FOX: If ‘The X Factor’ Is Canceled Could That Save ‘Dads’ Or ‘Raising Hope’?
Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewFOXShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 27, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Raising Hope (F)||:oops:||0.41|
|The Mindy Project||:| :| :|||0.76|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||:) :) :) :)||0.86|
|American Dad||final season on Fox||1.01|
|Bones (some F)||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.02|
|New Girl||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.05|
|Family Guy||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.23|
|Almost Human||:) :) :) :)||1.28|
While the cancellation bear doesn’t dabble in the prediction of unscripted show futures (tried it before, didn’t work, lost interest in figuring out a method that would), there’s at least some chance that this season will be the last for Fox’s The X Factor.
Would those 3 open hours mean another chance at renewal for ratings losers like Dads and Raising Hope?
The bear guesses not.
Venturing into the wild guess portion of the post, were The X Factor canceled, the bear guesses that some combination of Gordon Ramsay reality, new reality and new scripted shows would soak up the time instead of holding over current ratings losers.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2014
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.