CBS: 'Mom,' 'The Crazy Ones,' 'The Millers' & 'Two And A Half Men' Could All Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 3rd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 27, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.60
The Mentalist :cry: :cry: 0.61
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.63
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.63
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.78
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.84
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Mom :) :) :) :) 0.92
Two and a Half Men :) :) :) :) 0.98
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 1.06
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
The Millers :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.35
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.28

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With We Are Men yanked after just two episodes, and How I Met Your Mother in its final season, the other three rookie CBS sitcoms all have a chance at a second season.  The Millers ratings have stayed above CBS's scripted ratings average, and Mom & The Crazy Ones ratings are close enough below that they would typically be renewed. Into that mix, there's some chance that Two and a Half Men falls to the bear in May.

CBS could keep all four of those sitcoms, and still premiere two new sitcoms next Fall if they kept Mike & Molly in reserve to fill into the slot of the first failed rookie sitcom, like this season. Given the current ratings levels of those four shows, it's at least conceivably possible all four get renewed. However, Spring often brings a bit more ratings movement which could separate the relative ratings of those four shows and cause some prediction changes.

Also, Two and a Half Men is in a blind spot of the bear's predictive ability, an old, expensive show with otherwise passable ratings. More than a few of those shows have been consumed when the bear thought they'd escape.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • CBSviewer

    What CBS could do next Season:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – The Millers
    8:30 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:00 – NEW COMEDY
    9:30 – Mom
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NEW DRAMA
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – The Crazy Ones
    9:30 – NEW COMEDY
    10:00 – Elementary

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – NEW DRAMA / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SATURDAY
    8:00 – Comedy (R)
    8:30 – Comedy (R)
    9:00 – Drama (R)
    10:00 – 48 Hours

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Survivor
    10:00 – The Good Wife

    Thoughts ?

  • Charles

    Of all the freshman comedies that CBS still has remaining, I believe that Mom will be the most likely to go. Also wouldn’t be surprised if TAAHM finally bows out after this season as well as the ratings are finally starting to bottom out for that one. Here’s how I’d do the Fall schedule for next year:

    Monday – HIMYF, 2BG, TCO, New Comedy, Criminal Minds
    Tuesday – NCIS, NCIS: LA, new NCIS show
    Wednesday – Survivor, Intelligence, Person of Interest
    Thursday – TBBT, WTM, New Comedy, New Comedy (or a final season of TAAHM), Elementary
    Friday – Undercover Boss, H50, Blue Bloods
    Sunday – 60 Minutes, Amazing Race, TGW, CSI

  • ToXiX

    Mom, The Millers, & Two and a Half Men will be renewed.
    The Crazy Ones will more than likely be cancelled.
    We Are Men was better than The Millers or The Crazy Ones
    Neither Bad Teacher or Friends With Better Lives will be renewed.

  • Russell

    “Mom” will most definitely be renewed. It’s getting better and better each week. It’s a well written comedy and Allison Janey is a sure Emmy contender for best actress in a comedy. 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, Big Bang Theory and The Millers will all be back. Crazy Ones will be cancelled because it is not funny and its’ ratings are so-so. Two And A Half Men should call it quits this season.

  • Jon

    The mentalist and hostages are done. If intelligence succeeds I also think tgw will be done. The only sitcom I see getting cancelled is the crazy ones. Possibly men if its ratings continue to go south. Elementary should be paired with poi on thur again.

    My schedule for next fall
    Sunday
    7 pm. 60 mins
    8 pm. Survivor
    9 pm. Amazing race
    10. Tgw or new drama

    Monday
    8 pm. 2 bg
    New sitcom
    9 pm. Mike and molly
    Mom
    10. Intelligence or new drama

    Tues

    8 pm. Ncis
    9 pm. Ncis new orl
    10. New drama

    Wed

    8 pm. Ncis la
    9 pm. Criminal minds
    10. Csi

    Thur

    8 pm. Big bang
    Millers
    9 pm. Poi
    10. Elementary

    Fri

    8 pm. Men or new sitcom
    New sitcom
    9 pm. Hawaii
    10. Blue bloods

  • Kit

    I think Two and Half Men will eek out one more renewal.

  • Joe

    Did The Millers actually improve on its beginning, or are people watching TBBT too lazy to change the channel?

  • Gary

    Not surprised at all about these show probably getting renewed. Now CBS, time to reunite Robin and Pam. I’m going to keep beating the drums until it happens. Get out the pocketbook and pay the lady.

  • Gary

    It truly amazes me that some people want to cancel a show because THEY don’t think it’s funny!!! Just because you don’t think a certain show is funny, doesn’t mean others think like you do. I don’t like TBBT, but I know it’s going to be renewed. The Crazy Ones averages around 9 million viewers a week. CBS is not going to cancel the show with those numbers. If those numbers tumble, then they might think about it, but the show has probably bottomed out at between 8-10 million. Enough to keep it on the and get a 2nd season.

