NBC: 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-jumping

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.74
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :| :| :| 0.88
Revolution :| :| :| 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Dracula (F) :) :) :) :) 1.06
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.91

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Dracula premiered well on Friday. Its 1.8 rating both tied Grimm and was well above every other NBC scripted show that didn't follow The Voice. Because of that, it's likely to be renewed.

Early predictions have a habit of changing quickly. Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Homer99

    I thought that Dracula is a ten-part miniseries?

  • Russ

    @Homer99 It’s a limited run series. That doesn’t mean it can’t be renewed, it just means it isn’t a full 22 episode season.

  • Carmen

    Dracula was announced as a 10 episode mini series, but pay no attention to that.
    If it performs well, NBC will have a plan in place to keep it going for (next season). That can simply adjust the finale as required.

  • Mitchell

    Yep. Networks aren’t known for letting go of a good thing. They’ll milk the ratings cow until it’s dry as a bone. If Dracula holds up, they’ll figure out some way to keep it going. A show that does above average ratings on a Friday (pending future drops) isn’t something you only let run for one season.

  • jonay

    This year reminds me of 2011-12 season when networks tried period dramas! this year they are trying limited series!

  • Wright

    As long as Grimm, Revolution and Dracula get renewed I will be happy.

  • Patrick Ausgewahlt

    Dracula is an international coproduction (like Hannibal), so it’s super cheap for NBC to make. It airing on Friday and being international makes me think that NBC would renew it with a 1.3 average, which gives it a lot of cushion to fall.

  • jonay

    Will Sean Saves The World be picked up for more episodes?

  • PurpleDrazi

    Dracula was announced as a 10 episode mini series, but pay no attention to that.

    It was announced as a limited series NOT a miniseries. There is a difference.

    Also, I don’t understand why people are getting upset by this. It’s not like there is a rulebook that states “Networks shall not change original plans ever!” Sheesh. If something seems to be working you stick with it. That’s like rule #1 in How to run a business.

  • CBSviewer

    TF1 Renewed Crossing Lines for a second season of 12 episodes. Does someone know if NBC will air it next summer ?

  • Scandalicious

    I am loving the limited series trend on the networks this year! It has been about a 50/50 success rate but NBC seems to have been on the fortunate side with Dracula. It is actually a really solid show in my opinion. Sean needs to be canceled, but other wise I think if NBC did some schedule shuffling I think that would be doing alright. Hopefully they push Revolution back to air at either 9 or 10 some night to save it. Grimm is doing great and Parenthood is doing as well as can be expected with such a weak comedy block airing before it.

  • HeadlessHorseman (formerly JacobYates)

    @Bill
    You need to publish an article about how LIMITED series are not the same as MINI series.

  • Rebecca

    Dracula’s fate could change, in time. It’s very early. The only other shows I watch here now are Parks and Grimm…so hoping they fare well by the end of the season.

  • Potato

    The limited run/event series terminology is insanely confusing. That said, I think Dracula would’ve gotten renewed almost no matter what (unless it pulled CW ratings or something) because it’s made the same way (international co-production) as hannibal.

  • Percysowner

    Mini-series vs limited run series. There is no reason that even billed mini-series can’t expand to a series. In the early days of mini-series Rich Man, Poor Man was based on a book, followed the book including the ending where one of the main characters dies. When it became a hit suddenly there was a Rich Man, Poor Man 2. That mini-series did not do as well in the ratings, but if it had, I’m sure there would have been RM,PM series for many years on out. The network may not have called it a series, but put enough mini-series together and you get what amounts to a series. Basically the term mini-series, limited run series, etc. doesn’t mean that it won’t turn into a series series.

  • k:Alex

    By the end of November this will get interesting.
    I don’t think NBC will cancel anything in the couple of weeks, the only hope I have is to change the slot of Revolution, too a 10pm slot.

  • EatMorePez

    “Limited Run” series is a term networks use to cover their butts. If it gets poor ratings, they have a built in excuse for the cancellation: “It was just a limited run series! It was never supposed to go two seasons.” See: Political Animals, Hostages. If it gets good ratings they can still renew it because all of the actors are under contract. See: Under the Dome

  • Alex J

    I am wondering why everyone is freaking out about the limited series tag. We already have 3 limited series that have been renewed for second series (Hannibal, Under the Dome, and Sleepy Hollow).

  • THE OLD MAN

    Well this was an easy post! Nothing to ponder here.

  • Bear1000

    Let’s wait a little bit before we start predicting whether a show will make based on one episode’s ratings.

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