ABC: 'The Neighbors'? 'Trophy Wife'? Which Ratings Turkeys Would You Save From The Cancellation Bear? (Poll)

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.49
Betrayal :oops: 0.49
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland :oops: 0.56
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.66
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.71
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.83
Nashville :| :| :| 0.83
Back In The Game de facto canceled, airing remaining episodes 0.91
The Goldbergs :| :| :| 0.95
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Super Fun Night :oops: 1.10
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.53
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.97

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Each year, the President of the United States ceremonially pardons one or more turkeys from becoming part of the national Thanksgiving dinner. Now you can play the part of the President, and choose which ABC ratings turkeys you'd spare from consumption by the Cancellation Bear. The big difference being, the turkeys that the President spares actually get to live, your choices (like every internet poll) are just for meaningless fun.

Every scripted show currently on the air for ABC is in the poll.

As they say in Chicago, vote early, vote often.

“Why is Super Fun Night certain to be canceled, yet sitting beside a bunch of certain to be renewed shows?”

Super Fun Night's position in the list is determined by its ratings average, which has yet to “catch up” to its recent ratings declines.

However, its prediction is based primarily on the fact that it didn’t receive a full season order. There are very isolated instances of Fall premiere rookie shows without full season orders being renewed for a second season, but it’s not even remotely the way to bet.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • a p garcia

    I would have kept Back in the Game over the other two.

  • Why Watch

    Sad, but I wouldn’t save any of the shows. Why should I, I don’t watch any of them seriously. OK, I watch Revenge, but because it has become so ridiculously idiotic I watch it for comic relief. How far Revenge has dropped in its potential.

  • AndyB

    Save Nashville!! Most underrated show right now on TV

  • RIP Andrea

    I’d keep:

    Once Upon a Time
    Modern Family
    Castle
    Revenge
    Nashville
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal
    SHIELD
    Last Man Standing
    The Goldbergs

  • Sparrow

    I picked Super Fun Night. Even though I know it doesn’t have a chance in hell of surviving, that, along with The Goldbergs are my favorite new ABC comedies.

  • C.S.Strowbridge

    At this holiday season, can we all put aside our disagreements about TV shows and come together and agree that the Turkey Bear is 100% nightmare fuel.

  • KoolRebel

    Only ABC Shows I Watch & Like Are:
    Revenge, Betrayal, The Middle, Back In The Game, Modern Family, Last Man Standing, Suburgatory
    Only ABC Shows I’m Trying To Like But Don’t:
    The Goldbergs (80′s), Trophy Wife (Love Malin), The Neighbors (Aliens)
    ABC Shows I Quit Watching Couple Of Years Ago:
    Grey’s Anatomy, Once Upon A Time
    ABC Shows That I Gave Only One or Two Chances:
    Castle, Nashville, Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D., Once Upon A Time In Wonderland, Super Fun Night
    ABC Show I Regret Not Ever Seeing, But Now It’s Too Late:
    Scandal

  • Will

    I’d save Don’t Trust the B- in Apt 23.. oh wait.

  • Ted Craig

    @CraveRecords

    The Goldbergs and SHIELD are actually pretty compatible.

  • Daniel

    This poll makes no sense. The shows with the highest votes arent going to get cancelled anyway. Why list Modern Family and Castle

  • ToXiX

    I’d save Nashville.

    I would say The Goldbergs but I’m pretty confident Goldbergs will be the only freshman comedy renewed by ABC.

  • Brandy

    Nashville,Once :wonderland (has finally gotten real good the past three episodes),OUAT(though it needs to get back to S1quality),Revenge,Scandal,

  • milo

    “Trophy Wife, which is a charming, funny family comedy”

    You would think ABC would have learned their lesson about picking titles for shows after Cougar Town.

  • jeezlearnsumthin

    Trophy wife is dead. Move on.

  • Jon

    Why are the numbers in this poll so low. You do realize you can vote for more than one show?

  • langslow

    “What changed between this week and last week that Betrayal is now de facto cancelled? Did I miss a press release? (Not questioning that it will be cancelled, just curious what the news is!)”

    ABC’s spring schedule came out, and Betrayal was not on it.

  • Bob

    My dream Fall 2014

    Sunday
    8 – Once upon a time
    9 – Wonderland
    10-Agents

    Monday
    8- Dancing
    10- Castle

    Tuesday
    8 – Dancing Results (bring it back)
    10 – 20/20

    Wednesday
    8 – The Middle
    830 – The Goldberg’s
    9 – Modern Family
    9:30 – Suburgatory
    10 – Nashville

    Thursday
    8 Gray’s Anatomy
    9 Revenge
    10 Scandal

    Friday
    8 Last Man Standing
    Trophy Wife
    Shark Tank
    New Show

  • xbox

    I’d cancel the entire network. It has become the new nbc, and that’s not saying much.

  • Robert Ford

    @milo: “You would think ABC would have learned their lesson about picking titles for shows after Cougar Town.”

    Spot on. I assumed it was a reality show based on the title at first, and even when I found out it was a comedy, wouldn’t have watched if it hadn’t been getting really good critical press.

    Sadly though, I think it’s the new Ben and Kate, and I’m not sure how much a better title would have helped. Yeah it started with low numbers, which could have been partially because of the name, but they’ve gotten even lower, which means that a lot of Nielsen households clearly don’t like it.

    As for shows I’d save (sitcoms, since I don’t watch dramas), I’d save Trophy Wife out of selfishness, and based on ratings MF (which I love), The Middle (which is OK), and the Goldbergs (which I personally find insufferably bad). While I may think TG is even worse than the Neighbors, enough people seem to be getting a nostalgia kick from it that its ratings have stabilized around a 1.7. ABC could, and almost certainly will, do worse next season if they cancel it.

  • Networkman

    Revenge and Once Upon a Time are the most important dramas for ABC to nurture. I voted that both should be renewed.

    As far as the comedies that are on the bubble, The Goldbergs is ABC’s funniest new comedy. And it may just be the best new comedy of the season. Also Last Man Standing should return.

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