FOX: 'Bones' Is Certain To Be Renewed, The Move To Friday Shouldn't Worry Fans

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


the_old_white_bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.73
Dads :oops: 0.74
Brooklyn Nine-Nine :| :| :| 0.84
Bob's Burgers renewed 0.95
American Dad final season on Fox 0.98
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Bones :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Glee renewed 1.05
Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Simpsons renewed 1.34
Sleepy Hollow renewed 1.46

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After doing this for seven seasons, the level of anxiety from fans over completely safe shows no longer surprises the Cancellation Bear. Still, with so little new to write about on a weekly basis about the status of current Fox shows, he figured he'd throw out an obvious headline for the Bones fans.

The move to Friday isn't an indication of the "death" of the show, nor is Fox trying to "kill" the show. (Note to the crazy, networks need not "try" to kill a show. They just cancel it.) Fox simply needs a timeslot for Almost Human. By far, their best night for that is Monday. Given that, they could move either a rookie show that's aired 5 episodes (Sleepy Hollow), or a show in its eighth season, that presumably has viewers that will follow it. Only the truly myopic would suggest the former.

Could Bones still end after this season? Certainly not because of its ratings. Only the production company or the stars wanting to call it quits might end it, and the bear doesn't attempt to predict events like those.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Dan

    @Ultima – On what you said about Dads, I was thinking that to, Dads could most certainly fill that hole on Sundays if given another year. Plus FOX wants to get back in the multi cam business, so maybe they will be going for Syndication.

  • Adam Decker

    I don’t care when Bones is on, just as long as I’m able to watch it. It has had all sorts of different time slots so I don’t see why it couldn’t stay that way. Hopefully it stays around for awhile. If not, then I don’t know what FOX’s longest running drama would be instead.

    Now as for FOX keeping a lowly rated show, that has confused me in the past. Maybe somebody can explain to me why Fringe, their lowest rated show for many seasons, kept getting renewed for more seasons. That doesn’t mean FOX will do that again, but it does give the few fans of Dad a tiny bit of hope.

  • Amy

    I’m natefused. Didn’t David Boreanaz say he was done?

  • jenna

    Why don’t they pair Dads with Family Guy? Wouldn’t that bring more people to watch it, same viewers?

  • milo

    I agree they might as well move Glee to friday instead, it’s ready to go to a death slot, promised next season or not.

  • Linda

    David Boreanaz has stated on twitter that he is committed to doing a season 10, as is Emily Deschanel, if Fox renews it.

  • ToXiX

    I think Brooklyn Nine Nine will be renewed but I’m a bit confused about the animation side of things. They cancelled Murder Police (which never looked like a good show anyway) and haven’t ordered anything else yet. Fox should pick up a pilot from the creators of Bobs Burgers. I am very glad Bobs has been renewed as many times as it has, loved the show from the start but was afraid it would be cancelled. Thankfully it wasn’t

  • Score

    To be honest I can see FOX being quite generous with their decisions this time around, as at this point there is a fair chance that The X Factor might not be around next year, which leaves them with a lot of free time, so they might not want to cancel too much from what they’ve already got.

    I know the bear doesn’t predict unscripted shows, but wha are the odds do you think of an XF renewal/cancellation, as it could have a real bearing on FOX’s decisions elsewhere.

  • AVillas

    Bones is last season already, don’t get it…

  • Matt M.

    Sleepy Hollow is a strong performer, hope it doesn’t dip anymore. I can see it hitting as low as 2.3, but that would be it. Seems to be more of a hit than The Following.

  • Dan

    @Amy – If David Boreanaz wants out then Bones is done after this season. That’s the only way Bones would be done. Ratings going down even on Fridays wouldn’t kill the show. Glee will probably either move to fridays at 8 next season or premiere midseason but FOX would use that Thursday at 8 slot to air a new drama next fall and Bones and Sleepy Hollow will probably stay Mondays. If Rake succeeds then I could see it being a midseason drama similar to the Following.

    @AVillas – Thats not confirmed as the final season yet.

    @Score – X Factor and Idol will be back next season, despite a drop in the ratings botht shows are still profitable for the network. FOX isn’t ready to let either go and it would be foolish at this point.

    @Toxix & Jenna – It may be too early but its possible FOX could be sticking with Dads and possibly pair it with Family Guy next season and air it at 9:30 Sundays. They dont have any animated shows in development and they have said they want to stay in the multi cam business (There last multi cam show was Til Death and they didnt even own it). Plus the 1 season flops Happy Hour, Back to You, Do Not Disturb and Brothers.

  • Anthony

    With Murder Police not on the schedule anymore, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Dads wind up on Sunday at some point. I could even see it getting renewed to fill the hole they have on Sundays next fall (assuming they aren’t going with a drama instead and don’t announce a new animated show in the next couple of weeks).

    I was going to say this same thing about Dads going on Sundays next season. Even if they announced the development of a new animated show now, I don’t know that it would have enough time to be ready for Fall 2014. Realistically they would need to air something in that 4th timeslot (either post Simpsons, or post Family Guy depending on where they air Bob’s Burgers), and they wouldn’t want it to be repeats (as that is wasting a high rated lead in either way you look at it). So they will most likely have to air a live action show there. Dads seems logical (Seth McFarlane, similar sensibilities as an animated show), or they would need to order a new show specifically to put there (doesn’t seem smart to do as presumably Fox will want an animated show back in the slot at some point). All this is a moot point though if Fox is planning on winding the animation block within the next few years (I highly doubt it, but you never know).

