NBC: The Cancellation Bear's Christmas Dinner, Which Show(s) Would You Feed Him? (Poll)

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

December 17th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-December 15, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.71
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 0.74
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.76
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.81
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.91
Revolution :| :| :| 0.93
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
The Blacklist renewed 1.95

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We're into the holiday season for the Renew / Cancel Index and this post before the Cancellation Bear's holiday break gives readers a chance to pick which shows they'd cancel were they a network programmer. You can vote as many times as you'd like, pick as many as you'd like. I've included every show still on the air, even canceled ones, so that no one feels left out!

Scheduling note: The Renew / Cancel Index will return with new Indexes and predictions on January 7, 2014 and will then only use the ratings since December 30, 2013 for its calculations for the remainder of the season. Expect some prediction changes in the first weeks of 2014.


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Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • PRW

    I would cancel SVU, MJFS, and SSTW and keep the rest. Probably order a short final season for P&R.

  • Hardline_Pro

    I really think Revolution’s 3rd season depends on whether or not it’s ratings hold steady when it returns in January. I hope they do because I love this show.

  • Florian

    Dracula, The MJFS and SSTW will get canceled. The rest is fine. Parks & Rec. and Parenthood will each get a final season order.

  • Chris J

    They all need to go except for Grimm, Chicago Fire, Blacklist, and SVU.

    I’m concerned by Greenblatt’s latest comments (posted on variety and deadline) that they won’t make any drastic changes to the midseason schedule.

    There is no point in keeping the Thursday 9pm hour as is Greenblatt! Likely ANYTHING could do better there (even SVU or Blacklist repeats would rate higher).

    Also the Tuesday 9pm comedy plan isn’t the smartest either with FOX and ABC airing comedies there (all the whole there will be NO COMEDIES ON ANY NETWORK aired at 8pm Tuesday).

    Lastly NBC is dumb to air unknown dramas on Sundays against Game of Thrones, The Walking Dead, ABC, and CBS. I think Crisis and Believe could get a better sampling during the week with weaker network drama competition.

  • Nick.

    Revolution up to fourth on ratings averages! Despite low ratings I’m putting my money on Revolution getting a third season.

    The show deserves this. Last season was shaky and flawed, at best, and I wouldn’t mind letting it go, but this time the show earned it.

  • gerry

    what @florian said

  • NJ Viewer

    Everything, except the Blacklist. Then they need to bring back Star Trek.

  • Douglas from Brazil

    Cancel all Sean,Michael,Dracula.Short final seasons for Parks,Parenthood and Community.

  • CBSviewer

    I would cancel Sean Saves the World, The Michael J. Fox Show and Dracula.
    Give a Final Season to Parks & Recreation and Parenthood.

  • Carmen

    I try to base my votes on a combination of the ratings and evidence of opportunity to grow.
    With the NBC shows, I am right on target with the majority.

    That is, NBC should get rid of of SSTW, Dracula, and unfortunately MJF.
    I was hoping – like many to most people – that the latter would do well enough to warrant a renewal, but no it has not.
    Revolution may have found a steady niche audience, but it is never going to gain. For that reason NBC should bite the bullet and cancel it. Especially, since a renewal now is a de facto 2 year renewal.

  • Janus

    Revolution looks pretty solid for a renewal. Especially if it holds in the Spring–and it seems to really got a strong loyal audience. They earned it by a much improved second season.

  • Chris J

    @Nick.
    @Carmen

    It’s actually sad that a show that consistently gets a 1.4 rating is at 93% of the networks scripted average!

    Even though NBC is obviously weak when it comes to scripted programming, I think they still need to clean house and cancel all the turkeys. They need to build the network around stronger procedural dramas like The Blacklist, and find a comedy strategy that works.

    All that to say, NBC likely will still renew Revolution especially if everything else is performing far worse (which is a high possibility). If they do renew the show I would expect it to live on Fridays next season.

