NBC: 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 29th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-jumping

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.74
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :| :| :| 0.88
Revolution :| :| :| 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Dracula (F) :) :) :) :) 1.06
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.91

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Dracula premiered well on Friday. Its 1.8 rating both tied Grimm and was well above every other NBC scripted show that didn't follow The Voice. Because of that, it's likely to be renewed.

Early predictions have a habit of changing quickly. Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Matt

    I think Dracula will drop to a 1.5 and around 5 million viewers next week. It will then fall to a low of around a 1.3 and will finally settle in the 1.4-1.6 range, well enough to get it renewed for a Friday. MJF will most likely be cancelled by the end of the season, unless it surges in the coming weeks. Parenthood will be renewed for a shortened, final sixth season for about 13-15 episodes.

  • Matt

    Oh, and, In my opinion, NBC cant waste another another hit show (The Blacklist) by moving it to a new night, especially Wednesday. NBC should stay safe and keep it on Mondays.

    2014-2015 NBC Schedule

    MONDAY
    8:00- The Voice
    10:00- The Blacklist

    TUESDAY
    8:00- The Biggest Loser
    9:00- The Voice
    10:00- Chicago Fire

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00- About A Boy (New Comedy?)
    8:30- NEW COMEDY
    9:00- Law and Order: SVU
    10:00- The Night Shift / NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAY
    8:00- Parks and Rec (13 episode FINAL season) / NEW COMEDY
    8:30- Community (13 episode season) / NEW COMEDY
    9:00- MJF (if not cancelled)
    9:30- NEW COMEDY
    10:00- Parenthood (15 episode FINAL season) / NEW DRAMA

    FRIDAY
    8:00- Dateline
    9:00- Grimm
    10:00- Dracula (10 episode season) / Crossbones (10 episode season)
    9:30-

  • Donnie

    Americans should focus on contemporary or future stuff. They always make funny/lame films or shows.

  • Ultima

    @Chris_SAdvisor
    Add that to the fact that no one thought it compelling enough to PVR to any meaningful degree

    Dracula saw a 56% increase in Adults 18-49 from Live+SD to Live+3. So much for your “fact.”

  • Mare

    Is “The Blacklist” NBC’s top non-reality show now?

  • Chris J

    @Matt
    @CBSViewer

    Why would NBC keep a 2 hour comedy bloc on Thursday when it keeps failing?

  • Oliver

    Next season’s NBC schedule:
    Monday: The Voice/Hollywood Game Night
    Tuesday: The Voice/NEW REALITY
    Wednesday: The Biggest Loser/NEW REALITY
    Thursday: The Voice Kids/The Apprentice
    Friday: The Voice (repeat)/Dateline (2 hours)

  • Josh

    I love how SSTW is ‘CERTAIN’ to be cancelled and TMJFS is a ‘toss-up’ for renewal when they get pretty much the same ratings every week.

  • HAPPY!

    What should happen post Super Bowl

    Monday
    8-The Voice
    10-The Blacklist

    Tuesday
    8-The Voice
    9-About a Boy
    9:30-Growing up Fisher
    10-Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    8-Law and Order: SVU
    9-Chicago PD
    10-Revolution

    Thursday
    8-The Voice (Recap/highlights)
    8:30-Community
    9-Parks and Rec.
    9:30-The Michael J. Fox Show
    10-Parenthood

    Friday
    8-Grimm
    9-Crossbones
    10-Dateline NBC

    Sunday
    7-American Dream Builders
    8-The Night Shift
    9-Believe
    10-Crisis

  • JOE

    Dracula will not make it…I see a massive drop this week
    SSTW will be canceled
    P&R & Community will be canceled as well

    MJF will make it but will move to a new night of comedy maybe Weds
    Parenthood will have one last season

    The rest of the shows are iffy as they have not debuted.

  • Tim

    Apparently they chose well to put both Grimm and Dracula on the same day, because they have almost no drop off in their key demographic.

  • Chris J

    @Oliver

    Yes an all reality schedule would probably give NBC higher ratings than they have now.

    After the announcement NBC is picking up that Tina Fey pilot here are some adjustments to my schedule from earlier:

    Mondays:
    8pm- The Voice = 4.5
    10pm- NEW DRAMA

    Tuesdays:
    8pm- NEW FAMILY COMEDY
    8:30pm- NEW FAMILY COMEDY
    9pm- The Voice Results
    10pm- The Blacklist

    Wednesdays:
    8pm- Chicago Fire
    9pm- NEW SPACE RACE REALITY COMPETITION
    10pm- Chicago PD

    Thursdays:
    8pm- The Biggest Loser
    9pm- NEW TINA FEY COMEDY
    9:30- Parks and Recreation (final) / Community (final)
    10pm- Law and Order: SVU

    Fridays:
    8pm- Dateline
    9pm- Grimm
    10pm- Dracula / Crossbones / Hannibal

  • andy

    I’d keep Blacklist behind The Voice for another season. They can’t afford for another show to leave The Voice and just die. That night works… just let it be stable for another season, a la DWTS and Castle.