  • Dan

    @Anthony – I don’t think FOX wants to cut back the Animation night just yet. It seems FOX is in a similar situation as they were in 2006. They had 3 animated comedies (The Simpsons, Family Guy, and American Dad) and King of the Hill had a late renewal not ready until January 2007. So they simply moved The War at Home to 9:30 following Family Guy. It eventually moved to Tursdays to pair with Til Death (Then cancelled) but if FOX wants to bring back Dads and still keep the 2 hour comedy block (Some combination of a new show, New Girl, Brooklyn Nine Nine, Raising Hope, The Mindy Project and maybe Surviving Jack (3 of those shows will likely return in the fall) then Dads could easily move to Sundays.

  • Scot

    Huh, I thought I remember reading somewhere that this is already being advertised as the final season of Bones. Guess it’s only the final season if Fox decides it’s too pricey and the stars don’t want to return, lol.

  • Justin121

    With Sleepy Hollow being a Fall-only series, and Bones moving to Fridays, I think FOX is seriously contemplating canceling/cutting back on The X-Factor.

    American Idol results has already been officially reduced to 30 minutes.

    Dads given full season, Brooklyn given post-Super Bowl slot, Mindy’s renewal for this year.

    The signs are all there. FOX wants comedy/drama and cutting back on Idol/Factor.

  • svpike

    i fell Bones has run its course, 1/2 the show is not even about the case anymore, its about peoples love lifes! just end already. i am only sticking around to see how it ends but not for another season.

  • FallerWanderer

    Nobody? Yeah,I hate that song anyway.

  • Dan

    @Justin121 – Yeah but FOX still makes a lot of Money on X Factor and Idol, just less of it.

    So next season we might see a comedy move to Thursdays at 8:30 post X Factor or Idol. FOX obviously wants more comedy but they will only bring back comedy that works. Dads could return to fill the hole left by American Dad, Mindy doesn’t have to return but again who knows? New Girl and Brooklyn Nine-Nine are certain to return with that Superbowl confidence, and Surviving Jack & Enlisted could easily be cancelled.

    All Fox wants is a steady well rated Tuesday comedy block, thats pretty much it, Glee will either move to Fridays at 8 next season or air midseason and FOX will have some combination of Bones Sleepy Hollow, and a new drama air Mondays at 8 & 9 and Thurs at 9.

    FOX isn’t in bad shape but they are certainly getting more series out of this packed season then they did last season. The 2011-2012 development season was garbage for CBS & FOX and, ABC & NBC barely got anything out of it either.

  • Justin121

    @Dan

    I gather The X-Factor has a 3-year deal, expiring this year.

    If it drops below 2.0 I think FOX won’t hesitate in letting it go.

    Idol and Glee are dying, too. Bones to Fridays.

    They’re clearly preparing for an overhaul.

    I wouldn’t count Dads out yet. If anything they’re going into next season with 3 comedied that “work” and give the post-New Girl slot to a new show.

    Or they could keep all 4 and utilize the post-Results slot and/or a Sunday slot.

    Bottom line I think FOX is too high on all of their live-action comedies.

  • Chris_SAdvisor

    “Note to the crazy, networks need not “try” to kill a show. They just cancel it.”

    CBS wanted Jericho dead so after bringing it back they not only halved the budget, but we still reached their numbers so they lied, claiming online views did not count. To investors they admitted they are easily counted and are fully monetized, but to fans they claimed they cannot even track them, so they did not count. They cancelled it, brought it back, and then intentionally killed it off in a way trying to avoid blame. It would have worked had I not uncovered the lie that is (quarterly statements are a gold mine and lying to an investor is a federal offense). That is the worst I have ever seen.

    I also suspect Bad Robot puts clauses into their shows now (since LOST), to stop nets from prematurely canceling their shows due to early fluctuations. There is no logical reason to put Rev. out in front a 8 p.m. considering the content, unless they wanted it to be as weak as possible, and reach their contracted minimum rating (1.3 I suspect).

    I agree that the vast majority of moves is not to kill a show, but to maximize the potential of the overall weekly lineup, but occasionally the Nets do the best to make sure a weak show falls below a certain rating allowing the Net to cancel without any penalty.

    Bones moving to Friday means it will be the big kid on the block. Everything else on Friday is weak by comparison. It will also offer something different from the silly-horror short-runs (Grimm/Drac). I also agree that Almost Human *could* be much stronger and a better fit for Monday, but unfortunately it is another Bad Robot on Fox (Fringe), the basic premise is straight from Total Recall 2070, and the co-showrunner with all the talent (Naren Shankar) left ‘due to creative differences’, leaving the guy who’s only real credit is Fringe. So I am hopeful but not overly optimistic on the survivability of AH even with Urban and Larroquette. Fringe was vapid in the premier and did not improve by episode three, and if that is whom is running AH, I cannot expect anything better.

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