  • Katie

    I would actually stick with Dracula aside from yes I do like the show, it seems to be holding well now with Grimm sure its maybe a point or two lower on occasion but for the past 4 airings its seen 0.9-1.1 (Grimm got a 1.1 and then nudged up to 1.2 last week for its midseason finale) so they are evenly matched and the show is cheaper to produce since its a co production NOW I would only renew for another 10 episode season though.

    I would cancel Sean, MJF and give shortened finale seasons to maybe Parenthood and Revolution. I’m a big believer in fans investing in a show for over 2 seasons deserve at least some sort of conclusion. Its like with Nikita, i’m just grateful it will have an ending because

  • Lukes

    NBC is really in pitiful state!

  • Anthony

    @Chris J

    I see lots of holes in your logic with this line of thinking. While I don’t disagree that NBC could get better ratings out of one of their new dramas if put on Thursday, I don’t think they will get good ratings. Firstly both Crisis and Believe appear to be creative messes. Both have had to go on production hiatuses because the producers didn’t know where the shows were heading story wise, and Believe just replaced the showrunner (now the second time it has done so in its short life- they have only filmed 5 episodes). Additionally I challenge the assertion that Airing on a Thursday is so much better for the dramas than airing on a Sunday. The dramas wont premiere until after the Olympics (late February). The Walking Dead will only have 5 episodes left to air at that point, and Game of Thrones likely won’t start until April (giving the dramas a head start in catching an audience). You name those two shows as competition yet they are in different time slots, so it’s not even as if one of the NBC dramas would face BOTH of them, and it’s laughable that you list the ABC and CBS dramas as competition (low to mid ones counts as competition now a days?). Thursday at 9:00 has to face Greys Anatomy and an Idol fueled Rake (which will likely do at least decent), and 10:00 would face Scandal (which is on equal ratings footing as Game of Thrones by the way- high 2′s/low 3′s), so it’s not as if putting the shows on Thursdays eliminates competition. Beyond all these things, it needs to be mentioned that the marginal improvement that would be made to Thursday, would be more than offset by the decimation of Sunday (presumably, the low rated Thursday shows would be moved there to replace the dramas that are currently slated there), which would end up rating WORSE than they are on Thursday as the move wouldn’t be promoted much at all.

  • PurpleDrazi

    Even though SVU has been a stalwart performer for NBC I really think it is time for that show to go. NBC finally has some other decent Dramas to hold up the schedule so they don’t need to cling to L&O anymore.

    Let it go and take a chance on another new drama. Try to GROW their ratings instead of just trying to hold on to what they have.

  • Chris J

    @Anthony

    You make some good points, but I still feel in general that NBC’s Thursdays are so bad that they need to fix it pronto. There’s no sense in leaving the lineup as is, when even drama repeats could probably do better.

    As far as Sundays, NBC hasn’t had a successful drama on Sunday in a long time, and I don’t know if they’ll be able to pull enough people from cable and the other networks to make Crisis or Believe successful.

    That’s why I propose they at least take the best of the 2 shows, and try it on Thursday 9pm. They could kill two birds with one stone (i.e. “fix” Thursday 9pm with new programming, and potentially give a higher profile time slot to their best Spring drama). The 9pm comedies would migrate to Saturday, and either Maya Rudolph’s show or The Nightshift would fill out Sunday.

  • MARTY

    merry Christmas to you bill and the staff

  • Michael

    again, over 2% of the people are voting that they would cancel a show that has already been renewed.

  • E.L. Thorne

    Sunday (midseason)
    8:00 – Crisis
    9:00 – Believe / NEW DRAMA (choose the best
    10:00 – Parenthood

    Monday
    8:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA

    Tuesday
    8:00 – Parks and Recreation
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – The Voice
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA

    Wednesday
    8:00 – About a Boy
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – Chicago Fire
    10:00 – SVU

    Thursday
    8:00 – The Biggest Loser / NEW DRAMA (midseason)
    9:00 – The Blacklist
    10:00 – The Night Shift

    Friday
    8:00 – Revolution
    9:00 – Grimm
    10:00 – Dracula / Hannibal / Crossbones

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