CBS: No Matter What The Bear Predicts For 'The Good Wife,' Its Crazy Fans Will Claim He Predicted It Would Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

December 10th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-December 8, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages :oops: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.60
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.63
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.63
The Mentalist :cry: :cry: 0.64
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
Elementary :) :) :) :) 0.78
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.85
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Mom :) :) :) :) 0.92
Two and a Half Men :) :) :) :) 0.98
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
The Millers :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.35
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.26

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Even though the Cancellation Bear hasn't predicted The Good Wife as anything below a "toss up" to be canceled or renewed in at least three years (longer than the bear has been using the "toss up" designation) its crazy fans "remember" otherwise, claiming each season that "You predict it will be canceled every season and are always wrong!". Nope, it's the crazy who are  wrong.

Some of that is simple confusion. The Bubble Watch does currently predict The Good Wife will be canceled, and the difference between BW and the cancellation bear isn't always clear. For reference: different writers, different predictions, same website.

Those who aren't confused with Bubble Watch, and just remember wrong? The bear's memory is bad too, that's why he writes things down. The crazy? Apparently not.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • MARTY

    dan and those episodes were only for syndication reasons and it was a cbs owned show that nbc canceled and those episodes made up for 2 16 episode seasons and a 19 episode season on nbc. giving medium 140 episodes total!

  • Pat

    2014-15 Schedule for CBS Prediction
    Sunday:
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Elementary
    10:00 – CSI
    Monday:
    8:00 – Mike and Molly
    8:30 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:00 – The Millers
    9:30 – New Comedy
    10:00 – Criminal Minds
    Tuesday:
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00 – Person of Interest
    Wednesday:
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Blue Bloods
    10:00 – New Drama
    Thursday:
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – New Comedy
    9:00 – The Crazy Ones
    9:30 – New Comedy
    10:00 – The Good Wife
    Friday:
    8:00 – Undercover Boss
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

  • Joseph A

    @Dan,
    Except that when it comes to CBS they look at the long term not just the initial broadcast.

    When you figure in what The Good Wife brings ,,

    Its Awards , This has value to a Network like CBS

    Syndication plus , being able to sell viewing via Netflix, Amazon, plus all the various International pipelines to distribute content

    The show is actually very profitable to the Network when you go beyond the 1st time viewing.

  • MARTY

    pat you have bluebloods listed twice

  • Kitsune

    Lots of sore people today. I love it!

  • Boiler

    I think Mondays next year are in trouble without HIMYM. They somehow should have done a spinoff with Ted, Lily and the mother. I wouldn’t miss the others. Maybe move 2 Broke Girls to spot after Big Bang

  • Manny

    Probably the very worst thing for The Good Wife is that CBS stupidly continues to put it on Sunday nights and of course it starts airing during football season. The result is that even though TGW should start at a certain time, it almost never does, constantly keeping fans of the show in limbo. I can’t even get my dvr to record the show since the times are so screwed up. Why would any reasonable network do this to a show that has potential to be a big winner for them? I just don’t get it…but I don’t see CBS as having good management in place at all.

  • Gregg

    A more pressing issue is where does CBS place Intelligence in January?

    I assumed over the summer that it would go in Hostages’ timeslot on Mondays, but with The Blacklist doing so well, it may make sense to put Intelligence somewhere else.

    Here’s what I was thinking:

    Monday 10:00 CSI
    Wednesday 9:00 Intelligence
    Wednesday 10:00 Criminal Minds

    or

    Monday 10:00 The Mentalist (final season)
    Wednesday 9:00 Intelligence
    Wednesday 10:00 Criminal Minds
    Sunday 10:00 CSI

  • Maria

    Have a out-of-curiosity question for you all…

    What should CBS do with Criminal Minds next season, keep it on Wed at 9pm or slide it down to 10pm?

    On one hand: it’s its 2nd rated drama in A1849 (every time I’ve been able to see C3 numbers this is true, only NCIS does better), it’s its 2nd rated drama in A1834 (not seen each new episode numbers, but the many I’ve seen points to it), it’s its youngest skewing drama (do the math), and has proved to be able to survive against ratings monsters like AI and MF (when they get/got monster ratings). For ABC Studios (co-producer), has a very lucrative international syndication income (of all US shows, only NCIS and CSI do better).

