Wife already and start promoting the return of Suburgatory. I need my Jane Levy fix! :D

    I don’t see why Super Fun Night isn’t a certain renewal. It’s ABC’s second highest rated sitcom. And I don’t want to hear that “It doesn’t retain much of Modern Family’s audience” crap because network don’t care about retention. That may be a reason to move it to a new night and/or timeslot next year, but not a reason to cancel it.

    I believe Goldbergs and Back In The Game will be bubble shows all year like Bill said above. If Suburgatory and Mixology are renewed, then they’re likely bearchow.

  • Reprise

    @Fake Me Out

    I think Shield needs some hero characters to keep viewer interest.

  • Ultima

    @KJ Styles
    I don’t see why Super Fun Night isn’t a certain renewal. It’s ABC’s second highest rated sitcom.

    The past two weeks it’s dipped below The Middle. This week it won’t have an original Modern Family lead-in and it will drop even further.

    And I don’t want to hear that “It doesn’t retain much of Modern Family’s audience” crap because network don’t care about retention.

    Super Fun Night is barely out-performing The Goldbergs and Back in the Game; the only reason it’s ahead of them is because it has the best lead-in on the network. You’re kidding yourself if you think that ABC is just going to ignore that.

  • KJ Styles

    @Ultima- “Super Fun Night is barely out-performing The Goldbergs and Back in the Game; the only reason it’s ahead of them is because it has the best lead-in on the network. You’re kidding yourself if you think that ABC is just going to ignore that.”

    People on this site overrate retention so much it’s ridiculous!

    I can’t think of any show on the big four networks that has ever been cancelled due to retention. Not a single one. If Super Fun Night dips below The Goldbergs and Back In The Game, then I’ll say cancellation is warranted. Unless that happens though, I don’t see it happening.

    And BTW, The Middle has only beaten Super Fun Night once. When SFN hit it’s series low last week, The Middle was pre-empted by that Toy Story Halloween Special, just sayin.

  • were123

    After seeing how The CW renewed Nikita I have no doubt that Revenge will get a 4th season. I know they CW and ABC are very different networks, but there is always a rating laggard show that makes it through, may it be Chuck, Fringe, The Good Wife, Nikita, hey! Even Body of Proof made it to season 3!

  • Kate

    Aw man, I really enjoy Trophy Wife. I wish it had gotten the post MF slot.

  • Ultima

    @KJ Styles
    I can’t think of any show on the big four networks that has ever been cancelled due to retention. Not a single one.

    Did I say anything about retention? No.

    I said that it’s ratings were being inflated by a strong lead-in.

    And yes, networks cancel shows with inflated ratings. My all-time favorite example is Union Square. It was a top ten show and couldn’t even get a back nine!

    For a recent, and relevant, example, look at How to Live with Your Parents.

    Here are its spring ratings – 2.9, 2.5, 2.0, 1.5, 2.1, 2.0, 2.0, 2.1

    And here are the midseason numbers for The Neighbors – 2.1, 1.8, 2.0, 1.6, 1.7, 1.7, 1.9, 1.7, 1.7, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5

    And BTW, The Middle has only beaten Super Fun Night once. When SFN hit it’s series low last week, The Middle was pre-empted by that Toy Story Halloween Special, just sayin.

    The last two episodes of Super Fun Night have been below the season low for The Middle. I’d think that’s sufficient for saying it’s dipped below it.

  • Ray

    Inflated shows do get canceled. I loved How to Live with Your Parents (for the Rest of Your Life), and was shocked when I saw they canceled, especially knowing how it did better than The Neighbors (which was renewed). I though How to Live with Your Parents should have gotten a second season. The only ABC comedies I’ve enjoyed in recent years is The Middle, How to Live with Your Parents, Don’t Trust the B in Apartment 23, and The Goldbergs. I cannot stand Back in the Game, Super Fun Night, or The Neighbors. As for the drama side, Revenge, IMO is still safe, but if it drops any more I’ll question what will happen. Regardless, I’m sure ABC would hopefully have the decency to allow it to wrap up its story, even if a short fourth & final season is necessary. But then again, ABC didn’t do that with veteran show, Brothers & Sisters. Betrayal and Once Upon a Time in Wonderland will ride out their seasons, as they seem pretty stable at numbers that reruns barely hit, so it wouldn’t make sense to remove them while they are at manageable ratings. Nashville may be safe if the midseason dramas all fail, although it & Revenge still need to air a few more episodes before we can make final judgments.

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