NBC: ‘Community’ Starts As A “Toss Up” To Be Canceled Or Renewed

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 – January 5, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.73
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.73
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.82
Parenthood :| :| :| 1.18
Community :| :| :| 1.18
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
Parks & Recreation :| :| :|
Revolution :| :| :|
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
The Blacklist renewed

It’s a New Year and the Cancellation Bear is back!

Last season Community returned to the NBC lineup above the NBC Fall scripted adults 18-49 ratings average (1.9 vs. ~1.8).

Not so this season. Community’s 1.3 premiere rating was well below the ~1.6 Fall 2013 average for NBC scripted shows. Until the bear sees some more 2014 NBC ratings he’s not going any more pessimistic than a “toss up” for the show, but it’s certainly in a far more precarious position than it was at the start of its run last season.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2014, the “old” Fall predictions will stay in the table.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.


:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

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