    On the other: could end next season if they don’t get most of the cast (specially Thomas Gibson, Joe Mantegna and Matthew Gray Gubler) to sign new contracts, plus next season is its 10th (veteran all right!). CBS doesn’t see a dime of the lucrative international syndication income.

    Comments!? Opinions!? :D

  • DM

    @Gregg they’ve already scheduled Intelligence and it will be taking over Hostages’ 10pm Monday spot when it ends.

  • Ultima

    @Gregg
    A more pressing issue is where does CBS place Intelligence in January?

    It’s already scheduled; premieres 7 January after NCIS before moving to Monday 10pm the following week.

  • Scotty K

    All of the “crazy” TGW fans freaking out here reminds me of a 5 year old kicking their feet and screaming at the top of their lungs that they aren’t having a temper tantrum.

  • PurpleDrazi

    @BillGorman and others…

    Serious question here. There is a lot of talk about whether being sold into syndication will help or hurt The Good Wife (and other shows) and I wanted to know. When a show is sold into syndication does that mean all of its episodes, no matter how many are produced in the future, are sold or does a syndication deal only apply to a certain amount? For example: TNT may buy only four seasons of a show even if they end up with six seasons.

  • Dan

    @Joseph A – Yes but while Awards are great, it doesn’t bring the network profit. Also The Good Wife just reached its 100th episode and its in syndication already, they don’t need more episodes if numbers arent better. Plus pretty much all of CBS’s dramas are down year to year, so they might axe both Good Wife and Mentalist to not only make room but to shake things up.

    CBS shows are looked at long term which is why Blue Bloods and Hawaii 5-0 are a lock for a fifth season and POI & Elementary will continue for more seasons as well.

    @Purple Drazi – When a show is sold into syndication, a network is usually locked into licensing airing more episodes for future seasons. So with The Good Wife and Hallmark Hulu Plus etc, currently the first four seasons have been purchased, that means when the fifth season is finished airing next year they will license the fifth season episodes because they are contractually obligated to additional seasons.

  • PurpleDrazi

    Thanks Dan.

    So now that The Good Wife has made it to syndication I guess the real question is this: Which is more important to CBS, the additional syndication money they could make with another (probably low rated) season of TGW or the opportunity to bring in a new show and try for higher ratings.

    Interesting dilemma.

  • Matt M.

    I still don’t see Elementary getting renewed. It get’s trounced by an ABC 10PM drama every single week, plus it is more than 40 episodes and 2 seasons away from syndication. Also, CBS’s lower-standard sunday night drama, The Mentalist is now matching it in the demo and even has better total viewership numbers. My prediction is Elementary will be cancelled, The Mentalist will be renewed, and The Good Wife will be renewed for either a full-length and/or shortened final season.

  • Matt M.

    Also… The Crazy Ones will be cancelled, and Two And A Half Men will be renewed for a full-length final season, or it will be cancelled (depending on contract negotiations).

  • Hel-luhr

    @Stop-Colin-me

    With the way the headline is worded, both interpretations are equally valid. He could either be calling all its fans crazy, or simply having “crazy” be a subset. The same ambiguity appears in the body of the article itself.

  • Jim

    Thank you for calling out the Good Wife’s obnoxious fans! They have convinced me to never check it out (plus the fact it’s on cbs indicates it’s probably trash).

  • omabin

    If The Mentalist ratings surge is for real, I don’t think it’s bad news for The Good Wife just yet. I think it is bad news for Blue Bloods in a way but, especially, I think it’s bad news for all those low performing comedies. CBS would have a far easier time launching something on the open 9pm Thursday hour (especially with Grey’s eroding so much recently) than to launch something on the 10pm hour of any day (which is what cancelling The Mentalist effectively accomplishes, since they would move a 10pm drama (Elementary or CSI) to Sundays to open up a spot). I still want to see more ratings from the mentalist with noral lead-ins before changing my prediction though.

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