NBC: 'Chicago PD' Starts As Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 14th, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-meme

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 12, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.61
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.68
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.68
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.99
Community :| :| :| 1.02
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Revolution :| :| :| 1.14
Parks & Recreation :| :| :| 1.14
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Chicago PD :) :) :) :) 1.52
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.59
The Blacklist renewed

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Chicago PD premiere ratings put it far enough ahead of the Cancellation Bear that it starts off as likely to be renewed. As with all early results/predictions, future ratings have a way of changing the predictions quickly. Stay tuned.

Having four NBC shows predicted as a "toss up" bothers the bear. After another week or two of results, expect some of those predictions to change.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2014, the "old" Fall predictions will stay in the table.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Max Vrany

    @TVViewer, NBC has recently come out and acknowledged that was a mistake. I think they’ve learned their lesson.

  • RJC

    Although it’s probably foolish to predict a show’s future before it even airs, given that About a Boy will have The Voice lead-in for all (or almost all?) of its episodes, it should premiere reasonably high and as long as it’s not awful, will likely finish the season as NBC’s number 1 comedy, meaning it will probably be renewed (even if the number 1 status is solely attributable to The Voice lead-in). Being a half-hour removed from The Voice, I’m less confident making any predictions about Growing up Fisher. I suspect Parks will be renewed as well (though maybe not for a full season), although I think NBC should consider canning it (and I think Community has a shot at getting another spackle order too).

  • RJC

    @TVViewer and Max Vrany:

    NBC is airing the series premiere of Growing Up Fisher on Sunday, Feb. 23 at 10:30 p.m., following coverage of the Closing Ceremonies, two days ahead of its regular time slot premiere.

    About a Boy is also airing its premiere in a post-Olympics slot on Friday, Feb. 21 at 10:30 p.m.

  • Ultima

    @TV Viewer
    Looking at the above chart, I wonder if NBC will try again to air one of their shows from 10 – 11 PM EST after the Closing Cermonies of the 2014 Winter Olympics

    About a Boy is airing Friday, 21 February at 10:30pm.

    Growing up Fisher is airing Sunday, 23 February at 10:30pm.

  • Eve

    @TVViewer, @Max Vrany:

    Animal Practice aired after Olympics in August and premiered weeks later. This time Growing Up Fisher will premiere two days later. I think it’s a good idea from NBC to do that. And also, both comedies will have a 4+ lead-in, they will do fine if they’re good.

  • Ultima

    Clearly I’m too lazy to check page two to see if someone has already responded to something! ;)

    NBC has recently come out and acknowledged that was a mistake. I think they’ve learned their lesson.

    NBC will probably (hopefully?) not cut the end of the closing ceremony off and save it for late night. However, that doesn’t mean they can’t edit it to fit into the 8-10:30pm window.

  • Eve

    @Ultima,

    Do you think it’s going to be the same episode after Olympics and after The Voice?

  • TV Addict

    #sixseasonsandamovie

  • Ultima

    @Eve
    Do you think it’s going to be the same episode after Olympics and after The Voice?

    No, they’ll air new episodes on 25 February. I expect they’ll repeat the post-Olympics episodes relatively quickly (probably Friday, 28 February at 8pm).

  • Jami

    Revolution is higher on the renewal index than Grimm and should be higher than Parks and Rec. I think it should have an extra smiley face on Revolution. CPD just aired one episode with out any competition.
    I gues we will see what happens in May 2014.
    Please spare me the critical aclaimed speach on Parks and Rec.
    Grimm is on Friday night speech.

  • freakinalex

    My guess, based off of current ratings, is that Parks and Community will each get renewed for a final season, probably a short 13 episode order. Of course, that would leave NBC without any comedies other than whatever’s ordered next season, since it’s pretty much a given that their other two comedies aren’t coming back.

    It’s gotten to a point where NBC is so messed up, it’s difficult to guess what they’re gonna do, particularly in regards to comedy.

