ABC: 'Super Fun Night' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.49
Betrayal :oops: 0.50
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.64
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :oops: 0.64
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.72
Nashville :| :| :| 0.81
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Back In The Game canceled, will air remaining episodes 0.90
The Goldbergs :| :| :| 0.98
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Super Fun Night :oops: 1.12
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.53
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.58
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.96

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Late Friday, while the Cancellation Bear was sleeping, ABC made a few moves with its rookie sitcoms.

While all the bear's predictions are made for moves by season end, it was a bit surprising that Trophy Wife received a full season order since it's currently the lowest rated of ABC's rookie sitcoms. Nevertheless, the bear's prediction that Trophy Wife is certain to be canceled by the end of the season remains the same.

The fact that Super Fun Night wasn't given a full season, just an order for four more schedule spackling episodes, marks it as certain to be canceled at season's end. Don't expect any more news about it from ABC until it's not on the 2014-15 schedule revealed in May. As always, mum's the word for to be canceled shows.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Davide De Rea

    Maybe the R/C index should weight averages towards more recent episodes? That way, quickly-falling shows won’t be so high on the index. A show that debuts at 4.0 and ends at 2.0 is in a much worse position than a show that debuts at 3.2 and ends at 2.8

    Also, I haven’t followed this season’s ratings so I don’t know how Super Fun Night’s recent ratings compare to other comedies’ recent ratings (again presenting a reason to use weighted averages in the chart), but it probably has low retention since it airs after the network’s biggest show Modern Family.

  • Ted Craig

    @Val

    They have Mixology. And the only reason ABC rushed The Neighbors last year was plans for an extra hour of comedy on Tuesday fell apart and they wanted to air HTLWYP. SFN is done.

  • AP076

    How popular is Once Upon a Time?
    It performs well for on its Sunday night but its best days are behind it.
    The viewers who currently and once watched it have shown no interest at all in Wonderland.
    Are you privy to some super secret information as to a secret pool of millions of people watching the original Once and not being recorded.

    Wonderland is 100% certainly dead with no chance of improving. To think otherwise is idiotic and delusional.

  • freakinalex

    At this point, I have no doubts that Super Fun Night is dead. However, the fact that ABC ordered a few more episodes rather than letting it fizzle out like Back in the Game makes me think they haven’t given up on it entirely. Granted, it’s not likely, but if by some miracle its ratings shot back up, I could see them renewing it for midseason or something.

    As for Trophy Wife, ABC seems to want it to survive for some reason, despite ratings. But I can really only see them renewing it if they renew The Goldbergs first, and only then if they move the two to another night. But I’m still not convinced that The Goldbergs will get a second season, though I hope it does, since it’s the only new show across all networks this season that I actually like.

    Alternately, I can see them renewing The Goldbergs and putting it on Fridays with Last Man Standing next year if the show is still on the fence in May. They’re gonna need something to put in that slot when they cancel The Neighbors. But that’s a very big assumption on my part.

  • milo

    I don’t get how people see some sort of rivalry between Revenge and Nashville. Neither has particularly good ratings. The big difference between the two is that Revenge is in season three and a fourth season gets it to syndication. So unless Revenge drops to absolutely horrible ratings, it should get renewed. Nashville is an uphill battle since it doesn’t have syndication in its favor.

  • Ultima

    @Val
    ABC doesn’t have enough news shows for midseason to remove Tuesday’s comedies

    Sure they do. They could always buy another nine hours of DWTS and bring the results show back; that would certainly be cheaper than buying nine hours of sitcoms.

    Also, that argument actually works against Super Fun Night, rather than for it.

    Last year, they had a lack of space for their sitcoms due to dropping both the planned expansion on Tuesday as well as the original hour. Subsequently, they had to run through Suburgatory and The Neighbors in order to premiere their original winter Tuesday comedies during the season.

    This year, they have plenty of schedule space. If they wanted to air 22 episodes of Super Fun Night, they would have no problem doing so.

    They decided that they wanted two full season freshman comedies, with the remaining two airing until the first week of January and the first week of March.

    Out of the four comedies, The Goldbergs and Trophy Wife were the two they wanted on the air for a full season. They chose them over Super Fun Night, that’s a lack of confidence in the show and disappointment with its ratings.

