NBC: 'Chicago PD' Starts As Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 14th, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-meme

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 12, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.68
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.99
Community :| :| :| 1.02
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Revolution :| :| :| 1.14
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 1.14
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Chicago PD :) :) :) :) 1.52
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59
The Blacklist renewed

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Chicago PD premiere ratings put it far enough ahead of the Cancellation Bear that it starts off as likely to be renewed. As with all early results/predictions, future ratings have a way of changing the predictions quickly. Stay tuned.

Having four NBC shows predicted as a "toss up" bothers the bear. After another week or two of results, expect some of those predictions to change.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2014, the "old" Fall predictions will stay in the table.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • omabin

    I am curious to see what your predictions for the four tossups are. I think they are really hard to call right now. Maybe I would guess the renewal for Parks but other than that I really think they all could go either way depending on a bunch of other stuff like number of new shows, number of dramas/reality/comedy hours, number of cycles for reality shows, etc. Not to mention Spring ratings.

  • Jeff (Canada)

    As someone who watches 3 of those 4 toss-up shows, I hope those predictions change for the better!

  • Eve

    Grimm keeps falling :( I think it would be nice if NBC renews everything above 1 in this Renew/Cancel index.

  • psychic

    So what does “#DIV/0!” mean?

  • Eve

    What happened to the TV listings?

  • Percy

    Go Grimm, bring on season 4!!!

  • Jess

    I think it’s interesting for Community. It started off lower then thought, then gained viewers and ratings in its second week. Considering the show is already in syndication on Comedy Central, I kinda think NBC would give it another season and Sony would want that to increase the money they get for the syndication

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “So what does “#DIV/0!” mean?”

    It means sloppy table editing happened! Now fixed.

    “What happened to the TV listings?”

    We’ve had problems with them not updating, and continuing to show the listings for the previous day. They are “back in the shop” getting fixed and will reappear later.

  • Eve

    @Bill Gorman

    Oh, thanks for answering, Bill. Good luck with that.

  • AlanHalliwell

    All I care is that Parks and community get renewed I hope that they do

  • Jeff (Canada)

    Well if NBC plans on renewing ANY sitcoms, it’ll be at least one of Parks or Community.

    That is, unless About A Boy and Growing Up Fisher do well after The Voice on Tuesdays. I don’t plan on watching them anyway, I’m just sticking with Community and Parks.

  • hey

    I’m hoping Parks and Community get renewals, even if they are for final seasons. They deserve proper sendoffs.

  • Malike

    i hope Crisis, Believe and The night shift does well for them

  • Chris J

    NBC is in good shape this season.

    They now have 4 dramas that can get 2.0+ ratings without The Voice.

    If they use those shows to strengthen their weaker nights (Wed-Fri), and The Voice remains a decently strong performer on Mon-Tues, NBC will have no problem remaining the #1 network next year.

    About A Boy will probably do well this Spring, but I hope it is good enough to gain its own following. NBC does it need another Go On.

  • Dan S

    I loved the pilot for CPD & also feel it’ll be back. Unlike Intelligence which was a snoozefest this show crackles & should hold up fine against CSI & Nashville. The only 2 bubble shows I care about is P&R and Revolution.

  • Tom

    My first thought after watching Chicago PD was how cliche’ riddled and unoriginal it was. The last great cop show set in Chicago was Hill Street Blues. Chicago PD can’t hold a candle to that great series.

  • k:Alex

    Some people said Chicago PD is a procedural, but their are a lot of story lines who continue too the next episode, isn’t it more serial like Chicago Fire?

  • TVDude

    For the bubble shows, I think Community and Parks both tilt slightly toward the renewal range (and the funny thing is the network didn’t see that coming).

    I think Parenthood and Revolution both tilt more toward the cancellation range now that Chicago PD started well. Although between the two, Parenthood probably still has the edge toward renewal as Revolution might be too costly of a renewal. I liked Revolution, but it’s a cast heavy show loaded with lots of special effects (which don’t come cheap) and doesn’t seem to be getting the best reviews. Seems like the right recipe for a show on its way out.

  • THE OLD MAN

    NBC certainly looks much better now than they did in the fall, but being cautious w/the bubble shows is the best route to take at this point

  • TV Viewer

    When NBC aired the Closing Cermonies of the 2012 Summer Olympics, they debuted Animal Practice from 10 to 11 PM Eastern Time Zone, (it was cancelled a few weeks later).
    Looking at the above chart, I wonder if NBC will try again to air one of their shows from 10 – 11 PM EST after the Closing Cermonies of the 2014 Winter Olympics (Feb. 7 – 23)

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