NBC: 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-jumping

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.74
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :| :| :| 0.88
Revolution :| :| :| 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Dracula (F) :) :) :) :) 1.06
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.91

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Dracula premiered well on Friday. Its 1.8 rating both tied Grimm and was well above every other NBC scripted show that didn't follow The Voice. Because of that, it's likely to be renewed.

Early predictions have a habit of changing quickly. Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • James

    NBC really wants SSTW and MJF to succeed. I’m waiting for the Thursday edition of The Voice on Nov 7 and see how it’ll lift up their ratings. But a bigger question is whether the comedies can retain the audience after the huge boost from the Voice. I’m not optimistic about it, as we all know about Go On and The New Normal from last season.

  • Ultima

    @Alex J
    We already have 3 limited series that have been renewed for second series (Hannibal, Under the Dome, and Sleepy Hollow).

    Don’t forget The Following.

  • a p garcia

    Dracula is just too good to have it end after 10 episodes.

  • Carmen

    @ Alex

    I am wondering why everyone is freaking out about the limited series tag.

    I don’t think anyone is particularly “freaking out’ over the limited series tag.
    I just think people are – correctly – pointing out that it gives networks a face saving means of shrugging off their latest lack of programming judgement.

  • TVDude

    I agree with everything on the chart. Dracula is in great shape for now. As long as it doesn’t collapse, I can see it coming back so that NBC can focus on Wednesday and Thursday.

  • wmjindsm

    Sean Saves the World did get four additional scripts ordered.

  • ludotv

    Stating the obvious, Dracula could drop a lot in the coming weeks so inferring from the premiere is rather risky as the post says…

    On more interesting news, NBC has its first actual success with The Blacklist – it must have been years since the last one… And while it has only been 4 or 5 eps, the show looks good, the series arc is pretty interesting and mysterious and the “evildoer of the week” continues to deliver fun moments

  • david d

    @ Carmen “I just think people are – correctly – pointing out that it gives networks a face saving means of shrugging off their latest lack of programming judgement.”

    I disagree. The point of calling something a limited series is to indicate the intention is to produce a limited # of episodes, typically 13. Meaning don’t expect a back 9 pickup even if this is successful because this was never intended to be a full 22 episode show.

    The saving face idea would suggest a show like Ironside would be called a limited series to save face if it bombs, like it did, but no this was not “Limited” as it was intended to have 22-24 episodes this year if successful

  • Chris_SAdvisor

    A premier that does not adjust up means that it will trend downwards over the next few episodes. Given that, I find the prediction of Renewal to be not only premature, but quite possibly inaccurate. I think it much more likely that it will serve out it’s 10 and that is it.

  • HeadlessHorseman (formerly JacobYates)

    @wmjindsm
    Then they must hate their midseason comedies.

  • PurpleDrazi

    I don’t think the “Limited Series” tag is a face saving measure. Cable has been running shortened seasons for years to great effect and I think Networks are finally starting to realize it could work for them too.

  • candies

    The predixtions are too easy now. Either a new shoe gets 100% renewed or 0%

  • Bitter Go On Fan (Former Bitter Ringer Fan)

    People need to understand that LIMITED SERIES is not the same as a MINISERIES. You are looking at them as equal and that’s wrong.

    A limited series is like any other show (renewable) with the exception that will not have a full 22-episode order despite huge ratings.

    A miniseries will only go for 1 season even if it has good ratings.

    As for as i know Dracula was never announced as a miniseries but a limited series.

  • Chris_SAdvisor

    ludotv – The Blacklist is trending down though, as the fact that it is mostly just another procedural, is being driven home with each successive episode. The first episode had a much better mix of procedural and serial elements, but the latter have been more of an afterthought to each week’s story since then. It will be renewed, but it is not going to remain NBC’s darling unless they start working on the plot mix per episode (not dumping cliffhangers that are primarily serial to ‘average it out’).

  • queeneeuq

    If Dracula gets renewed then does that mean Hannnibal gets cancelled?

  • Ultima

    @Chris Sadvisor
    A premier that does not adjust up means that it will trend downwards over the next few episodes.

    Where do people come up with this nonsense? :roll:

  • Ultima

    @Bitter Go On Fan
    A miniseries will only go for 1 season even if it has good ratings.

    Except for when that doesn’t happen, like with American Horror Story or The Bible.

    was never announced as a miniseries but a limited series

    The definitions are fairly arbitrary at this point. For example, I prefer to call anything that airs on a regular weekly basis a limited series and anything that airs in a short period of time with extended length episodes a mini-series.

    Also, since there’s no “limited series” Emmy category, there’s a lot of different formats that get thrown into the “mini-series or movie” category and are subsequently referred to as mini-series.

    As for not announcing things, just look at a really old example: V. It was originally a four-hour “mini-series” (or extended movie) that served as a pilot. It didn’t get picked up, but had a sequel “V: The Final Battle” which was an actually mini-series (six hours, three nights). After its success, they decided to green-light it as a regular series.

  • HeadlessHorseman (formerly JacobYates)

    @Ultima
    I don’t think that the Bible was renewed. Are you referring to the movie being made?

  • Marius Telemacher

    I’m thinking Revolution won’t make the cut. NBC airs repeats on Wednesday except for Revolution due to the Baseball ‘hiatus’; they’re not willing to risk SVU or Dateline’s ratings on ‘tuned out’ viewers, but want to see if Revolution will carry the night. It’s pretty simple to guess that it won’t.

    And if NBC is willing to play ratings chicken against NCIS and X-Factor, they’ll do it again and again until it’s obvious that Revolution is cancelled, or at the best “Friday Burn-Off” material when Grimm/Drac is in hiatus.

  • Marius Telemacher

    And I’m in agreement on “Limited Series” being utter bull. Mini-Series (what they used to be called) had a definite beginning, middle and end. Limited Series don’t end until they’re cancelled, but aren’t called a full series unless they’re renewed.

    If networks are going to call something a limited series, it needs to differ from a regular series in some significant way… like ratings having little to nothing to do with cancellation (Zero guarantees: if the suits don’t like it, it gets the Firefly treatment. Nothing is safe, nothing means you have a job next year.) Of course, good luck getting stars to commit to another season with that headache (remember Up All Night?)

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