ABC: 'The Neighbors' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 18th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 17, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.49
Betrayal :oops: 0.49
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :oops: 0.58
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.66
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.71
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.82
Nashville :| :| :| 0.83
Back In The Game de facto canceled, airing remaining episodes 0.93
The Goldbergs :| :| :| 0.96
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Super Fun Night :oops: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.42
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.50
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.53
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.01

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While the Cancellation Bear's prediction for The Neighbors has been "certain to be canceled" since mid-October, other headlines kept elbowing that out of the way. Now, with no changes to the ABC predictions this week to otherwise claim the limelight, The Neighbors prediction finally gets its time in the headline.

“Why is Super Fun Night certain to be canceled, yet sitting beside a bunch of certain to be renewed shows?”

Super Fun Night's position in the list is determined by its ratings average, which has yet to “catch up” to its recent ratings declines.

However, its prediction is based primarily on the fact that it didn’t receive a full season order. There are very isolated instances of Fall premiere rookie shows without full season orders being renewed for a second season, but it’s not even remotely the way to bet.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • HeadlessHorseman

    @James
    It’s HeadlessHorseman actually. And the only reason I say ‘going out of business’ is because the CW’s contract with WVTV is up in 2016.

    Plus, what about CBS and NBC? They consistently deliver high ratings for Tuesdays and it’s always one of those 2 networks that wins the night.

  • Carl

    @danielcw,

    They do reset the index for the most part in January. Basically the fall index is very useful for new shows that do so badly they get cancelled fairly quickly, and as a general guide on how the shows are doing. But if a show makes it through to the second half of the season, history has shown the networks become much more concerned with how they do in the January-May period.

  • Fred

    SUPER FUN NIGHT and GOLDBERGS are very likeable sitcoms. Not perfect and not enough laughs but still very entertaining.
    Not every sitcom can be like The MIDDLE. Probably one of the most consistently funny family shows I have ever watched. Pretty impressive for a long running sitcom.

  • KJ Styles

    People who are predicting SHIELD and OUAT will get cancelled next year are idiots. SHIELD is the 3rd highest rated show on ABC, and OUAT gets higher ratings than anything on Sundays not named Sunday Night Football or Walking Dead. Neither are ending anytime soon.

  • C Whitty

    I understand Back in the Game is cancelled but what I can understand is why when its ratings do not appear that bad????

  • HeadlessHorseman

    @KJ Styles
    While it would be idiotic to predict that they’ll be cancelled this year, it is not out of the question that they could be cancelled next year.

  • Adam Decker

    I like Once Upon a Time in Wonderland, actually, but I wouldn’t mind any of the one smily shows getting cancelled. The three smilies are always a toss-up, but with so many bad shows this season, they are better than they usually are. Predicting shows cancelled next year are tough, but a high rated show one season can drop suddenly and get cancelled the next. Touch is just one example of that.

  • Ultima

    @C Whitty
    I understand Back in the Game is cancelled but what I can understand is why when its ratings do not appear that bad?

    More people are watching TV during the 8:30pm half hour than the 8:00pm half hour. If there’s an established show at 8pm and another, stronger, established show at 9pm, the new 8:30pm show should be growing out of its lead-in. When it’s losing the lead-in’s audience instead, that’s a sign that the show should be canceled (even if its numbers are decent compared to the rest of the network).

  • RS

    I’ll miss the Neighbors; it was Monty Python-like fun; I hoped it would be transferred to ABC Family, where I would follow it. As long as they cancel Child-Wife (serial Olivia Goldsmith bad guy left age appropriate professional wife for younger ditz and then left ditz for younger bimbo. Let’s insult modern woman a little more).

  • James

    Revenge has to perform at 10:00 or it won’t get renewed ABC will be patient with Shield but I have a feeling, unless they make major changes to the cast, it will be a 2-Season show.

  • Rose

    Excuse me….but to that person who said Nashville dropped in quality this season: it is WAY better than the 2nd half of season 1. Maybe ABC should stop messing with the show’s content (get rid of the soapy stuff/bedhopping they’re shoving down our throats) …then it would actually be a BRILLIANT show.But it’s a good show anyway…

  • Fred

    @Rose

    I still like Nashville , just not as much a last season. Agreed it was better earlier in season 1,
    Some of the storylines and plots are kind of weak this season. Same with the music. Quantity and quality of the songs don’t compare to season 1.
    That all said , I still enjoy the performances and cast. With some more exciting storylines and better music, the show can be great once again.
    Last season , I complained about Revenge as well. Glad to see it improved this season . Wish ratings improve soon.
    Same with OUAT, but still needs improvement .
    I’m actually enjoying Wonderland more lately .

  • Jon

    @Jeff….for castle to be cancelled next year….three new shows would all have to beat it in the ratings. Also consider more than likely revenge will be in its last year. Its also likely that maos would have fallen lower in the demo as well. Also the syndication deal with Tnt has been lucrative. Castle is a steady show. Barring an epic collapse I could honestly seeing this being a 10 season show.

  • Jon

    @kj ……it is not out of the realm of possibilities that maos only sees one season. If it keeps dropping in ratings so does its profitability. Ill admit they will give it more leeway than they gave no ordinary family but if it drops below a 2 in the demo all bets are off.

  • Rebooted

    Sunday
    Once Upon A Time
    Greys Anatomy
    NEW DRAMA

    Monday
    DWTS
    Nashville

    Tuesday
    SHIELD
    NEW DRAMA
    Castle

    Wednesday
    Middle
    Goldbergs
    Modern Family
    NEW COMEDY
    NEW DRAMA

    Thursday
    Revenge
    Scandal
    NEW DRAMA

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    NEW COMEDY
    Shark Tank
    20/20

  • Zarchi

    God shield agent is boring, who the hell is keeping that terd alive. What a wast of money and time

  • Alan

    Wow, all the shows I like are getting axed, and all the ones I either don’t watch or don’t like are being renewed. You can’t help but feel /a little/ rejected.

  • Steve

    Considering this is the second ABC series with that title, hopefully ABC will have learned never to use “The Neighbors” again. I mean even Regis couldn’t save it.

  • Fred

    I know I’m in the minority but I’ve been watching BETRAYAL. Never gave up on it despite it being extremely dull in the earlier eps. Much better now. Too little too late.
    Also still enjoying OUAT WONDERLAND. Some the latest eps are more enjoyable than the original OUAT.

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