NBC: 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-jumping

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.74
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :| :| :| 0.88
Revolution :| :| :| 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Dracula (F) :) :) :) :) 1.06
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.91

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Dracula premiered well on Friday. Its 1.8 rating both tied Grimm and was well above every other NBC scripted show that didn't follow The Voice. Because of that, it's likely to be renewed.

Early predictions have a habit of changing quickly. Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Ultima

    @Chris_SAdvisor
    Since all shows drop from their premier

    Many? Yes. All? No.

    Add that to the fact that no one thought it compelling enough to PVR to any meaningful degree (aka no adjustment up)

    I don’t think you understand what an adjustment is. The preliminary ratings already include Same Day DVR viewership.

  • HeadlessHorseman (formerly JacobYates)

    @Chris_SAdvisor
    Shows in recent years that have not dropped from their premieres.

    1. The Following: 3.2, 3.3
    2. Hannibal: 1.6, 1.7
    3. Terra Nova: 3.1, 3.1

    I’m sure there’s more but you get the picture.

  • Rebooted

    @ HeadlessHorseman

    I believe Scandal went up a tenth.

    NBC next season:::

    Monday
    The Voice
    new drama

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    The Blacklist
    Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    Parks and Rec.
    New comedy
    SVU
    new drama or Chicago PD if renewed

    Thursday
    Biggest Loser
    About A Boy
    MJF or new comedy
    parenthood (final 10)

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Dracula/Revolution

  • Cynthia Derchak

    Dracula with JRM must be renewed. You are lucky to get such an amazing actor on NBC plus the great plot and cast. I read the book and this show should go on as long as possible. He is a gorgeous hunk with so much class. There is no other show of this quality on USA tv.

  • Nick

    I believe “limited series run” programming is closely like a cable programming adapted by broadcast networks because probably nets envy the success of cable shows.
    I think “limited series” are mostly serialized shows with no more than 16 episodes per season probably due to allocation of the budget/international syndication and production deal etc or sometimes execs and producers of show agreed on this limited run because of the nature of the show’s storyline. But for the longest time, I’m beginning to suspect that network executives are abusing this limited series label so they can save their butts if the show failed (I picture Nina Tassler and Les Moonves on next year upfront trying to convince the press and advertisers Hostages is a one-season only series)

  • HeadlessHorseman (formerly JacobYates)

    @Rebooted
    You’re right.

    4. Scandal: 2.0, 2.0

  • Justin121

    Successful limited series:

    The Following (midseason)
    Under the Dome (summer)
    Sleepy Hollow*

    Failed limited series:

    The River
    Missing (was labeled “mini” but ended on cliffhanger)
    Hostages (who’s to say wouldn’t have been picked up for s2 a la Hollow?)
    Betrayal (actually would’ve pdobably been upped to “regular” 22 eps this season)

    Hannibal (rumored 3 season-run, special production condition, aired off season , renewed despite horrid 0.x ratings)

    Make of that what you will…

    * unique because it’s Fall (unlike Follwing, Lost, 24) and successful (unlike Betrayal, Hostages, and the others).

  • Dahne

    Sadly I liked Welcome to teh Family better than anything that does not have green smileys. I also think Dracula will drop rapidly now that people have checked it out. It got very mixed reviews and there’s the fall off between half hours.

  • Jake

    So if networks renew most things in with a .90 on the index or higher than I’m holding out hope for another season of Revolution (.91). Unfortunately Parenthood is below that (.81) but for NBC’s Thursday night death slot at 10/9c it I doing well is still hope. My only concern is that it is expensive.

  • Malcy

    Dracula is a co-production with Sky TV here in the UK. We get it this week. Given its international funding will never run more than 13 or so episodes a year which is our maximum for drama excluding soaps. Another example being Strike Back also a Sky TV show which they brought it Cinemax to co-finance from series 2.
    Will need to see what the UK and other European ratings are to see if this continues. So similar to Hannibal.

  • C Whitty

    The Dracula promo on Sky looks terrible, also I dont like the main guy in it! I have heard the first episode is really bad..I think ratings are going to drop rather than grow – what does it need to do to be renewed? 1.2-1.4?

  • Hyung

    Limited series should be the way to go, as it has proven very successful on cable. The full season of 22 episodes has run its course, as it usually means, a lot of filler.

    As the old saying goes, more is less.

  • Dave. S

    My issue with the whole premise of the network television ‘limited run’ is this. The limited run concept leads us to believe there will be a complete storyline. A beginning, middle, and hopefully a satisfying conclusion of some sort.

    However, as soon as the ratings do well, the network doesn’t want their show to end, so they start tinkering with the storyline. Now instead of a complete story you have odd twists and turns, continuity errors, bad writing, and the show you liked for a few episodes is no longer what it once was.

  • reedmac

    NBC have so many mid season shows where the hell are they going to put them all?