  • John A

    Dracula started with 476,000 on Sky Living in UK. Not sure if thats a good number for Sky Living.

  • Oliver

    @John A
    I’d regard it as a good-but-not-great number for Living.

  • CBSviewer

    @ Chris J

    Why would NBC keep a 2 hour comedy bloc on Thursday when it keeps failing?

    The real question is: Why would NBC give up on their 2-hour Comedy block on Thursday ?
    Of course NBC comedies are low rated but I think they should try new ones on Wednesday at 8 or Tuesday at 9 (which are much better slot).

  • Chris J

    @CBSViewer

    [i]Why would NBC give up on their 2-hour Comedy block on Thursday?[/i]

    Because they can’t even crack a 1.3!

    NBC should continue to air comedies on Thursday, but they should reprogram the 8-9pm hour to cheaper higher rated reality programming such as the Biggest Loser.

    At this point there is no winning comedy solution for NBC in that hour with the Big Bang Theory consistently getting 5.0s.

    The 9-10pm hour Thursday night has far weaker “comedy” competition from CBS though, and could once again be a successful comedy hour for NBC with the right shows.

    That’s why I think NBC should go to a 1hr comedy block Thursday from 9-10pm

    [i]Of course NBC comedies are low rated but I think they should try new ones on Wednesday at 8 or Tuesday at 9 (which are much better slot).[/i]

    The Wednesday 8pm hour never worked for NBC.

    Also Revolution is doing far better there now than comedies did last year. So in essence NBC will probably stick to dramas Wednesday at 8pm since it’s working better for them so far this season.

    The Tuesday 9pm hour is currently too crowded with comedies. Both Fox and ABC have comedy blocks there, and last year when NBC aired Go On and New Normal in that slot all 3 networks comedies slaughtered each other.

    The best option for NBC would be Tuesday 8pm. There is currently no solid competition there (both Dads and Brooklyn 99 are in cancelation territory), so NBC can establish a new comedy hour there right before the Voice next season.

    That right there would be NBC’s best option at another comedy relaunch next fall.

  • Cle

    I think this would be best for NBC midseason

    Mon
    The Voice
    Blacklist

    Tue
    The Voice
    Crisis
    Chicago Fire

    Wed
    Undateable
    About a Boy
    Law & Order
    Chicago PD

    Thu
    American Dream Builder
    Parks and recreation
    TMJFshow
    Parenthood

    Fri
    Grwoing up fisher
    New comedy
    Grimm
    Hannibal

    Sun
    Believe
    Revolution
    The nightshift

  • Rebooted

    Fall 2014

    Monday
    The Voice
    NEW DRAMA

    The Voice has reigned monday nights and has been solid at launching new dramas.

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    Blacklist (22)
    Chicago Fire (22)

    Keep Blacklist behind the voice, just on a new night. CF stays put.

    Wednesday
    Parks (13)
    Tina Fey comedy (13)
    SVU (22)
    Chicago PD (22) or new drama

    Parks moves to wednesday where it wont have to compete against the big bang theory followed by the tina fey comedy. SVU stays put. if chicago PD works it stays put, and if it dosent than a new drama for Wednesday at 10.

    Thursday
    Biggest Loser
    About A Boy (22)
    New comedy (22)
    Parenthood (final 10)

    NBC Thursday Comedy block is over and so Biggest Loser leads off the night followed by About A Boy and a new comedy. Parenthood gets a final 10 episodes to get to 100.

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm (22)
    Revolution (13)

    Dateline and Grimm stay put. Revolution gets a shortened season.

  • Rebooted

    NBC midseason:::

    Sunday
    7-Dateline
    8-Celebrity Apprentice
    9-Believe
    10-Revolution

    Monday
    8-The Voice
    10-Blacklist

    Tuesday
    8-The Voice
    9-About A Boy
    9:30-Growing Up Fisher
    10-Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    8-American Dream Builders
    9-SVU
    10-Chicago PD

    Thursday
    8-Night Shift (before Greys Anatomy)
    9-Crisis
    10-Parenthood

    Friday
    8-Parks
    8:30-Community
    9-Grimm
    10-Crossbones

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