    I don’t see the extra episode order any different than those for Pan Am, A Gifted Man, etc. Also, in the bubble watch, people were trying to find examples of freshman shows that got an additional short order, finished their season before spring and were then renewed. In the past decade, there are no shows that fit that criteria.

  • Michael1

    The cancellation of “Super Fun Night” leads me to believe that someone at ABC lost a bet. I think someone, possibly SFN executive producer Conan O’Brien, bet them that if they gave their 9:30 Wednesday time slot to a show that CBS passed on last season, that it would be their second highest rated comedy. Then, when that prediction came true, they were so bitter that they had to retaliate. That’s the only way the decision makes any sense.

  • Ultima

    @Michael1
    bet them that if they gave their 9:30 Wednesday time slot to a show that CBS passed on last season, that it would be their second highest rated comedy. Then, when that prediction came true

    Except that it didn’t. Super Fun Night is doing worse than both The Middle and Modern Family.

    Super Fun Night – 3.2, 2.5, 2.1, 2.1, 1.7

    The Middle – 2.5, 2.3, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2

  • JJF

    I think wherever the pity renewal for ABC comedies airs will depend on how much they like their new batch of comedy pilots. If they want to premiere 2 new comedies on Wednesday again, they’ll put it on Friday. If they only want to premiere one, they’ll probably move that show to Wednesdays. At this point, the only show with a likely chance of that pity renewal is The Goldbergs. I could see it paired with LMS or The Middle next season easily. (I don’t see them cancelling LMS. If they give it 22 or more eps this season, it’d be pretty close to syndication and is likely the only ABC comedy besides TM/MF with a shot at making it that far for several seasons. Given that and the show’s fairly decent performance by Friday standards, they’d be pretty foolish to throw in the towel on it now.) Considering this is the season that the sitcom tried and failed to make a comeback, I could see there being a backlash next season with a lot more conservative ordering or new comedies. (ie, no attempt at a Tuesday block on ABC)

    Regardless, while I may check out Resurrection and Mind Games, both look like good shows without a prayer of success on ABC. So SHIELD and The Goldbergs will probably be the only new shows from this season entering into next for ABC.

  • Michael1

    @Ultima

    “Super Fun Night is doing worse than both The Middle…”

    Super Fun Night – (3.2+2.5+2.1+2.1+1.7)/5 = (unweighted average of 2.32)

    The Middle – (2.5+2.3+2.2+2.2+2.2)/5 = (unweighted average of 2.28)

    It all depends on how you weight the more recent observations. I will give you that SFN is trending below TM, but its overall average is still higher.

  • Rebecca

    Still rooting for SFN but I’m not super attached to it. Opening theme song by Queen, YAY! Happy for Goldbergs and wish Neighbors was doing better (Trophy Wife too).

    @Dan S
    Don’t rely on the hope that ABC schedulers would see any comments here. Go to the ABC website and submit feedback about schedule ideas, especially the moving of certain Tuesday comedies to Wednesdays. I can’t be the only one doing that. The more they see from more people, the better.

    Had to laugh at One telling ABC to go away, lol.

  • Ultima

    @Michael1
    Super Fun Night – (3.2+2.5+2.1+2.1+1.7)/5 = (unweighted average of 2.32)
    The Middle – (2.5+2.3+2.2+2.2+2.2)/5 = (unweighted average of 2.28)

    First, that’s not how math works; you can’t just add significant figures.

    It all depends on how you weight the more recent observations.

    Averages and premiere ratings are mostly useless.

    The past three episodes of Super Fun Night all have lower ratings than the season low for The Middle, despite airing during a time period with higher HUT levels and having a much stronger lead-in.

    There’s no way to spin that, it’s doing worse than The Middle.

  • Rebooted

    Sunday
    AFHV
    OUAT
    Greys Anatomy
    new drama

    Monday
    DWTS
    Nashville

    Tuesday
    SHIELD
    new drama
    Castle

    Wednesday
    Middle
    Goldbergs
    Modern Family
    MF spin off
    new drama

    Thursday
    Revenge
    Scandal
    new drama

    Friday
    LMS
    Suburgatory
    Shark Tank
    20/20

  • KJ Styles

    I don’t understand what ABC is doing AT ALL.

