CW: Will More Than 'Beauty & The Beast' & 'The Carrie Diaries' Be Canceled From The Fall Line Up?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Beauty And The Beast :cry: :cry: 0.39
The Carrie Diaries (F) :cry: :cry: 0.39
Hart Of Dixie :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
Reign :| :| :| 0.86
The Tomorrow People :) :) :) :) 0.97
Arrow :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.19
The Originals :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
Supernatural :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.42
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Nikita final season

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The commenter whines piling up over the methods of our Bubble Watch are many, and varied. The Cancellation Bear's not one to argue with boldness, but he is a creature of habit, network habit.

Let's look at the dramas that aired during the Fall that the CW has canceled in recent seasons:

Given that history, the bear is reluctant to predict that more than two Fall airing dramas will be canceled by the CW. Given that their current ratings are so much lower than the rest of the line up, those two right now are clearly The Carrie Diaries and Beauty & The Beast. That could change. Stay tuned.

Might the CW cancel more shows that are on the air right now? Anything's possible, but the bear's unlikely to predict it.

With three seasons complete, the CW syndication gods will demand that Hart Of Dixie be renewed for a fourth season. Maybe it'll be a short one like Nikita's, or maybe not. The bear doesn't get into predicting episode orders.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Wellesley

    TBATB if not cancelled by midseason, I think will surely be moved to burn of its remaining episodes to Fridays. I wonder which show 100 or star crossed will get the TVD post slot and which will get the unfortunate fate of being paired with stable but low performing HOD.

  • Dan W

    Call me crazy but I still think TCD could eek out another 13 episode renewal especially if both Star Crossed and The 100 fail which I fully expect them to. Carrie is doing virtually the same in the ratings as it did last year, on a Friday no less, so who knows. Everyone was wrong last year, maybe they will be wrong again this year!

  • THE OLD MAN

    Mamie Gummer was so hot on Sunday’s episode of THE GOOD WIFE (where she belongs)

  • THE OLD MAN

    @ Dan W

    CRAZY

  • Wellesley

    [First let’s look at the CW’s development stage. No new Fall slated show is in production. Just 2 have passed the script stage: Flash, & Supernatural Oz. Yeah, that’s what I’m calling the spin-off. They are developing pilots & assuming the execs like what they see they are very likely to slot behind Arrow, & Vamp next Fall. That means People & Reign will move.]

    OR the Flash spin off could be a lead on its own night, The Flash is arguably more popular than Green Arrow, so they might be expecting The Flash show to even be more popular than Arrow and get better ratings or comparable. Just like The Originals was moved to be a lead & starter on its own night I think the CW will show the same confidence with the Flash spin off. If Arrow and TTP remain close in ratings throughout the season as there are right now, CW might just leave Amellsday as it is.

  • Melissa

    TCD, B&tB and HOD (unfortunately)should all be cancelled. TTP and Reign deserve a chance to grow. Repeats of both should be ran in the summer.

  • RayX

    @BBFan
    “First let’s look at the CW’s development stage. No new Fall slated show is in production. Just 2 have passed the script stage: Flash, & Supernatural Oz. Yeah, that’s what I’m calling the spin-off. They are developing pilots & assuming the execs like what they see they are very likely to slot behind Arrow, & Vamp next Fall.”

    I assume you live in real world right? We’re still in early November. Network have a lot of time to pick up new script of new shows, and a lot of time (i guess in Feb/14) before they decide what shows they want to developing the pilot.

  • Dave

    TO,TVD,SPN and ARROW are all safe.

    Dixie gets syndication renewal(full or short)

    1 of TTP/REIGN gets renewed(I’m betting/hoping REIGN)

    Top model placed in late summer/fall schedule again.

    That’s already 7 spots.

    Unless they hold Dixie for later, BATB and Carrie are certain to be cancelled. I dot even think The 100 or Star-Crossed performances will have anything to do with those two shows certain demise.

    The CW is in better shape than it was last year and the year before. Nikita and now Hart of Dixie should be the last two shows to ever be carried by The CW with such low ratings.

    They don’t need to start extending that type of generosity to BATB and TCD.

  • Logan

    Mid-season
    Mondays
    8/7c Hart of dixie
    9/8c Beauty and the beast
    Tuesdays
    8/7c The originals
    9/8c Supernatural
    Wednesdays
    8/7c Arrow
    9/8c The tomorrow people
    Thursdays
    8/7c The vampire diaries
    9/8c Star crossed
    Fridays
    8/7c The 100
    9/8c repeats
    The 100 could power decent ratings on it’s own on Friday unless if ttp viewers drop and gets back 9 they can put the 100 next to arrow no Midseason show should be paired with hart of Dixie that’s crap.

  • Brandy

    @BBFan No Reign is not more Likley to be cancelled than BaTB.BatB& CD are the lowest rate cw shows and therefore most Likley to be cancelled just looking at ratings only.Also, Arrow,CD,BatB were the most promoted new shows last season, Cult (like EOMDs,,HoD, )got little promotion.

  • Brandy

    @Lgan , first CW is not gonna debut a new show on fri and sec, they also won’t have a extra hour of repeats.They have Seed,Masters of Illusion,Famous in 12 Weeks for Midseason instead of reruns on fri.

