NBC: 'The Michael J Fox Show' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

November 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.75
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :cry: :cry: 0.86
Revolution :| :| :| 0.90
Dracula (F) :) :) :) :) 0.92
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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NBC demonstrated that they're not reluctant to sweep out an entire class of rookie sitcoms. They did it last season (plus Whitney!).

Now the Cancellation Bear is predicting they'll do it again this season (at least for the sitcoms premiered so far this Fall).

Welcome to the Family has already been devoured by the bear, and Sean Saves The World is certain to be. Now the bear's moving The Michael J Fox Show to "likely to be canceled" as well.

Dracula's second episode ratings drop should worry fans, but it's still got a bit of a cushion before the bear gets within range. Stay tuned.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Dan14

    Regarding Parks & Rec, “‘Lil Sebastian”, “Win, Lose or Draw” and “Leslie and Ben” were all written as potential series finales. And when Chris and Ann leave this season (in the 13th episode, not so coincidentally), it will probably be written the same way.

  • Refrain

    @Dan

    I can see why Go On was canceled though. It dipped below 3 million viewers and got 2.67 million, 1.1 18-49 for its finale. It would be too risky to renew a show that has completely collapsed ratings wise.

  • The Watcher

    I do admire M.J. Fox, but the way everyone on the show keeps telling him how great he is creeps me out.
    The whole show is half-baked, weak writing and characters, like they expected people to watch just to see MJF and go “Golly, I sure ADMIRE that guy!”

  • Dan

    @Dan14 – Fair enough but those seasons May 2011 and May 2012 there was never a doubt that Parks wouldn’t be renewed. Plus Leslie & Ben was the 13th episode and the producers and writers knew that it had a full season. Even this season it had a full season. The 13th episode of this season with Rob Lowe and Rashida Jones leaving wont be written as a finale but the 22nd episode might be.

    @Refrain – I can see why Go On was cancelled, It was just unfortunate circumstances that it was. And the fact that it was cancelled (even with a low of a 1.1) when its replacements are getting that now, shows that NBC could have used it for spackle. Maybe paired Go On and Community fridays at 8, so that when their current Thursday night collapsed they could have had Go On move to Thurs at 8:30 and push Community to midseason again. The point is that every comedy on NBC has is and will always be low rated. Veterans The Office and 30 Rock are gone and all 18 of the new comedies that premiered since 2010 have been canceled. Only Community and Parks & Rec remain and their lives are almost done.

  • Chris J

    @Dan

    I would say NBC’s comedies “will always be” low rated.

    All of their recent comedies with the exception of a few have had high premier ratings and were highly sampled by viewers. But subsequent ratings quickly tanked.

    That means the problem isn’t that the comedies are on NBC, it’s that they are not good and/or obviously not clicking with viewers.

    I’m hoping About A Boy will change that, especially since Jason Katims has done some of NBC’s best series including Parenthood.

  • Chris J

    I WOULDN’T say. First sentence typo above.

  • Dan

    @Chris J – All premieres usually have high premiere numbers. In MJF Show’s case it was his return to TV, its just more people tuned out each week. i don’t think its necessarily the shows fault. All new comedies recently have been low rated, NBC’s average has just been going down and down every year.

    About a Boy looks good but both Benjamin Stockholm and David Walton have been on midseason TV series that have been axed after a season. But we’ll see what happens. The only thing I’m worried about is another 3 way comedy battle. It will probably eventually kill The Goldbergs and Trophy Wife and while New Girl and Mindy Project will probably be saved 6 comedies 3 on 3 means lower ratings for all shows.

  • Danny

    When I first saw that Michael J. Fox was returning to television, the first thing that went through my mind is “someone is after an Emmy”. Due to his successful tv past and his affliction, it could only mean accolades. However, the writing isn’t there, only the talent. Can’t have one without the other. This show is as good as canceled.

  • Dan14

    “Fair enough but those seasons May 2011 and May 2012 there was never a doubt that Parks wouldn’t be renewed. Plus Leslie & Ben was the 13th episode and the producers and writers knew that it had a full season.”
    ———————————————————————–

    You should tell that to Mike Schur, because he is on the record as stating otherwise. And, according Schur, Season 5 was a 13 episode order, with a quiet pickup for the back nine. Despite what was said in the media by NBC.

  • Chris J

    After NBC’s ratings last night I’m pretty sure both Sean Saves The World and Michael J Fox’s show are DEAD.

    Insights from the night include the fact that reality seems to work in the 8-9pm hour against CBS and ABC.

    Also Parenthood remains steady even with a weak 1.0 lead in.

    If Parenthood can maintain these ratings through the Spring, I can see it getting renewed over Revolution. There is no hope for MJF or SSTW. I wonder if NBC will migrate both to Friday, or just leave them on Thursday to rot?

    Honestly Dateline could probably get better ratings than the comedies at this point.

  • roy

    Michael J Fox is always fine and the actress playing his wife works
    but the kids are non starters and the sister needs to go.
    The producer is cool
    The show needs work but Michael isn’t the problem…the characters and writing are

  • Tee

    I didn’t mind the MJ Fox pilot. But the second episode was terrible, and that was the last episode I saw.

  • Double d

    I thought when Obama was elected to office MJF was supposed to be cured using stem cells. What happened? There’s still a “whole lotta shaken going on” with this guy. Not easy to watch, not funny either. Good riddance.

  • andri

    Sean saves the world, parks & rec., & the Michael j. fox show need the permanency ax by the fourth week of November.

  • cfsv

    If Parenthood is cancelled I will officially have no reason to ever watch NBC. Accept for sports.

  • cfsv

    Just kidding the Blacklist is AWESOME!

  • HalCapone

    I suppose there is a lesson to be learned by the MJ Fox fiasco but network suits will ignore it moving forward.

  • Ted

    There is only one important question. What does the fox say?

  • RJ

    “I suppose there is a lesson to be learned by the MJ Fox fiasco but network suits will ignore it moving forward.”

    I don’t know. Presumably, NBC needed to commit as far as they did to land the show. Reportedly, all four networks were going after the show full-tilt, not just NBC, and the perception was that MJF was so popular that the premiere would get a good sampling at the very least. NBC was and still is the network in the most dire need of comedy hits and from their perspective the potential upside of a full-season pickup sight unseen outweighed the potential downside. I’m sure no one is more disappointed in how the show is performing (not to mention the quality of the show) than NBC, but it might not be doing any better with another show in that timeslot anyway.

  • Karen W.

    WHY did NBC put Parenthood up against Scandal? DAMN YOU, NBC

    Don’t you DARE cancel Parenthood!

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