NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 21st, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Polar_Bear_sketch

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 19, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.61
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.63
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.66
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.96
Community :| :| :| 0.96
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 1.02
Revolution :| :| :| 1.06
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Chicago PD :) :) :) :) 1.33
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Blacklist renewed 1.90

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While the Cancellation Bear counsels that fans should ignore what TV executives say in public, was it the fact that Bob Greenblatt chatted about Parks & Recreation's future last weekend that caused the bear to move his prediction to "likely to be renewed" or was it the fact the bear had already planned to do it this week for a variety of reasons, and he didm't have anything else he wanted to put in the headline? Whichever you believe it to be, it's changed now.

Chicago PD ratings swooned in its second episode, but it's still well clear of the bear. Stay tuned.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • k:Alex

    Next season we already have:

    Comedy single-cam:
    – Parks&Rec
    – Tooken/Tina Fey Comedy (13ep)
    – Working The Engels (12ep)
    – Welcome to Sweden (12ep)
    – Mr. Robinson (6ep)

    Good chance comedy single-cam:
    – Community
    – About a Boy
    – Old Soul/Amy Poehler Comedy
    – Jerrod Carmichael Project
    – Maya Rudolph Project

    Comedy multi-cam:
    – none

    Their are still some good pilots, but nobody knows of the shows are funny enough for series ;).
    ——————————

    Drama:
    – The Blacklist (22ep)
    – Chicago Fire (22ep)
    – Grimm (22ep)
    – Law&Order:SVU (22ep)
    – Emerald City (13ep)
    – The Wolf Man (13ep)
    – Bible mini series (10ep)
    – The Slap

    Good chance drama:
    – Parenthood
    – Chicago PD (22ep)
    – The Odyssey
    – Tin Man
    – Murder, She Wrote
    – State of Affairs

    Maybe more, but this are the shows with the most information about development/casting. If a show is for a long time interactive, 9/10 it’s passed on like the Jessica Simpson project last year.
    ——————————

    Other shows:
    – The Voice
    – The Sing Off
    – The Celebrity Apprentice
    – The Biggest Loser
    – Sunday Night Football
    – Hollywood Game Night
    – American Ninja

    Shows who could go either way:
    – Growing up Fisher
    – Revolution
    – Hannibal
    – Dracula
    – Crossbones
    – The Night Shift

    With pilot season just started, NBC has already too much shows :).

  • Observer

    Nice bear drawings today!

  • Shepherd

    I suppose the definition of “well clear” is fairly subjective. I’d say CPD is close to the bear, but luckily down wind from it for the time being. Any shift in the wind though, and it could spell disaster for the show.

    CPD: :| :| :|

  • Jeff (Canada)

    Now that Parks has been confirmed that it’s going to be renewed (not that it IS renewed, there’s a big difference there), I think the major talk should be the next sitcom up for renewal. Community probably has the best shot out of the current lineup, but we’ll all have to wait and see how the 2 post-Voice shows do in February/March.

  • StevenD

    Before making a mock schedule, I took into consideration what hours would be allotted to what type of show, and came up with something like this:

    Monday-Friday = 15 Hours

    3 hrs- The Voice
    1 hr- Dateline
    1 hr- The Biggest Loser
    1 hr- Celebrity Apprentice (in production this Spring, option for the Fall)

    4 hrs- Returning dramas (The Blacklist, Chicago Fire, SVU, and Grimm)
    1 hr- Returning drama (Chicago PD, Believe, or Crisis)

    2 hr- New dramas
    2 hr- New comedies

    Monday:
    8 The Voice
    10 New drama (State of Affairs?)

    Giving NBC’s Scandal like drama a lead in seems promising and ideal.

    Tuesday:
    8 The Voice
    9 New comedy (Old Souls?)
    9:30 New comedy (Tooken?)
    10 Chicago Fire

    Giving Tina Fey/Amy Poehler produced comedies a good spot on the schedule might be a sign of good will for NBC. The two also are compatible. Chicago Fire should stay on Tuesday until it hits syndication.

    Wednesday:
    8 New comedy (Mission Control?)
    8:30 New comedy (Mr. Robinson?) or Parks and Rec
    9 New drama (Constantine/Tin Man?)
    10 SVU

    This is a bit of a risk, but the night is free of non-family comedies and genre shows (given Fox doesn’t schedule differently next year). SVU ends the night higher then the time slot is doing this year.

    Thursday:
    8 The Biggest Loser/Space Race
    9 The Blacklist
    10 Chicago PD or Believe or Crisis

    Reality seems to be the answer at 8. Space Race can launch post SuperBowl and boost the night, which would help The Blacklist later on, even though I’m sure it would do fine anyways. Give a successful sophomore drama a slot behind The Blacklist.

    Friday:
    8 Dateline
    9 Grimm
    10 The Celebrity Apprentice/Hannibal

    8-10 is working great together this year. Celebrity Apprentice could pick up viewers watching Undercover Boss/Shark Tank earlier in the night, and avoids premiering a new scripted show there.

    Sunday(Mid-season):
    7 Dateline
    8 A.D
    9 About a Boy
    9:30 Growing up Fischer
    10 New drama or Parenthood (final season)

    NBC appears to be abandoning family comedies in its pilots, so this seems like a decent night to place these comedies while they sort out what comedy they want to lean towards. Parenthood or that new megachurch family drama pilot would fit well at 10.

    -If they want to put another new or returning drama on in the Fall, Celebrity Apprentice could move to Mid-season and SVU takes its place.