  • Rebooted

    @reedmac

    I was thinking the same thing!!!

    · ABOUT A BOY
    · AMERICAN DREAM BUILDERS
    · BELIEVE
    · CHICAGO PD
    · CRISIS
    · CROSSBONES
    · FOOD FIGHTERS
    · GROWING UP FISHER
    · NIGHT SHIFT, THE
    · UNDATEABLE
    · WALL OF FAME
    · COMMUNITY
    · HANNIBAL
    · HOLLYWOOD GAME NIGHT
    · SING-OFF, THE
    · Another season of the voice

    Some of these will be helf for summer, though.

  • Eve

    @Rebooted, @reedmac

    Chicago PD will be on Wednesday 10/9c on January. The Sing-Off is on Mondays when The Voice (fall) ends. Crossbones will take Dracula spot when it ends. Crisis and Believe on Sundays when SNF is off. Growing Up Fisher and Undateable (or About a boy, i dont remember) on Tuesdays 9/8c after The Voice (spring).

    There’s a lot of realities that would work if something tanks on Sundays. Also The Night Shift and Hannibal would replace any 10pm drama. While I would rather a Fantasy Friday with Revolution/Grimm/Crossbones-Hannibal for midseason.

    And Hollywood Game Night is confirmed as a summer show. it did very well last summer.

  • Eve

    Sorry for my english.

  • Chris J

    @Dante

    I like your schedule, but here are some tweaks I would make:

    The Best Fantasy Fall 2014 Schedule
    (Plus Possible Ratings)

    Mondays:
    8pm- The Voice = 4.5
    10pm- New Drama = 3.0 (hopefully they can find another hit for this slot)

    Tuesdays:
    8pm- New Comedy = 2.0 (strong comedies will likely do as well or better than Biggest Loser)
    8:30pm-New Comedy = 2.0
    9pm- The Voice Results = 4.0 (same)
    10pm- The Blacklist = 2.8 (will likely remain stronger than Chicago Fire)

    Wednesdays:
    8pm- Chicago Fire = 1.7 (solid improvement over Revolution)
    9pm- The Space Race Reality Competition Series = 2.5 (This may draw some of Survivors viewers & improve the hour)
    10pm- Chicago PD = 1.7 (If renewed this will probably do well with a stronger lead-in)

    Thursdays:
    8pm- The Biggest Loser = 1.8 (not much but an improvement)
    9pm- New Comedy = 1.7 (this hour may do better if CBS backs off from their 2hr comedy bloc)
    9:30- New Comedy = 1.6
    10pm- Law and Order: SVU = 1.5

    Fridays:
    8pm- Dateline = 1.4
    9pm- Grimm = 1.8
    10pm- Dracula / Crossbones / Hannibal = 1.3

  • Chris J

    @Chris J

    I forgot about Parks and Community in my schedule.

    Mondays:
    8pm- The Voice = 4.5
    10pm- New Drama = 3.0 (hopefully they can find another hit for this slot)

    Tuesdays:
    8pm- New Family Comedy = 2.0 (strong comedies will likely do as well or better than Biggest Loser)
    8:30pm-New Family Comedy = 2.0
    9pm- The Voice Results = 4.0 (same)
    10pm- The Blacklist = 2.8 (will likely remain stronger than Chicago Fire)

    Wednesdays:
    8pm- Chicago Fire = 1.7 (solid improvement over Revolution)
    9pm- The Space Race Reality Competition Series = 2.5 (This may draw some of Survivors viewers & improve the hour)
    10pm- Chicago PD = 1.7 (If renewed this will probably do well with a stronger lead-in)

    Thursdays:
    8pm- The Biggest Loser = 1.8 (not much but an improvement)
    9pm- New Adult Comedy = 1.7 (this hour may do better if CBS backs off from their 2hr comedy bloc)
    9:30- Parks and Recreation (final) / Community (final) = 1.6
    10pm- Law and Order: SVU = 1.5

    Fridays:
    8pm- Dateline = 1.4
    9pm- Grimm = 1.8
    10pm- Dracula / Crossbones / Hannibal = 1.3

    With this schedule NBC would debut 3 new comedies, 1 new drama and 1 new reality show in the fall. That would be less shows than NBC had to promote this time around. Hopefully next year 100% of their focus will go into establishing their new comedies. Also hopefully next year NBC will choose comedies based on merit not based on the actors involved.

  • CBSviewer

    My 2014-2015 Schedule:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – The Biggest Loser
    9:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – Chicago Fire (24 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – About a Boy (22 episodes)
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – The Blacklist (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Law & Order: SVU (24 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – Parks & Recreation (13 episodes; Final Season) / Community (13 episodes)
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – NEW COMEDY
    9:30 – The Michael J. Fox Show (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Parenthood (16 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Dateline
    9:00 – Grimm (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Dracula (13 episodes) / NEW DRAMA

    Midseason:
    Hannibal (13 episodes)

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