NBC: 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

November 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


active-bear-sign

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.72
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.76
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.81
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
The Michael J. Fox Show :cry: :cry: 0.83
Revolution :| :| :| 0.91
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.93
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
The Blacklist :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.92

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It seemed like just yesterday that Dracula premiered with a 1.8 adults 18-49 rating, on Friday, on NBC. Fan hopes were justifiably high, as was the Cancellation Bear's initial prediction.

After losing half that 18-49 audience in just two weeks, last week's 0.9 rating now makes Dracula "likely to be canceled".

Why not certain to be canceled? The bear's swing and a miss on Hannibal last season gives the bear a bit of a pause. Plus, he may need another headline later this season.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • gerry

    was dracula set up as ‘limited’ or no? regardless, its bleeding viewers so i don’t see this making it.

  • Carrie

    The difference between Dracula and Hannibal is that the later has a very devoted fanbase, whereas Dracula is bleeding viewers because the show failed to live up to expectations of a show premised around the classic Dracula. I’d be shocked if this makes it to a second season.

  • jamandas

    I watched the first episode of Dracula and I was very disappointed and bored. I really wanted to like it but I have not watched a episode since.

  • Dan S

    I gave up on Dracula after 2 airings. What a major disappointment, this show could have been a hit if done right. Doing Dracula with an American accent was a BIG mistake.

  • tv2day

    Classic Dracula has always been boring. Its pretty easy to see iron side Dracula and the upcoming murder she wrote r dead on arrival

  • skyfi

    0.9 is enough for Dracula. Siberia will be renewed with just 0.6 on mondays.

  • audrey

    I tried to watch Dracula 3 times but I fell asleep each time before I gave up and deleted it from the DVR.

  • Hardline_Pro

    Revolution will be moved to Syfy if NBC doesn’t pick it up. I have already seen repeats of the show on Syfy a few weeks ago.

  • Darryl

    SyFy would be a good spot for revolution if it gets canceled, but it would fare better as a “limited” series rather than attempting to drag it out for a full 22 episode broadcast season. And it would have a little bit wider “niche” appeal than normal broadcast TV. Blacklist was clearly a better decision for Monday, and though I feel the wednesday 7pm timeslot was a poor decision for Revolution; I think it would be better suited to go elsewhere at this point.

  • Hardline_Pro

    @skyfi – I totally forgot about Siberia. Is it canceled or renewed? I thought it was a cool show.

  • THE OLD MAN

    Dracula is a goner

  • RyanCanada

    im loving dracula, i hope grimm and dracula go up!!!

  • Bear1000

    Can’t say I’m surprised. The show’s been bleeding viewers and by most people’s comments, it isn’t very good which makes you wonder how in the hell could talented people behind such good shows like “Downtown Abbey” or “The Tudors” F#$% up “Dracula”?

  • James

    Revolution is a true toss-up for NBC. It’s stabilized at 1.4 for several weeks. The rating isn’t good compared with The Blacklist/Chicago Fire, but isn’t bad either vs Thursday’s lineup. I don’t think it’ll go to other nights as that will hurt its mediocre rating, so it’ll either stay at Wednesday 8pm or get canceled next season. If NBC wants to launch a new show at 9, Revolution is likely replaced by reality shows like TBL to give a bigger lead-in. NBC can also try out new sitcoms or dramas in that timeslot, although ratings aren’t guaranteed.

    Also not sure what NBC is trying to do with Dracula. It’s clearly a limited series like Hannibal, but Hannibal rated better than Dracula.

  • TVDude

    Here’s the sad part… if you cut the list off from Parenthood and above, only one new show is likely to return (MJF is above Parenthood at the moment, but give it a couple more weeks).

    I still think Parenthood will be renewed, if not for a final season. It’s pulling decent numbers in that troubled Thursday slot that’s rotated between three or four shows for the past few seasons. By “decent numbers” I do mean for the slot, not by the broadcast average.

    I really can’t understand why NBC insists on playing out the low rated comedies all season. It’s their mistake though.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    I can see NBC renewing Revolution for next season with only a limited order (maybe 13 episodes), and then canceling it. It would be a rare example of a network renewing a 2-season show with 40+ episodes for a 3rd season but not a 4th season.

  • Scandalicious

    NBC is sort of a disaster this season. In all honesty , they may ax all of their comedies and start with a completely new slate. In addition, I can’t see them saving more than five dramas (like they did this year) so that would mean either Parenthood or Revolution is on the chopping block. I would guess that it may be Parenthood that is axed as Revolution has done a little better this season and Parenthood will already have enough episodes to reach syndication.

  • omabin

    I actually disagree… I think the costs advantage that these co productions shouldn’t put these shows any lower than bubble. Hannibal was a clear cancel last year and it was saved because of that (airing in summer probably helped as well, but Dracula airs on Fridays). Other than that I agree with pretty much everything.

  • Eric_Philly

    The most plausible outcome is to cancel Dracula and shift Revolution to Fridays, hoping it can hang onto enough viewers to keep going (which it probably wouldn’t, based on past precedent).

    That being said, I don’t know why people wouldn’t like Dracula… but, I suppose, that’s not uncommon. After all, Fast Five was a huge hit in theaters. Also, shifting Revolution to Syfy is unlikely as Syfy hasn’t done that in years and has watched its scripted originals ratings drop for the past couple years.

  • a p garcia

    Dracula is a boring show. If done right, it could have been successful like Buffy: The Vampire Slayer. To me, it has too many foreign accents and not enough action. I agree putting Blacklist on Monday, but RVN on Wednesday was a wrong move. It should move to Sci-Fi.

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