    -Parenthood, Parks, and Community get final, short (10-15) episode seasons. If everything goes well, the two comedies could replace Dateline Mid-season.

    -Emerald City(10 episodes) could fill in whatever fails in the Fall.

    Thoughts?

  • Jagger Dagger

    Of course it’s not getting cancelled.
    The Bear and Ron Swanson are friends.

  • k:Alex

    StevenD
    I made a list of shows who already get a series order, like ‘The Wolf Men’, ‘The Slap’, ‘Welcome to Sweden’ and more.
    Where would you place those show?

  • Dan

    Its too difficult to predict a schedule for NBC so with all of their shows I can make a few guesses

    SVU, Grimm, Chicago Fire, and The Blacklist will all be back for full seasons.

    Chicago PD and Revolution will probably be renewed for full seasons in the fall. Parenthood will likely get a 13 episode final season due to its cost.

    Parks and Recreation and Community will probably get final seasons of 22 and 13 episodes respectively although Community could get more. With those 2 and a lot of comedy pilots I dont see NBC abandoning Thursday night comedy altogether.

    Speaking of Comedy, The Michael J FOX Show and Sean Saves the World are both dead and between About a Boy and Growing Up Fisher, About a Boy has the best chance.

    Dracula will be cancelled despite it doing well internationally and while its too early for Believe, Crisis, and Crossbones, I doubt any of them has a shot. Hannibal may end up like Touch or Smash, 2 seasons and done.

  • gerry

    as much as nbc would like to keep its must see thursday, it is done. they need to move on. they can try it again in a few years once tbbt has ridden into the sunset. nbc would be much more successful in taking down fox’s tuesday or abc’s wednesday v cbs thursday comedies.

    at this point they’re just throwing comedies away on thursday. time to change it up. biggest loser/blacklist/new show. its worth a shot.

  • cameron

    I hope the inn gets a pilot order, other than that the two other pilots I wanted ordered already have been. (Tin man and Constantine)

  • StevenD

    @k:Alex

    I don’t think Wolfman has been picked up yet. If I remember correctly, its under a deal where 3 shows will be developed and one will be ordered to series. If the show is off-cycle like this I wouldn’t make it a sure thing to be ready for any date, but it could likely be a replacement.

    Working the Engles/Welcome to Sweeden are international co-productions so I don’t think they will be given priority. They may act like Hannibal, which replaced Do no Harm when it failed. Since they are cheap, they may be Summer series too if NBC would like year round programming.

    The Slap is suppose to go in early 2015, so it will probably air in January. The SuperBowl is early February next year, so it may run only in January. Monday and Tuesday 8-10 is usually open, so I wouldn’t be shocked if it aired for 4 weeks in a 2 hour block in one of those slots.

  • steven

    I still blame Parks & Rec. for My Name is Earl getting canceled. It better not be the same for Community.

  • Chris J

    @StevenD

    I love the general structure of your schedule, and I think that’s close to what we’ll see from NBC. It’s an interesting idea to schedule Celebrity Apprentice on Fridays 10pm. That’s where Fashion Star had continually bombed before, but maybe Celeb Apprentice would do better there?

    Either way they can easily replace the show with a drama Friday at 10 midseason.

    @k:Alex

    I think quite a few series NBC ordered are intended to be summer series. Frankly both Working With Engles, and Welcome To Sweden sound like the perfect cheap summer productions that will keep NBC relevant year round.

  • Jim

    NBC might be making some tough calls and shorter episode orders

  • Dan

    @Steven – Parks & Rec had nothing to do with My Name is Earl getting cancelled. Earl was owned by FOX so it was simply too expensive for the ratings it was getting, if it was owned and produced by NBC, Earl would have gotten at least 1 more season. What saved The Office, 30 Rock, Parks and Rec and Community for so long was that they are all produced by NBC universal. Community is owned by Sony but in a joint ownership with NBC.

  • NeNe Leakes

    Test patterns have higher ratings than Parks and Recreation. How this show continues to survive is beyond me. Overated and unfunny. Amy Whatever Her Last Name should be banned from TV. She is simply not funny! Bloop!

  • NeNe Leakes

    Must See TV has been Must Flee TV ever since Friends left the airwaves. Now that show was funny unlike what they have on now. Although that Sean Hayes show is worth a giggle or three. The rest are garbage. Blonk!

  • Anonymous

    While I’m not a fan of the show at all, can NBC just send Community to Comedy Central or TBS? It’s worked out well for Cougar Town and Futurama for awhile. Hulu can also give it a proper last season finale as well; but as I said, time well tell on what happens. If Big Bang Theory is still in the timeslot, and American Idol tries to grow in number, it looks incredibly unlikely that the show will survive on NBC.

  • James

    Sunday
    Sunday Night Football

    Midseason:
    7-Dateline
    8-The Bible
    9-NEW COMEDY
    9:30-NEW COMEDY
    10-Parenthood

    Monday
    The Voice
    Emerald City (NEW)/Conception (NEW)

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    The Odyssey (NEW)
    Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    Parks and Rec.
    Tooken (NEW)
    SVU
    Chicago PD

    Thursday
    Biggest Loser
    Blacklist
    State of Affairs (NEW)

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Revolution/Believe

  • tvwatcher

    StevenD, I like your approach to making predictions!

    For Fridays next season after Grimm, I think they could rotate two or all of Hannibal, Dracula and Crossbones.

    I think The Blacklist is definitely going on Thursdays, but at 10 pm. The show is too violent for 9 pm.

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