FOX: 'The Mindy Project' Now At The Bottom Of Fox's Sitcom Ratings Heap

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.73
Dads :oops: 0.74
Brooklyn Nine-Nine :| :| :| 0.84
Bob's Burgers renewed 0.99
American Dad final season on Fox 1.02
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Bones :) :) :) :) 1.03
Glee renewed 1.05
Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
The Simpsons renewed 1.43
Sleepy Hollow renewed 1.47

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The Cancellation Bear's not sure if he's ever encountered a situation that The Mindy Project finds itself in. A veteran show with ratings lower than all the rookies on the same network (as well as all the other veterans).

Whether it's new or not, it's perplexing for the bear, because normally veteran shows get somewhat of a benefit of the doubt for renewal over rookies with similar ratings, but how much of a benefit of the doubt should Mindy get?

Mindy is now below the woefully rated, and predicted as certain to be canceled, Dads (full season order notwithstanding), and well below the (just moved to) "toss up" Brooklyn 9-9.

The bear's keeping Mindy as a "toss up" for now, because with so few Fox shows in doubt, he's going to have to circle back around to it again (and again).

Those chastising the bear for his prediction that Dads would be canceled should note The Bold text at the top of every post. The bear's predictions are for the end of the season. If Dads is renewed, then you can gleefully chastise then. Until then, you just look silly.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • David Howell

    It’s going to come down to things other than A18-49, which I see being close all season long.

    Mindy skews ridiculously young and female. The 8pm hour skews less ridiculously young and male. Mindy is closer to syndication, but needs a two-season order to get there. Which is better?

    I could see all three sitcoms around New Girl being tossups/likely cancels in May. Two will go and one will stay, I reckon, and goodness only knows which one the Bear won’t have room for.

  • Carmen

    I wish Mindy was doing better. It can be funny and often insightful, but somehow it just doesn’t click as a whole.

    Part of it is the supporting cast. It has no really compelling secondary characters . . .with the possible exception of Danny. I also think they are badly using the male nurse. He has a colorful, but mostly wasted, backstory while in the confines of the clinic.
    They need to change locale if not a near total cast swapout.

  • jonay

    Why would FOX renew The Mindy project if they renew it for a season 3? then the Syndication Gods will demand Fox has to renew it for a 4th season!!

  • Ryan Schwartz

    Next season’s lineup will consist of NEW GIRL, BROOKLYN NINE-NINE and MULANEY, plus one other new sitcom.

  • Ronak

    I enjoyed TMP last seasons but I’ve stopped watching this season. It is no longer funny and grows more and more ridiculous with every ep.

    I love B-99. Definitely hope it sticks around.

  • omabin

    The thing with Mindy are those 18-34 that make it so profitable. At some point, that will have to figure into predictions, even though I have no clue how to make that in a systematic way since it is so hard to see those figures.

  • PurpleDrazi

    Definitely going to be an interesting ratings race on Fox this year. Hopefully Raising Hope will manage to stay above the pile when it returns. (I’m not holding my breath though.)

  • Rebecca

    I like pretty much the whole cast of Mindy – I had more of an appreciation for the male nurse after watching their Paley Fest clips…that actor/writer is very funny. Dr. Danny is the best of them, but I see this as a fun ensemble show and I still enjoy it. I hope it at least lasts the rest of this season, and if they sense they’ll be cancelled for sure they should pair Mindy with Danny since it seems they’re headed that way anyway. Also enjoying B99, BB, NG and Sleepy Hollow.

  • THE OLD MAN

    What a dire situation Mindy has found itself in!

  • Aron

    Mindy has a core audience which is around 3 million 1.3 18-49 we will have to see if it gets a SB promotion boost

  • Nancy

    I have a feeling Fox will keep it’s Tuesday comedy lineup as is and will renew Dads(unfortunately) B-99 and Mindy I’m not including New Girl because that’s a given.

  • Kimberly

    The thing frustrating about TMP is that it’s consistently better/funnier/more insightful than NG, but I would say it’s not as quirky and Mindy/Danny isn’t as pretty as Nick/Jess, though I personally find the potential relationship of Danny/Mindy more realistic and deeper than that of New Girl’s pairing. But I’m also not a Nielsen viewer, so my opinions don’t matter.

  • D Pats

    The real problem with Mindy is that there are literally SCENES between laughs sometimes. They force the male nurse down our throats, and while the writing is clever, it’s not nearly as clever as it clearly thinks it is. That said, it still has to get the nod over Dads, right? Mindy may be a story of wasted potential, but at least there was potential. With New Girl still raking in $$ and Sleepy Hollow bound to get a raise, maybe Fox can stil with it another year.

  • TVDude

    I’m not going to say Dads will be renewed, but I could see a scenerio taking place where if Dads does grow, it could be renewed while The Mindy Project gets canceled. A 1.4 is not great, but Raising Hope would probably pull the same number. My guess is that it will still end up getting canceled, but a full season does give it a chance to change that.

    Looking at Brooklyn 9-9′s recent performance plus the fact that it’s getting a post-Super Bowl slot, makes me think it has a decent chance of returning next season. Or, at least, a much higher chance than TMP or Dads.

  • Matthew Thomas

    I think both The Mindy Project and Dads will be cancelled by the end of this season. Although I hope Mindy survives since I enjoy the show. I wonder if TMP’s ratings consistency (even if it is at a low level) will help the show later on. It’s a bit like Parks, even if the ratings are poor, it usually manages the same level week after week.

  • ludotv

    I will miss Chris Messina – if The Mindy Project does get cancelled, someone give this guy a show… He is fantastic

  • Bitter Go On Fan (Former Bitter Ringer Fan)

    I can only hope for a miracle, we need more viewers lol

  • Jules

    Move Mindy to fridays but keep it alive Fox. It’s your funnier show. Mindy will get a season 3!!!!!!

  • David

    The Mindy Project skews younger than Dads I’m presuming? At this point, I see New Girl and Brooklyn Nine-Nine getting renewed, Dads getting cancelled and The Mindy Project really depending on how things shape up in Fox’s comedy development next season. Perhaps a 2 show deal with Universal for Brooklyn and Mindy?

  • Scandalicious

    I like The Mindy Project, I really do. I just happen to like Brooklyn Nine-Nine better and in the case of only one of the three lower rated sitcoms getting renewed I hope it is B99. I would love both B99 and Mindy to stick around but unless one of them grows a lot I don’t think Fox will want both. Maybe the Superbowl will help expose B99 and it will take off. After that maybe they could justify renewing the lower rated Mindy Project as well.

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