    First they cancel Back In The Game, a show that was doing BETTER than both Trophy Wife and The Goldbergs (it’s been beating Goldbergs the last couple of weeks anyway). Then they give Goldbergs and TW full season orders despite TW being it’s lowest rated comedy by a MILE. Yet they don’t give a full season order to Super Fun Night, which TRUMPS the ratings for Goldbergs and Trophy Wife.

    Those decisions make absolutely NO SENSE, sounds like they were made based on favoritism rather than ratings. While SFN’s ratings post-Modern Family could be better. Trophy Wife’s are horrendous and Goldberg’s are middling at best. I don’t see either of those shows improving their numbers.

    Give full season orders to their low rated shows, and cancel your higher rated ones. Wow, what a concept. No wonder ABC is in last place. It’s well deserved too.

    Guess all I’m gonna have left to watch on this network is Modern Family and Scandal.

  • Renz

    HAHA! a lot of people think that Suburgatory will come back, LOL! it’s been ordered for 13 episodes with possible of 18 to 22, IF demos and fans return! Suburgatory has the same chance of returning as Super Fun Night does which is none! Mixology is only there because executives love Ryan Seacrest who co-created and executive produces the series. The Neighbors does not deserve to return because they showed proof that without “Malibu Country” their Friday night average is 6.3 Million viewers a week. Last year they had an average of well over 9 million viewers a week and had a 2.3 demo while with TN it’s demo is a 1.5! ABC should of paired Once Upon a Time in Wonderland with OUAT. Trophy Wife should of been after Modern Family not after The Goldbergs. ABC should consider DWTS to be a summer show considering The Voice on NBC is a monster! I NEVER would of cancelled Back in The Game I would of paired with LMS. ABC should really make descison that would be far more better than they are. They will NEVER EVER top CBS, but they try and do so poorly!

  • Renz

    HAHA! a lot of people think that Suburgatory will come back, LOL! it’s been ordered for 13 episodes with possible of 18 to 22, IF demos and fans return! Suburgatory has the same chance of returning as Super Fun Night does which is none! Mixology is only there because executives love Ryan Seacrest who co-created and executive produces the series. The Neighbors does not deserve to return because they showed proof that without “Malibu Country” Last Man Standing’s Friday night average is 6.3 Million viewers a week. Last year they had an average of well over 9 million viewers a week and had a 2.3 demo while with TN it’s demo is a 1.5! ABC should of paired Once Upon a Time in Wonderland with OUAT. Trophy Wife should of been after Modern Family not after The Goldbergs. ABC should consider DWTS to be a summer show considering The Voice on NBC is a monster! I NEVER would of cancelled Back in The Game I would of paired with LMS. ABC should really make descison that would be far more better than they are. They will NEVER EVER top CBS, but they try and do so poorly!

  • Refrain

    @Jonay

    All the OUATIW episodes will air on ABC as normal. At the very most it may be moved days to a lesser timeslot but for now it’s okay.

  • KJ Styles

    @Renz- “HAHA! a lot of people think that Suburgatory will come back, LOL! it’s been ordered for 13 episodes with possible of 18 to 22, IF demos and fans return! Suburgatory has the same chance of returning as Super Fun Night does which is none!”

    Why wouldn’t Suburgatory come back? Back In The Game is gone, and The Neighbors, Trophy Wife and Super Fun Night (sadly) will be gone. I’m not sold on The Goldbergs chances. So that only leaves Modern Family, The Millers, and probably Last Man Standing as certain renewals. If Suburgatory can repeat the ratings it did last year it will get a 4th season for sure. When Back In The Game airs it’s 13 episodes, Suburgatory will take it’s timeslot.

    I was not impressed by the Mixology trailers I saw but I will give it a chance. If it does worse than Super Fun Night though, then SFN still has a chance. It makes no sense to cancel a show that does better than ABC’s scripted average, yet renew shows like Goldbergs and Trophy Wife that are below it. I know that renewal isn’t a lock for them, but just sayin.

    If Goldbergs and Trophy Wife are renewed without a ratings resurgance, then ABC deserves to be in last place.

  • KJ Styles

    LOL I said The Millers in my last post when I meant The Middle. My bad.

  • Ted Craig

    @Renz

    Given the syndication situation with Suburgatory, it has a much better chance of coming back than SFN.

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