  • Eve

    @Ultima,

    Mmmm, thanks. Or maybe they will air all four episodes on Saturday 29th, idk.

    @Jami,

    Even though Revolution has only aired one episode this year, Parks has aired also one and had the same demo but Revolution had more viewers (that doesn’t count for this index, i guess).

    @freakinalex,

    I’m hoping NBC has four comedies next season: Community, Parks and Rec, About A Boy and Growing Up Fisher/Undateable.

    I really want Revolution to stay strong against American Idol this week. We’ll see.

  • Rebecca

    Looking forward to hopefully at least a final season to come for both Parks and Community. Glad Grimm is doing well. I still watch RVN but don’t really care about its fate. And I hope About a Boy does well, along with Growing Up Fisher.

  • Rebecca

    @Bill
    Thanks for explaining what’s going on with the TV listings on this site.

  • SJ

    It’s virtually impossible that NBC would cancel Parks and Recreation or Community without giving them proper send-off seasons, like they did with 30 Rock and The Office.

    My guess is, P&R and Comm run for 13 episodes from September to January, with Parenthood succeeding them for a final 10-episode season (to get it to 100), Fridays at 8. Start fresh on Thursdays, NBC! Or move Blacklist to 9pm and try to build around it.

  • skyfi

    Revolution is on 1.14 and still toss-up? Something wrong with your calculation.

  • Mark Drei

    First fantasy schedule of this season

    Sunday:
    No problems. No change.

    Sunday Night Football

    Monday:
    The best place to launch a new drama

    The Voice (2 Hours)
    New Drama

    Tuesday:
    Two new comedies in a row is calling for a disaster. Use Parks and Rec in its final season at 9:30

    The Voice
    New Comedy
    Parks and Rec (final season)
    Chicago Fire

    Wednesday:
    Nothing really else will work. SVU thrives at 10

    The Biggest Loser (2 hours)
    Law and Order: SVU

    Thursday:
    Use the Blacklist to launch something new. Parenthood will probably be destroyed at 8, but they need something

    Parenthood (Final Season)
    The Blacklist
    New Drama

    Friday:
    Genre night.

    Revolution
    Grimm
    Dateline

    Move the new comedy and Parks and Rec to Parenthood’s slot in January. Do New Comedy and Community (final season) after the Voice in the second half.

  • Joe Smith

    science fiction and fantasy shows don’t belong on networks that rely on advertising revenue

    they need to abandon TV altogether and use different profit models. there are plenty of fans that can support a show like Grimm or the countless others that either struggled or got canceled.

  • Chris J

    @SJ

    The Blacklist proved tonight it can stand alone without The Voice.

    No other NBC shows (outside of The Voice and America’s Got Talent) can even score a 2.5 , so for The Blacklist to get that score at 10pm means it has a pretty big audience (still near 10 million viewers) that will probably have no problem following the show to Thursdays.

    Also with NBC launching The Space Race next season, as well as, The Bible sequel, I think things are finally looking up for the network.

  • Chris J

    @Mark Drei

    #1. It’s unlikely NBC puts Parks after The Voice on Tuesday. Parks is obviously on it’s last leg ratings-wise and there’s no reason for NBC to waste their second most lucrative slot on an aging veteran comedy. I think its more likely they’ll put About A Boy on Tuesday 9:30 so that it has a chance to continue growing.

    #2 NBC’s Wednesdays are actually in better shape this season than last (aside from Ironside). Honestly 2 hours of The Biggest Loser would yield worst ratings for the night than the current drama set up.

    #3 Parenthood would die at 8pm

    #4 Parks and Community will likely be spackle, if renewed. I don’t think NBC will need either show next season though, because they’ve have developed enough strong shows to fill out their schedule. Maybe Parks and Community will air during the winter between Reality show cycles (ditto to Parenthood), or maybe Parks, Community, and Parenthood will finish out their runs next summer? Greenblatt constantly mentions he wants NBC to have oringial programming year round, so I see that as a possibility as well.

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