  • Charmed

    Reign’s a limited series, right?

  • Melanie

    @Wellesley — Development season hasn’t really started yet, so the fact that the CW ‘only’ has two pilots in development is meaningless for projecting scheduling. But I do wonder if the fact that they already have two planted pilots in the works, will effect the number of other pilots ordered? Last season, the CW had 8 or maybe it was 9 pilots including the Originals planted pilot. Evidently they either didn’t like the pilots or couldn’t afford to launch enough new shows because they kept ratings-bottom shows Carrie & BATB.

    Here’s what I think the situation is so far:

    BATB – cancelled

    Carrie – Bubble/toss-up
    Reign – Bubble/toss-up
    Tomorrow – Bubble/toss-up
    100 – Bubble/toss-up
    Star-Crossed – Bubble/toss-up

    HOD – renewed
    Originals – renewed
    Arrow – renewed
    TVD – renewed
    Supernatural – renewed
    ANTM – renewed

  • RayX

    @Brandy
    if the shows get good rating, they can push Famous in 12 to aired during Summer. Seed (canada show) 100% will be aired during summer, same goes to Master of Illusion.

  • Dollface

    @feinn hun what are you smoking reign is no where near a flop by cw standards they have kept shows with .2 raitings and it is not a super pricy show customing budgets don’t seem to run the high price as special effects driven shows. I think you just hate the cw so let me guess your still pissed the cancelled tsc or were you a dismayed nikita fan boy? Either way if you dislike them so much why comment on a cw post? Sad really very very sad of you.

  • Alan

    TCD may be safe, come on TVBTN was wrong when it predicted its cancellation, and most of us were shocked when it got renewed, so I think it has a bigger shot of getting renewed. Seems like TTP and Reign look in danger, since TTP was expecting huge numbers but it’s dropping a tenth every week, and Reign is doing fine, but a little bit low for such early airings.

    My prediction is:
    Reign and BATB cancelled
    The Carrie Diaries (probably renewed, slight chances, but still probable) and TTP (too soon to tell).

  • Melanie

    Sorry @ Wellesley — I was actually responding to @BBfan

    @BBFan – “The only shows that are getting prominent PR in L7 are Dixie & Beast. They are also routinely making those lists. Carrie, People, & Reign are not. So that’s another reason why Dixie & Beast are likely to come back on Fri’s.”

    — BATB is on the DVR list because of the % increase – at 100% increase it went from a .3 to a .6 – Tomorrow People had a .6 before any DVR is added – it doesn’t matter whether it appears on the list — its doing better.

    @BBFan “Flash has been tried before & failed but Arrow is weakening this season so that’s why I give Flash the lead. Likewise, I don’t think there’s any doubt the Orig’s could be doing much better after Vamp right now.”

    The one time the Originals aired behind TVD it got a .9 — its been getting better ratings than that on its own at 8PM on Tuesdays. It won’t be paired with TVD – TVD will be used to launch something else. They might use the Originals to launch a new show and move Supernatural and its spin-off(if it is picked up)to Mondays though. I do think that Arrow & Flash will be paired, assuming the pilot goes to series, which is not at all a given.

  • Michael

    CW just announced their third DC comic in development for a series, Hourman. I know they are also looking to develop Suicide Squad as a spin off on both Arrow and the Flash, possibly with John Barrowman, if they can work with his schedule.

    That’s on top of the two period dramas in development and the Supernatural spinoff getting a backdoor pilot this season. They could easily can half their shows and launch four or five new hourlong dramas. WB is anxious to spend the money developing DC based programs, in particular. (Two of thwir shows will air on rival networks however.) Something to do with Smallville running a decade and still making them a ton of money.

  • PeterMazz

    This should be the midseason schedule:
    Monday:
    8:00 – Star Crossed (CANCELLED)
    9:00 – Hart of Dixie (Renewed for final season)
    Tuesday:
    8:00 – The Originals
    9:00 – Supernatural
    Wednesday:
    8:00 – Arrow
    9:00 – The Tomorrow People
    Thursday:
    8:00 – The Vampire Diaries
    9:00 – The 100
    Friday:
    8:00 – Famous 12 (January – March)/Masters of Illusion (March – May)
    9:00 – Beauty and the beast (CANCELLED)

    The Carrie Diaries will be cancelled, and reign will be renewed but its season order will stay at 13 episodes. It’s a ”limited series” after all.

    Next season, THE FLASH should be premiered on HOD spot, as a lead in to other new show. Tuesdays should stay the same, wednesdays too. The supernatural spin off should take the post vampire diaries spot. VD and SPN always worked just right. And reign should move to fridays at 8, as a lead in to the final season of HOD… The FULL FINAL SEASON. The second season of the 100 will be premiered at midseason, after a new show fails.

  • Hannah

    Hart of Dixie will get a short final season like Nikita for next year.
    Beauty and the beast and the carrie diaries cancelled.
    The originals gets back mine order and season 2 renewal
    Supernatural renewed for full 10th and possibly final season
    Arrow renewed for third season
    The Tommorow people gets back nine order and picked up for season 2
    TVD gets season 6 renewal
    Reign gets 13 episode season 2 order renewal for next fall
    Nikita ends.
    Star crossed cancelled. The 100 gets Renewed.

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