  • Midnight

    The freshman comedy situation depends on several factors, including:

    1. Whether CBS cuts comedy from 8 slots to 6 (unlikely IMO)
    2. How many new comedies CBS wants to premiere in the fall (likely 1 or 2, I doubt they go for 3 or more again)
    3. Whether CBS holds M&M back again in case of a failure (unlikely if they only debut 1 or 2 comedies)
    4. Whether Two and a Half Men gets a shortened season, be it in the fall or midseason

    If there are 8 slots, then 2BG and TBBT take up 2, while M&M likely takes up a third. There will be at least one new freshman comedy taking up a fourth slot. All three freshman and TAAHM could take the remaining four slots, so it is possible all four are renewed. If CBS wants to try two new comedies in the fall, they could give TAAHM a shortened order for midseason to pad the syndication deal.

  • Bradley

    On the bright side for Mom, if CBS cancels 2.5 Men or “announces its final season,” Mom will most likely get renewed to keep Lorre as a CBS comedy creator!

  • C Dawg

    @Joe
    I turn it TO cbs when The Millers comes on.
    And I turn the channel when The Crazy Ones comes on.

    One is funny. The other is not.

  • Dan

    Gary, networks don’t get paid on total viewers and they don’t renew on total viewers. They get paid and renew on the A18-49 demo and subsets of said demo. The Crazy Ones total viewers are not meaningful in predicting renewal.

  • Ultima

    @David H
    I see CBS moving Big Bang Theory back to Monday at 9 and cutting the Thursday block to 1 hour.

    Following the established tradition of moving hit shows off of Thursday night?

    Even if CBS cuts back to one hour of comedies on Thursday, The Big Bang Theory isn’t moving.

  • Ultima

    @Tommy Mickens
    Never say never, but with the stellar run of 2.5 Men and the network relationship to Lorre, my guess is that it will not just be unceremoniously “cancelled” if the network can help it. I think it’s more likely that whenever it ends, it will be decided in advance and announced as a “final season” or at least a run of “final episodes”, as a sign of respect and to hopefully capitalise on the PR for higher ratings at the end.

    Just like CSI Miami and CSI New York! ;)

    If Two and a Half Men has a chance at coming back next year, it will probably be decided in early May as part of a larger deal with Warner Bros. If that’s the case and it doesn’t get renewed, then it will just end.

    On the other hand, if it’s already in the red and has no chance of returning next season (I think this is the case), then at least they can write a finale. I don’t expect a big send-off though, those usually only work with shows that are still pulling in solid ratings.

  • jake3988

    TAAHM definitely has good enough ratings but not for how expensive it is.

    But I imagine if they can tone down the costs, they’d keep it going… but it seems that Jon and Ashton are pretty much only doing it for the big paychecks and won’t go for that.

    The ratings up until this season, CBS and WB were more than willing to eat the huge cost. This season, probably not.

    But don’t be too quick to dismiss it either, it’s a KILLER in syndication and so WB has a financial incentive to keep it going if they can manage it.

  • Ultima

    @Wanda
    The Crazy Ones is doing better than The Millers when live +7 or live +3 is factored in.

    Live+3 and Live+7 ratings are meaningless for predicting renewals. Live+SD is the best approximation of the C+3 ratings that are actually used for pricing.

  • Randy

    As much as I like The Mentalist, the show looks like it’s over. After Red John was used like the one-armed man in the classic series, The Fugitive, the show is done. If the ratings can withstand the ripples from football delay on the east coast. Maybe a 7th season will be in order. Depending on the licensing fees from Warner. Miss Tassler and her schedulers have a lot on their plate by March. If Intelligence can do some decent ratings, that will give a sigh of relief of what freshman prime time programming will be needed. I don’t like Elementary. But it seems to do well after the comedy line up. Hawaii-Five O is doing much better on Friday. The team seems to be enchanced by the upgraded of Chi McBride as a regular. Maybe he will get a title card in the opening credits? Five-O needs 5 seasons to be highly valuable in syndication. As it is, TNT paid big bucks for seasons, 1-3. Five-O fits nicely with Blue Bloods. Ratings are settling nicely on Friday nights. Sunday and Monday nights are what is bleeding on CBS.

  • Gary

    @Dan, then tell me why the Crazy Ones will more than likely be renewed for next season?? I still believe that overall numbers do make a difference. As long as the numbers are in line with what other CBS shows do, and wins its time slot a good majority of the time, (Which it has done), then the show stands a great chance of having a second season.

  • ToXiX

    @Gary

    TCO doesn’t do any better better than Mom has been doing these past few weeks.
    It’s a single cam on CBS, it’s the odd one out.

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